2008 state Obama/McCain percentages by party
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  2008 state Obama/McCain percentages by party
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Author Topic: 2008 state Obama/McCain percentages by party  (Read 4321 times)
greenforest32
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« on: December 23, 2011, 08:51:42 AM »
« edited: December 23, 2011, 09:24:45 AM by greenforest32 »

Data from http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls/

% Independent vote for Obama/McCain list:
   
State - Obama%/McCain%
Vermont - 73%/24%
Hawaii - 72%/25%
California - 64%/31%
Delaware - 61%/39%
Maine - 60%/36%
New Hampshire - 59%/39%
Oregon - 59%/36%
Pennsylvania - 58%/39%
Wisconsin - 58%/39%
Connecticut - 57%/39%
Maryland - 57%/36%
Massachusetts - 57%/40%
Iowa - 56%/41%
Minnesota - 56%/39%
New Mexico - 56%/41%
New York - 56%/41%
Illinois - 55%/43%
Washington - 55%/39%
Colorado - 54%/44%
Indiana - 54%/43%
Nevada - 54%/41%
Rhode Island - 54%/41%
Florida - 52%/45%
Kansas - 52%/44%
Michigan - 52%/42%
Ohio - 52%/44%
Arizona - 51%/46%
Nebraska - 51%/43%
New Jersey - 51%/47%
Virginia - 49%/48%
North Dakota - 47%/49%
Idaho - 45%/48%
Missouri - 45%/51%
Utah    - 44%/48%
Alaska - 43%/52%
South Dakota - 42%/48%
Wyoming - 42%/51%
Montana - 41%/53%
Georgia - 40%/57%
South Carolina - 40%/57%
North Carolina - 39%/60%
West Virginia - 39%/58%
Kentucky - 38%/58%
Tennessee - 37%/58%
Oklahoma    - 36%/64%
Texas - 36%/62%
Mississippi - 35%/63%
Alabama - 33%/64%
Louisiana - 32%/62%
Arkansas - 30%/67%
DC - No Data/No Data

National Avg - 52%/44%

% Independent vote for Obama/McCain map:

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greenforest32
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« Reply #1 on: December 23, 2011, 08:57:39 AM »
« Edited: December 23, 2011, 09:09:32 AM by greenforest32 »

% Democratic vote for Obama/McCain list:

State - Obama%/McCain%
DC - 98%/1%
Vermont - 97%/3%
Hawaii - 95%/4%
Washington - 95%/5%
Wisconsin   95%/5%
Minnesota - 94%/6%
Iowa - 93%/6%
Michigan - 93%/6%
Nevada - 93%/6%
California - 92%/8%
Colorado - 92%/7%
Montana - 92%/7%
New Hampshire - 92%/8%
Oregon - 92%/7%
South Carolina - 92%/8%
Virginia - 92%/8%
Delaware - 91%/9%
Georgia - 91%/9%
Illinois - 91%/8%
New Mexico - 91%/9%
New York - 91%/8%
Rhode Island - 91%/8%
Connecticut - 90%/7%
North Carolina - 90%/9%
North Dakota - 90%/9%
Pennsylvania - 90%/10%
Idaho - 89%/10%
Maine - 89%/10%
Mississippi - 89%/11%
Missouri - 89%/11%
Ohio - 89%/10%
New Jersey - 89%/11%
Texas - 89%/10%
Utah - 89%/10%
Indiana - 88%/11%
Kansas - 88%/12%
Maryland - 88%/12%
Massachusetts - 88%/11%
Florida - 87%/12%
Tennessee - 86%/13%
Alabama - 85%/14%
Arizona - 85%/14%
Alaska - 84%/15%
Nebraska - 84%/16%
South Dakota - 82%/16%
Wyoming - 80%/19%
Arkansas - 77%/21%
Louisiana - 75%/24%
Kentucky - 69%/30%
West Virginia - 69%/28%
Oklahoma - 67%/33%

National Avg - 89%/10%

% Democratic vote for Obama/McCain map:

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greenforest32
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« Reply #2 on: December 23, 2011, 09:07:39 AM »
« Edited: December 23, 2011, 09:09:40 AM by greenforest32 »

% Republican vote for Obama/McCain list:

