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Question: Which 3 states chose most often that candidate who eventually became president?
Arizona
California
Illinois
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New York
Ohio
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Utah
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Author Topic: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?  (Read 1502 times)
Duke David
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« on: September 22, 2011, 07:36:03 am »
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The items listed above are the ten most "successful" bellwether states.

Click on those three states whose inhabitants (or state legislature, respectively) voted for the "right" candidate most frequently.

PS: What matters is not the popular vote, but the eventually winning candidate.

___________________________________________________________________________________

Answer:

#1 New Mexico (92,0%)
#2 Illinois (83,3%)
#3 Ohio (82,7%)

Thanks to everyone who cast their vote.
« Last Edit: October 27, 2011, 10:50:38 am by Kamelfuß »Logged
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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2011, 11:34:45 am »
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Intuitively, I'd say IL, NM and OH.
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« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2011, 12:18:53 pm »
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Quote from: Antonio V on September 22, 2011, 11:34:45 am
Intuitively, I'd say IL, NM and OH.

I'll give you a hint:

At least one of your suggestions is correct.
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« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2011, 05:54:06 pm »
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I'll go with three big states that have been populous for a long time: OH, NY, and PA.
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« Reply #4 on: September 22, 2011, 06:00:11 pm »
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Nevada and Ohio. No clue as to the 3rd.
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« Reply #5 on: September 22, 2011, 06:09:22 pm »
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Ohio, Illinois, and California.
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Quote from: 31: A New Bushie on April 30, 2013, 01:33:54 pm
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« Reply #6 on: September 22, 2011, 06:31:43 pm »
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I know which state virtually never voted "wrong".

You'll never guess right. HARHARHAR
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« Reply #7 on: September 22, 2011, 06:37:00 pm »
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Quote from: Snowstalker on September 22, 2011, 06:09:22 pm
Ohio, Illinois, and California.

At least one correct answer, Snowstalker. Smiley
« Last Edit: September 22, 2011, 06:39:30 pm by Atheist2006 »Logged
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« Reply #8 on: September 22, 2011, 06:44:18 pm »
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Is it the same one as Antonio?
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Quote from: 31: A New Bushie on April 30, 2013, 01:33:54 pm
I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole.  Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
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« Reply #9 on: September 22, 2011, 11:49:50 pm »
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NM, NV, OH?
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« Reply #10 on: September 23, 2011, 12:05:54 pm »
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Quote from: bryan on September 22, 2011, 11:49:50 pm
NM, NV, OH?
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« Reply #11 on: September 23, 2011, 12:08:56 pm »
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Ohio is one; the others, I can't even guess.
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« Reply #12 on: September 23, 2011, 03:30:12 pm »
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New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania
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« Reply #13 on: September 24, 2011, 02:42:49 pm »
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I'm certain one is California and another is Illinois.
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Quote from: 31: A New Bushie on April 30, 2013, 01:33:54 pm
I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole.  Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
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« Reply #14 on: September 24, 2011, 03:51:35 pm »
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Quote from: Snowstalker on September 24, 2011, 02:42:49 pm
I'm certain one is California and another is Illinois.

One of them is correct, the other one is wrong.
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« Reply #15 on: September 24, 2011, 05:01:39 pm »
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California and Ohio?
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Quote from: 31: A New Bushie on April 30, 2013, 01:33:54 pm
I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole.  Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
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« Reply #16 on: September 24, 2011, 06:35:20 pm »
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Quote from: Snowstalker on September 24, 2011, 05:01:39 pm
California and Ohio?

The same as before: One is correct, one is wrong. Wink
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« Reply #17 on: September 24, 2011, 07:05:01 pm »
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Ohio and Illinois?
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Quote from: 31: A New Bushie on April 30, 2013, 01:33:54 pm
I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole.  Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
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« Reply #18 on: September 24, 2011, 07:25:04 pm »
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Quote from: Snowstalker on September 24, 2011, 07:05:01 pm
Ohio and Illinois?

According to rules of Boolean logic, either both are correct or both are wrong. Grin
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« Reply #19 on: September 24, 2011, 07:35:58 pm »
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I hate you. Tongue
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Quote from: 31: A New Bushie on April 30, 2013, 01:33:54 pm
I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole.  Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
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« Reply #20 on: September 25, 2011, 01:35:46 am »
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Here's what we know:

At least one of OH, IL, CA must be correct. At least one of IL, NM, OH must be correct.

CA and IL cannot both be correct, but one is.

CA and OH cannot both be correct, but one is.

Therefore, if California is correct, New Mexico must also be correct. And if California isn't correct, Ohio and Illinois must also be correct.

In order for this to be guessable, more information is needed. Personally, I voted for NM, NV, and OH. However, given the information thus far, that is impossible.

As of right now, the possibilities are:


CA, NM, AZ
CA, NM, MT
CA, NM, NV
CA, NM, NY
CA, NM, PA
CA, NM, UT

OH, IL, AZ
OH, IL, MT
OH, IL, NV
OH, IL, NY
OH, IL, PA
OH, IL, UT
OH, IL, NM

What a waste of time.
« Last Edit: September 25, 2011, 01:40:59 am by ChanDan »Logged
Californian Tony
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« Reply #21 on: September 25, 2011, 04:12:26 am »
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I'm sure Illinois and Ohio are. The third one is most probably NM.
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« Reply #22 on: September 25, 2011, 05:56:24 am »
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Quote from: ChanDan on September 25, 2011, 01:35:46 am

In order for this to be guessable, more information is needed. Personally, I voted for NM, NV, and OH. However, given the information thus far, that is impossible.

You ought to know the answer by intuition.

Quote from: ChanDan on September 25, 2011, 01:35:46 am

As of right now, the possibilities are:

CA, NM, AZ
CA, NM, MT
CA, NM, NV
CA, NM, NY
CA, NM, PA
CA, NM, UT

OH, IL, AZ
OH, IL, MT
OH, IL, NV
OH, IL, NY
OH, IL, PA
OH, IL, UT
OH, IL, NM

What a waste of time.

I can reassure you: You've listed the correct combination. Cool
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« Reply #23 on: September 26, 2011, 05:42:48 pm »
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IL, OH, PA
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Duke David
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« Reply #24 on: September 26, 2011, 06:10:05 pm »
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Quote from: yeoman shua on September 26, 2011, 05:42:48 pm
IL, OH, PA

Not bad, but still wrong.
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