Who will win the Republican nomination for President?

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Have the tables turned?

[Eraserhead]

Probably Romney.

[Averroës Nix]

Have the tables turned?

They never did. Mitt Romney has been the single most likely nominee since he lost in 2007, and as others decided not to run (Huckabee, Daniels, Barbour, Thune, etc.) his chances  improved. There have been hiccups - Perry's announcement made a Romney victory less likely - but the Mittbot has always been the favorite.

I don't actually think that Perry's poor performance at the debate matters that much. His bubble was likely to burst at some point. What matters is how he handles it.

[milhouse24]

I think Dan Quayle should give it another try.

[NHI]

Mitt Romney will be the nominee.

[RogueBeaver]

Romney's been favored from the beginning, and the McCain strategy of waiting for all his upstart challengers to self-nuke is working. If Perry bombs like that again in Hanover, he's finished. Regardless, I still think Romney wins the nomination.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

I think Dan Quayle should give it another try.

I actually kinda want that to happen again.

[Paul Kemp]

They never did. Mitt Romney has been the single most likely nominee since he lost in 2007

That's the correct answer.

Is Perry out of it completely? No but he never should have been considered the favorite.

It's amusing how some here get caught up in all the hype surrounding certain figures and let that cloud their judgement.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Amazing that last week a similar poll was tied between Romney and Perry.

[Averroës Nix]

Romney's been favored from the beginning, and the McCain strategy of waiting for all his upstart challengers to self-nuke is working.

My first reaction is to disagree with the Romney-McCain comparison. It seems silly to compare the candidate who has made a point of emphasizing reliability and professionalism to the guy whose campaign was such a disaster that it went bankrupt months before any contests.

Then again, 2008 and 2012 are entirely different contests. What makes you think that Romney and McCain are similar in this regard?

[angus]

Have the tables turned?

I don't think so.  Romney still seems the safe bet. 

[tmthforu94]

Mitt Romney - I can honestly say I was never seriously worried that Perry might win, even when he was leading by 13 points nationally, because I knew it'd come back down, and it has. Probably sometime in October, maybe November, Romney will re-take the lead.

I actually kind of want Palin to run - with Bachmann, Perry, and Palin all competing in Iowa, Romney would have the opportunity to go their and snag a small victory over the three conservatives. If Romney wins Iowa, I think he'll pretty much become the presumptive nominee.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

I assume the 3 "other candidate" votes are Paultards?

[Thomas D]

I assume the 3 "other candidate" votes are Paultards?

I was the 4th. It's not about Paul. It's about Perry crashing and burning and the fact that despite running for President for almost 6 years now a large majority of Republicans seem to not like Romney much.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

So Newt or Michele?

[Thomas D]

So Newt or Michele?

I'd pick Michele over Newt. Maybe that 9-9-9 pizza guy. Who knows?

[Dr. Cynic]

I think Dan Quayle should give it another try.

Well, he might make Michele Bachmann look competent and we can't have that.

[Oakvale]

I think Newt Gingrich is about due for his turn as shiny Tea Party flavour of the month, but, yeah, Romney remains the presumptive favourite.

[milhouse24]

I can't believe Perry supports free tuition for illegal immigrants, as a Republican.  He might win the evangelical vote, but the Tea Party will desert him for those comments.  He might as well go ahead and raise taxes.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

Romney (plus a conservative Congress to keep him in line) is Plan Z000 if all else fails....right now we are on Plan H999. 

Remember, the GOP is looking for someone who will really CHANGE America and move it away from its rapid slide towards a nanny state (someone who will not just drain the swamp, but will drain it, cut it down for lumber, and then drill for oil in it).  Romney is NOT going to do that.