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Author Topic: KY: Survey USA: Gov. Beshear's lead still increasing  (Read 2235 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 02, 2011, 01:33:43 am »

New Poll: Kentucky Governor by Survey USA on 2011-09-27

Summary: D: 57%, R: 26%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2011, 01:34:57 am »

Wow, he could even hit 60% ... Tongue
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2011, 07:40:40 am »
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Why is he doing worst in Eastern Kentucky? Isn't that one of the places of most strength for Kentucky Dems?
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« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2011, 09:15:19 am »
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I don't know much about the politics of Kentucky, so could somebody explain what sort of Democrat Beshear is, and why he is so popular?
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« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2011, 09:33:15 am »
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Why is he doing worst in Eastern Kentucky? Isn't that one of the places of most strength for Kentucky Dems?

Yeah, but it's possible that the traditionally Republican areas not so far away are being included in the East for polling purposes.
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« Reply #5 on: October 02, 2011, 09:50:03 am »
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I don't know much about the politics of Kentucky, so could somebody explain what sort of Democrat Beshear is, and why he is so popular?

He's a typical Appalachian Democrat--moderate to conservative with a populist streak. To give you an idea,

http://www.kentucky.com/2010/12/02/1548034/creation-museum-to-get-wooden.html
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« Reply #6 on: October 02, 2011, 09:52:21 am »
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Why is he doing worst in Eastern Kentucky? Isn't that one of the places of most strength for Kentucky Dems?

Eastern Kentucky includes both the populist coal areas which could very well break 80% for him and places like the Cincinnati metro area which will be relatively bad for him.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #7 on: October 02, 2011, 03:40:05 pm »
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Why is he doing worst in Eastern Kentucky? Isn't that one of the places of most strength for Kentucky Dems?

Eastern Kentucky includes both the populist coal areas which could very well break 80% for him and places like the Cincinnati metro area which will be relatively bad for him.
Do you think they included the redder parts of Hal Rogers' district and South-Central Kentucky, which is heavily republican and Williams' home base?
« Last Edit: October 02, 2011, 03:42:24 pm by TexasDemocrat »Logged
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« Reply #8 on: October 02, 2011, 08:07:49 pm »
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Why is he doing worst in Eastern Kentucky? Isn't that one of the places of most strength for Kentucky Dems?

Eastern Kentucky includes both the populist coal areas which could very well break 80% for him and places like the Cincinnati metro area which will be relatively bad for him.

I think the (uber GOP) Cinci burbs are consdered North Central KY. Though he's doing surprisingly well there too. I'm very surprised at how well Beshear is doing in Western KY compared to the rest of the state too.

This all might be subject to high subsample MoE, though.
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« Reply #9 on: October 02, 2011, 08:23:33 pm »
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It's more likely that it includes the south-southeastern parts of the state (i.e. western KY-05 and the little tail of KY-01). If you draw an imaginary line through Louisville to divide the state into western and eastern halves, it would include the areas where Beshear didn't do well in 2007:

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« Reply #10 on: October 02, 2011, 10:05:44 pm »
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I don't know much about the politics of Kentucky, so could somebody explain what sort of Democrat Beshear is, and why he is so popular?

He's a typical Appalachian Democrat--moderate to conservative with a populist streak. To give you an idea,

http://www.kentucky.com/2010/12/02/1548034/creation-museum-to-get-wooden.html

So in other words a DINO who should have been primaried a long time ago.
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« Reply #11 on: October 02, 2011, 10:16:06 pm »
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I don't know much about the politics of Kentucky, so could somebody explain what sort of Democrat Beshear is, and why he is so popular?

He's a typical Appalachian Democrat--moderate to conservative with a populist streak. To give you an idea,

http://www.kentucky.com/2010/12/02/1548034/creation-museum-to-get-wooden.html

So in other words a DINO who should have been primaried a long time ago.

Why would we want to primary a man who supported a project that brought jobs to Kentucky?
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« Reply #12 on: October 02, 2011, 10:38:16 pm »
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It's more likely that it includes the south-southeastern parts of the state (i.e. western KY-05 and the little tail of KY-01). If you draw an imaginary line through Louisville to divide the state into western and eastern halves, it would include the areas where Beshear didn't do well in 2007:



With these kinds of numbers, I can definitely see Beshear over 60 and taking 100+ counties...at this point I would be surprised if Williams won more than 12-15 counties...
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« Reply #13 on: October 02, 2011, 10:41:00 pm »
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So at this rate the map could end up like this?

http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=21&year=1999&f=0&off=5

Maybe Galbraith just portends Dem landslides?
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« Reply #14 on: October 02, 2011, 11:51:32 pm »
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I don't know much about the politics of Kentucky, so could somebody explain what sort of Democrat Beshear is, and why he is so popular?

