bgwah
YaBB God
    
Posts: 13391

Political Matrix E: -4.52, S: -8.17

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« on: October 07, 2011, 12:35:28 am » |
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Totally unscientific and just for fun. LaFollette 1924 vs. Wallace 1968. Some nice North-South division until you get to New England, where they both did terribly which gives us some funny results, like RI. And yes, Minnesota may only win "most LaFollette" because Humphrey drained votes from Wallace.  Nixon 1972 vs. Reagan 1984. The two 49 state GOP landslides versus each other.  Not a single >60% state, though D.C. is >60% Nixon because a certain ethnic group wasn't very fond of Ronald Reagan. Nixon is blue. Reagan is green.  Clinton 1992 vs. Humphrey 1968. Two Democrats who got ~43% against each other. Vermont's rapid trend is showing itself. Otherwise Clintopia would be contiguous! Clinton is red.  Anderson 1980 vs. Perot 1996. Actually quite interesting. Anderson is yellow.  Roosevelt 1936 vs. Johnson 1964. Two 61% D landslides. LBJ is red, FDR is green. 
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| « Last Edit: October 07, 2011, 12:54:55 am by bgwah » | Logged |
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Erc
YaBB God
    
Posts: 4686


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« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2011, 10:31:29 am » |
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Here's a fun one: Obama (2008) vs. Bush (1988) Looks like a pretty bland prediction for a close 2008 election, though Colorado (the closest state here), and of course New Hampshire stand out. Also of note is that Obama manages to lose West Virginia, a Dukakis state. With the 2008 Electoral College, this happens to be a 269-269 tie as shown...though the outcome of Maine CD2 is in doubt. By my calculations, Bush wins Maine CD2 (and the election) by around 80 votes, though I'm frankly just guessing as to the third party totals there in 1988. With the 1988 Electoral College, Obama wins by 20 EV or so. Nixon (1960) v. Truman (1948) Picked this one because both Truman and Nixon got 49.55% of the popular vote. Parts of the Deep South are understandably wonky due to Thurmond, but even so this is one crazy map...and despite the closeness of the PV Nixon walks away with this one. Wilson (1916) v. Clinton (1996) Wilson and Clinton were just a hundredth of a percent off in their popular vote percentages. Despite the 80-year gap, this looks like something out of a prediction for the 2000 race, except with Wilson as the Republican.
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| « Last Edit: October 08, 2011, 10:44:54 am by Erc » | Logged |
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