A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?
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Question: Which 3 states chose most often that candidate who eventually became president?
#1
Arizona
#2
California
#3
Illinois
#4
Montana
#5
Nevada
#6
New Mexico
#7
New York
#8
Ohio
#9
Pennsylvania
#10
Utah
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Author Topic: A little quiz: Most "successful" bellwether states?  (Read 3307 times)
Duke David
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« on: September 22, 2011, 07:36:03 AM »
« edited: October 27, 2011, 10:50:38 AM by Kamelfuß »
The items listed above are the ten most "successful" bellwether states.

Click on those three states whose inhabitants (or state legislature, respectively) voted for the "right" candidate most frequently.

PS: What matters is not the popular vote, but the eventually winning candidate.

___________________________________________________________________________________

Answer:

#1 New Mexico (92,0%)
#2 Illinois (83,3%)
#3 Ohio (82,7%)

Thanks to everyone who cast their vote.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2011, 11:34:45 AM »
Intuitively, I'd say IL, NM and OH.
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Duke David
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« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2011, 12:18:53 PM »

I'll give you a hint:

At least one of your suggestions is correct.
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Thomas D
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« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2011, 06:00:11 PM »
Nevada and Ohio. No clue as to the 3rd.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #4 on: September 22, 2011, 06:09:22 PM »
Ohio, Illinois, and California.
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Duke David
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« Reply #5 on: September 22, 2011, 06:31:43 PM »
I know which state virtually never voted "wrong".

You'll never guess right. HARHARHAR
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Duke David
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« Reply #6 on: September 22, 2011, 06:37:00 PM »
« Edited: September 22, 2011, 06:39:30 PM by Atheist2006 »

At least one correct answer, Snowstalker. Smiley
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #7 on: September 22, 2011, 06:44:18 PM »
Is it the same one as Antonio?
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President von Cat
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« Reply #8 on: September 22, 2011, 11:49:50 PM »
NM, NV, OH?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #9 on: September 23, 2011, 12:05:54 PM »
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I Am Feeblepizza.
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« Reply #10 on: September 23, 2011, 12:08:56 PM »
Ohio is one; the others, I can't even guess.
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Fritz
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« Reply #11 on: September 23, 2011, 03:30:12 PM »
New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #12 on: September 24, 2011, 02:42:49 PM »
I'm certain one is California and another is Illinois.
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Duke David
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« Reply #13 on: September 24, 2011, 03:51:35 PM »
Quote from: Snowstalker on September 24, 2011, 02:42:49 PM
I'm certain one is California and another is Illinois.

One of them is correct, the other one is wrong.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #14 on: September 24, 2011, 05:01:39 PM »
California and Ohio?
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Duke David
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« Reply #15 on: September 24, 2011, 06:35:20 PM »

The same as before: One is correct, one is wrong. Wink
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #16 on: September 24, 2011, 07:05:01 PM »
Ohio and Illinois?
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Duke David
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« Reply #17 on: September 24, 2011, 07:25:04 PM »

According to rules of Boolean logic, either both are correct or both are wrong. Grin
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #18 on: September 24, 2011, 07:35:58 PM »
I hate you. Tongue
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ShamDam
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« Reply #19 on: September 25, 2011, 01:35:46 AM »
« Edited: September 25, 2011, 01:40:59 AM by ChanDan »
Here's what we know:

At least one of OH, IL, CA must be correct. At least one of IL, NM, OH must be correct.

CA and IL cannot both be correct, but one is.

CA and OH cannot both be correct, but one is.

Therefore, if California is correct, New Mexico must also be correct. And if California isn't correct, Ohio and Illinois must also be correct.

In order for this to be guessable, more information is needed. Personally, I voted for NM, NV, and OH. However, given the information thus far, that is impossible.

As of right now, the possibilities are:


CA, NM, AZ
CA, NM, MT
CA, NM, NV
CA, NM, NY
CA, NM, PA
CA, NM, UT

OH, IL, AZ
OH, IL, MT
OH, IL, NV
OH, IL, NY
OH, IL, PA
OH, IL, UT
OH, IL, NM

What a waste of time.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #20 on: September 25, 2011, 04:12:26 AM »
I'm sure Illinois and Ohio are. The third one is most probably NM.
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Duke David
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« Reply #21 on: September 25, 2011, 05:56:24 AM »
Quote from: ChanDan on September 25, 2011, 01:35:46 AM

In order for this to be guessable, more information is needed. Personally, I voted for NM, NV, and OH. However, given the information thus far, that is impossible.

You ought to know the answer by intuition.

Quote from: ChanDan on September 25, 2011, 01:35:46 AM

As of right now, the possibilities are:

CA, NM, AZ
CA, NM, MT
CA, NM, NV
CA, NM, NY
CA, NM, PA
CA, NM, UT

OH, IL, AZ
OH, IL, MT
OH, IL, NV
OH, IL, NY
OH, IL, PA
OH, IL, UT
OH, IL, NM

What a waste of time.

I can reassure you: You've listed the correct combination. Cool
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« Reply #22 on: September 26, 2011, 05:42:48 PM »
IL, OH, PA
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Duke David
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« Reply #23 on: September 26, 2011, 06:10:05 PM »

Not bad, but still wrong.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #24 on: September 26, 2011, 06:18:40 PM »
OH, IL, NM?
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