He's a typical Appalachian Democrat--moderate to conservative with a populist streak. To give you an idea,

http://www.kentucky.com/2010/12/02/1548034/creation-museum-to-get-wooden.html

So in other words a DINO who should have been primaried a long time ago.

Why would we want to primary a man who supported a project that brought jobs to Kentucky?

Come to that, why would we want to primary a Democrat who can win statewide in Kentucky?
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« Reply #15 on: October 02, 2011, 11:52:21 pm »
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I don't know much about the politics of Kentucky, so could somebody explain what sort of Democrat Beshear is, and why he is so popular?

He's a typical Appalachian Democrat--moderate to conservative with a populist streak. To give you an idea,

http://www.kentucky.com/2010/12/02/1548034/creation-museum-to-get-wooden.html

So in other words a DINO who should have been primaried a long time ago.

Why would we want to primary a man who supported a project that brought jobs to Kentucky?

Come to that, why would we want to primary a Democrat who can win statewide in Kentucky?

Because he's not a Democrat in line with most of the party's positions.
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« Reply #16 on: October 03, 2011, 07:22:47 am »
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I don't know much about the politics of Kentucky, so could somebody explain what sort of Democrat Beshear is, and why he is so popular?

He's a typical Appalachian Democrat--moderate to conservative with a populist streak. To give you an idea,

http://www.kentucky.com/2010/12/02/1548034/creation-museum-to-get-wooden.html

So in other words a DINO who should have been primaried a long time ago.

Why would we want to primary a man who supported a project that brought jobs to Kentucky?

Come to that, why would we want to primary a Democrat who can win statewide in Kentucky?

Because he's not a Democrat in line with most of the party's positions.

Creating jobs is most certainly in line with the Democratic party's positions.
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« Reply #17 on: October 03, 2011, 07:45:15 am »
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I think a strategy of the Beshear campaign is to only have debates with Williams and all of the minor party candidates. This as opposed to a one on one debate with Williams. This is a beneficiary for the Beshear campaign because it divides the anti Beshear vote and does not give it all to Williams.
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« Reply #18 on: October 03, 2011, 05:30:17 pm »
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I don't know much about the politics of Kentucky, so could somebody explain what sort of Democrat Beshear is, and why he is so popular?

He's a typical Appalachian Democrat--moderate to conservative with a populist streak. To give you an idea,

http://www.kentucky.com/2010/12/02/1548034/creation-museum-to-get-wooden.html

So in other words a DINO who should have been primaried a long time ago.

Why would we want to primary a man who supported a project that brought jobs to Kentucky?

Come to that, why would we want to primary a Democrat who can win statewide in Kentucky?

Because he's not a Democrat in line with most of the party's positions.

Creating jobs is most certainly in line with the Democratic party's positions.

Sure... building a creationist theme park I'm sure would really go down well with Progressives in other states.
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« Reply #19 on: October 03, 2011, 05:53:43 pm »
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I don't know much about the politics of Kentucky, so could somebody explain what sort of Democrat Beshear is, and why he is so popular?

He's a typical Appalachian Democrat--moderate to conservative with a populist streak. To give you an idea,

http://www.kentucky.com/2010/12/02/1548034/creation-museum-to-get-wooden.html

So in other words a DINO who should have been primaried a long time ago.

Why would we want to primary a man who supported a project that brought jobs to Kentucky?

Come to that, why would we want to primary a Democrat who can win statewide in Kentucky?

Because he's not a Democrat in line with most of the party's positions.

Creating jobs is most certainly in line with the Democratic party's positions.

Sure... building a creationist theme park I'm sure would really go down well with Progressives in other states.

I'm a progressive in another state. I'm fine with it.
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« Reply #20 on: October 04, 2011, 06:54:53 am »
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FYI, here's SUSA's regional breakdowns:

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« Reply #21 on: October 04, 2011, 05:21:00 pm »
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I don't know much about the politics of Kentucky, so could somebody explain what sort of Democrat Beshear is, and why he is so popular?

He's a typical Appalachian Democrat--moderate to conservative with a populist streak. To give you an idea,

http://www.kentucky.com/2010/12/02/1548034/creation-museum-to-get-wooden.html

So in other words a DINO who should have been primaried a long time ago.

Why would we want to primary a man who supported a project that brought jobs to Kentucky?

Come to that, why would we want to primary a Democrat who can win statewide in Kentucky?

Because he's not a Democrat in line with most of the party's positions.

Creating jobs is most certainly in line with the Democratic party's positions.