State - Obama%/McCain%
Hawaii - 22%/76%
Delaware - 18%/80%
Connecticut - 15%/83%
Illinois - 15%/84%
Maryland - 15%/84%
New York - 15%/85%
California - 14%/85%
Maine - 14%/84%
New Jersey - 14%/85%
Colorado - 13%/87%
Indiana - 13%/86%
Pennsylvania - 13%/87%
Vermont - 13%/85%
Florida - 12%/87%
Kansas - 12%/87%
South Dakota - 12%/87%
Nebraska - 11%/88%
Nevada - 11%/88%
New Hampshire - 11%/89%
Rhode Island - 11%/87%
Kentucky - 10%/90%
Michigan - 10%/89%
Montana   - 10%/89%
Wisconsin    - 10%/89%
Iowa - 9%/90%
Oregon - 9%/89%
Massachusetts - 9%/90%
Washington - 9%/91%
Arizona - 8%/92%
Ohio - 8%/92%
Minnesota - 8%/91%
New Mexico - 8%/91%
Virginia - 8%/92%
Arkansas - 7%/93%
North Dakota - 7%/92%
West Virginia - 7%/92%
Alaska - 6%/93%
Georgia - 6%/94%
Mississippi - 6%/94%
Missouri - 6%/93%
Texas - 6%/93%
Utah    - 6%/93%
Wyoming - 6%/93%
Idaho - 5%/95%
Oklahoma - 5%/95%
Tennessee - 5%/94%
North Carolina - 4%/95%
South Carolina - 4%/96%
Alabama - 3%/97%
Louisiana - 3%/96%
DC - No Data/No Data

National Avg - 9%/90%


% Republican vote for Obama/McCain map:

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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #3 on: December 23, 2011, 11:28:45 AM »

North Carolina independents seem a bit off.
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phk
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« Reply #4 on: December 23, 2011, 11:14:42 PM »

Wonder what the correlation of independent %Obama and Dem %Obama are?
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #5 on: December 24, 2011, 04:02:51 PM »


Montana too.

I wonder how many counties in Appalacia or OK Obama lost the dem vote. I also wonder what the white dem vote in OK was.
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nclib
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« Reply #6 on: December 29, 2011, 08:04:40 PM »

% Independent vote for Obama/McCain map:



The Indy vote is a pretty accurate prediction of state results, with only AZ, NE, KS, and NC being "incorrect". NC is surprising in terms of margin, AZ because of home state advantage, and NE and KS due to being strong for the other party. Perhaps western NE/KS are overwhelmingly GOP in terms of registration and all those states' Indy voters live in the more competitive areas.

I made a map of which party's voters had a stronger margin. Keep in mind that some of these are 1% or less.

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tpfkaw
wormyguy
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« Reply #7 on: March 08, 2012, 01:20:09 AM »

More interesting:



% of white Democrats Obama/McCain

Louisiana - 38/60
Alabama - 47/51
Oklahoma - 59/41
Kentucky - 62/37
Arkansas - 68/28
West Virginia - 69/28
Texas - 78/20
Georgia - 78/22
Tennessee - 79/19
Wyoming - 80/20
South Carolina - 80/19
Florida - 81/18
South Dakota - 82/16
Nebraska - 83/17
Arizona - 83/16
North Carolina - 83/16
Maryland - 83/15
Missouri - 84/15
Kansas - 85/14
New Jersey - 85/14
New Mexico - 85/14
New York - 85/14
Ohio - 85/14
Pennsylvania - 85/14
Virginia - 86/14
Alaska - 86/13
Delaware - 86/13
Illinois - 86/13
Indiana - 86/13
Massachusetts - 86/13
Connecticut - 86/9
Idaho - 89/10
Maine - 89/10
Rhode Island - 89/10
North Dakota - 90/9
Nevada - 90/8
California - 91/8
Michigan - 91/8
Montana - 91/8
New Hampshire - 92/8
Oregon - 92/8
Iowa - 93/6
Minnesota - 94/6
Colorado - 95/5
Wisconsin - 95/5
Washington - 95/4
Hawaii - 96/4
Vermont - 96/3
D.C. - 97/3

Mississippi - No data (extrapolated to >50% McCain based on surrounding states)
Utah - No data (extrapolated to >80% Obama based on surrounding states)

lollouisiana
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
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« Reply #8 on: March 08, 2012, 01:36:53 AM »

Skin color > the issues

I'm fixin' to whup ur colored ass

To be fair to LA, most of said white Democrats probably wouldn't agree with Obama on the issues either.
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shua
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« Reply #9 on: May 14, 2012, 01:27:24 AM »

More interesting:



% of white Democrats Obama/McCain

Louisiana - 38/60
Alabama - 47/51

Unlike LA, MS and AL are pretty evenly divided between GOP and DEM from the numbers I've seen.  With Obama getting 43% in MS, I imagine he won the (small) white Dem vote.
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