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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: True Federalist)
| | |-+  Liberal Republican vs. Conservative Democrat Map
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Author Topic: Liberal Republican vs. Conservative Democrat Map  (Read 663 times)
ssuperflash
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« on: November 08, 2014, 11:38:00 pm »
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How would a map of a Northern Moderate Republican against a Southern Conservative Democrat look?

Also, could we see an election like this anytime soon?
« Last Edit: November 08, 2014, 11:39:53 pm by ssuperflash »Logged
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« Reply #1 on: November 09, 2014, 12:00:51 am »
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I foresee a Hispanic/Rust Belt/Dixiecrat/Urban coalition for the Democrats and Yuppies, Big Business,  Hipsters and Libertarians for the Republicans. They split the energy industry, I think.


Tie map.
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ssuperflash
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« Reply #2 on: November 09, 2014, 12:31:06 am »
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I agree with your map except I would give the Republican more of the South as well as Michigan, and the Democrat Virginia and Vermont. I would give the Democrat New York and the Republican Pennsylvania.

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wormyguy
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« Reply #3 on: November 09, 2014, 02:24:29 am »
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Steve Beshear (D-KY)/Henry Cuellar (D-TX) - 270
Charlie Baker (R-MA)/Chris Gibson (R-NY) - 268
« Last Edit: November 09, 2014, 11:31:29 am by wormyguy »Logged
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« Reply #4 on: November 09, 2014, 02:28:17 am »
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Goldwater
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« Reply #5 on: November 09, 2014, 03:03:27 am »
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My best attempt at creating a tied map:

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strangeland
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« Reply #6 on: November 09, 2014, 10:57:39 am »
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Also, could we see an election like this anytime soon?

Not possible with the current alignment and party coalitions. Maybe in a generation or two, things will be different, but even then I doubt it.
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#Ready4Nixon
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« Reply #7 on: November 09, 2014, 10:58:54 am »
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Should we assume that this means "libertarian Republican vs. populist Democrat"? Because I think it'd be interesting to have a match-up where the Republican is the populist and the Democrat the libertarian.
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Goldwater
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« Reply #8 on: November 09, 2014, 12:26:44 pm »
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Should we assume that this means "libertarian Republican vs. populist Democrat"? Because I think it'd be interesting to have a match-up where the Republican is the populist and the Democrat the libertarian.

Yeah, that would be interesting. Maybe something like this would be a tied map?

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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #9 on: November 10, 2014, 12:45:41 pm »
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I could see this for like Charlie Baker/Susan Collins vs. Steve Beshear/Mark Pryor



It's a complicated situation.  Black turnout/support would drop, but it certainly wouldn't go Republican.  Evangelical/SoCon support would probably swing heavily Dem, but I'm sure some of these folks would stay in the GOP fold even here.  As pissed as the Tea Partiers would be, the ones who turned out still wouldn't back a populist Dem ticket.  Similarly, as mad as progressives would be, they probably wouldn't abandon their economic views and party loyalty over it (or at least not enough of them), keeping CA, NY, OR, MA, etc. barely in the D fold.  Appalachia would swing heavily back to the Democrats, while upper New England would come home to its ancestral party (yes, even VT).  Really interesting states are FL, NC, VA, etc., where the GOP would lose some of its rural base while picking up some swing suburban voters, literally trading votes...

It'd be a very interesting election.
« Last Edit: November 10, 2014, 12:52:12 pm by Rockefeller GOP »Logged

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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #10 on: November 10, 2014, 02:16:37 pm »
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Here's my attempt at such a map:

Govenor Charlie Baker (R-MA)/Governor Larry Hogan (R-MD): 314 Electoral Votes
Former Senator Zell Miller (D-GA)/Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV): 224 Electoral Votes

Needless to say, the map would look pretty weird and would almost be reminiscent of the 1976 Presidential Election results with the exception of a few states.
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