Sure... building a creationist theme park I'm sure would really go down well with Progressives in other states.

I'm a progressive in another state. I'm fine with it.

I'm a progressive from New York, and if Kentucky wants to build a creationist theme park that creates jobs, I say go for it!  It probably wouldn't be a place I would take my kids or go on vacation, but if people enjoy it, let them enjoy it.
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« Reply #22 on: October 08, 2011, 12:17:03 pm »
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I don't know much about the politics of Kentucky, so could somebody explain what sort of Democrat Beshear is, and why he is so popular?

He's a typical Appalachian Democrat--moderate to conservative with a populist streak. To give you an idea,

http://www.kentucky.com/2010/12/02/1548034/creation-museum-to-get-wooden.html

So in other words a DINO who should have been primaried a long time ago.

Why would we want to primary a man who supported a project that brought jobs to Kentucky?

Come to that, why would we want to primary a Democrat who can win statewide in Kentucky?

Because he's not a Democrat in line with most of the party's positions.

Creating jobs is most certainly in line with the Democratic party's positions.

Sure... building a creationist theme park I'm sure would really go down well with Progressives in other states.

I'm a progressive in another state. I'm fine with it.

I'm a progressive from New York, and if Kentucky wants to build a creationist theme park that creates jobs, I say go for it!  It probably wouldn't be a place I would take my kids or go on vacation, but if people enjoy it, let them enjoy it.

Besides, am I correct in saying no government funds wefre used to build the park? Beashear merely trumpted it a t ribbon cutting ceremony. BFD

Mybe he could run against McConnell in 14, or Paul in 16?
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« Reply #23 on: October 08, 2011, 04:11:09 pm »
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I don't know much about the politics of Kentucky, so could somebody explain what sort of Democrat Beshear is, and why he is so popular?

He's a typical Appalachian Democrat--moderate to conservative with a populist streak. To give you an idea,

http://www.kentucky.com/2010/12/02/1548034/creation-museum-to-get-wooden.html

So in other words a DINO who should have been primaried a long time ago.

Why would we want to primary a man who supported a project that brought jobs to Kentucky?

Come to that, why would we want to primary a Democrat who can win statewide in Kentucky?

Because he's not a Democrat in line with most of the party's positions.

Creating jobs is most certainly in line with the Democratic party's positions.

Sure... building a creationist theme park I'm sure would really go down well with Progressives in other states.

I'm a progressive in another state. I'm fine with it.

I'm a progressive from New York, and if Kentucky wants to build a creationist theme park that creates jobs, I say go for it!  It probably wouldn't be a place I would take my kids or go on vacation, but if people enjoy it, let them enjoy it.

Besides, am I correct in saying no government funds wefre used to build the park? Beashear merely trumpted it a t ribbon cutting ceremony. BFD

Mybe he could run against McConnell in 14, or Paul in 16?

He could win, but he'd be at least 70; not a good age for a freshman senator. The Kentucky Democratic Party will have younger talent by then as well such as Jack Conway, Adam Edelen, and Alison Grimes. The popular outgoing auditor, Crit Luallen, is also a possibility.
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« Reply #24 on: October 10, 2011, 08:06:28 pm »
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I don't know much about the politics of Kentucky, so could somebody explain what sort of Democrat Beshear is, and why he is so popular?

He's a typical Appalachian Democrat--moderate to conservative with a populist streak. To give you an idea,

http://www.kentucky.com/2010/12/02/1548034/creation-museum-to-get-wooden.html

So in other words a DINO who should have been primaried a long time ago.

Why would we want to primary a man who supported a project that brought jobs to Kentucky?

Come to that, why would we want to primary a Democrat who can win statewide in Kentucky?

Because he's not a Democrat in line with most of the party's positions.

Creating jobs is most certainly in line with the Democratic party's positions.

Sure... building a creationist theme park I'm sure would really go down well with Progressives in other states.

I'm a progressive in another state. I'm fine with it.

I'm a progressive from New York, and if Kentucky wants to build a creationist theme park that creates jobs, I say go for it!  It probably wouldn't be a place I would take my kids or go on vacation, but if people enjoy it, let them enjoy it.

Besides, am I correct in saying no government funds wefre used to build the park? Beashear merely trumpted it a t ribbon cutting ceremony. BFD

Mybe he could run against McConnell in 14, or Paul in 16?

He could win, but he'd be at least 70; not a good age for a freshman senator. The Kentucky Democratic Party will have younger talent by then as well such as Jack Conway, Adam Edelen, and Alison Grimes. The popular outgoing auditor, Crit Luallen, is also a possibility.

I didn't realize Beashear was nearly that old. Good call.
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