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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
U.S. Presidential Election Results
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Candidates from different years vs. each other
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Topic: Candidates from different years vs. each other (Read 8369 times)
bgwah
YaBB God
Posts: 13444
Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -8.17
Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
on:
October 07, 2011, 12:35:28 am »
Totally unscientific and just for fun.
LaFollette 1924 vs. Wallace 1968
. Some nice North-South division until you get to New England, where they both did terribly which gives us some funny results, like RI. And yes, Minnesota may only win "most LaFollette" because Humphrey drained votes from Wallace.
Nixon 1972 vs. Reagan 1984
. The two 49 state GOP landslides versus each other.
Not a single >60% state, though D.C. is >60% Nixon because a certain ethnic group wasn't very fond of Ronald Reagan.
Nixon is blue. Reagan is green.
Clinton 1992 vs. Humphrey 1968
. Two Democrats who got ~43% against each other. Vermont's rapid trend is showing itself. Otherwise Clintopia would be contiguous!
Clinton is red.
Anderson 1980 vs. Perot 1996.
Actually quite interesting.
Anderson is yellow.
Roosevelt 1936 vs. Johnson 1964
. Two 61% D landslides.
LBJ is red, FDR is green.
«
Last Edit: October 07, 2011, 12:54:55 am by bgwah
»
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Fuzzy
Fuzzybigfoot
YaBB God
Posts: 3722
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #1 on:
October 07, 2011, 01:44:53 am »
Very nice.
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My avatar is as dark as my soul.
Formerly Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 25148
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #2 on:
October 07, 2011, 06:57:42 am »
Quote from: Senator Fuzzleton on October 07, 2011, 01:44:53 am
Very nice.
Logged
Thank you so much, USF.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
Erc
YaBB God
Posts: 4686
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #3 on:
October 08, 2011, 10:31:29 am »
Here's a fun one:
Obama (2008) vs. Bush (1988)
Looks like a pretty bland prediction for a close 2008 election, though Colorado (the closest state here), and of course New Hampshire stand out.
Also of note is that Obama manages to lose West Virginia, a Dukakis state.
With the 2008 Electoral College, this happens to be a 269-269 tie as shown...though the outcome of Maine CD2 is in doubt. By my calculations, Bush wins Maine CD2 (and the election) by around 80 votes, though I'm frankly just guessing as to the third party totals there in 1988. With the 1988 Electoral College, Obama wins by 20 EV or so.
Nixon (1960) v. Truman (1948)
Picked this one because both Truman and Nixon got 49.55% of the popular vote.
Parts of the Deep South are understandably wonky due to Thurmond, but even so this is one crazy map...and despite the closeness of the PV Nixon walks away with this one.
Wilson (1916) v. Clinton (1996)
Wilson and Clinton were just a hundredth of a percent off in their popular vote percentages.
Despite the 80-year gap, this looks like something out of a prediction for the 2000 race, except with Wilson as the Republican.
«
Last Edit: October 08, 2011, 10:44:54 am by Erc
»
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Formerly Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 25148
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #4 on:
October 08, 2011, 10:39:07 am »
Ironical how the 1988 winner would win with the 2008 College and vice-versa.
Logged
Thank you so much, USF.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
Senator Snowstalker
Snowstalker
YaBB God
Posts: 11266
Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -2.61
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #5 on:
October 08, 2011, 11:49:52 am »
I'd love to see Mondale vs. McGovern.
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Quote from: kobidobidog on June 09, 2013, 09:23:01 pm
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mondale84
YaBB God
Posts: 1324
Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -3.30
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #6 on:
October 08, 2011, 12:30:00 pm »
McGovern (blue) vs. Mondale (red)
Mondale landslide
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"There are no men like me. There's only me."
Erc
YaBB God
Posts: 4686
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #7 on:
October 08, 2011, 03:25:03 pm »
Bush '92 vs. McGovern
Remember, McGovern did get a (slightly) larger percentage of the popular vote in '72 than Bush did in '92. McGovern wins in a squeaker.
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Nichlemn
YaBB God
Posts: 1098
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #8 on:
October 14, 2011, 05:22:27 am »
I'd like to see Bush 04 versus Carter 76, please.
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I Am Feeblepizza.
ALF
Sr. Member
Posts: 352
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #9 on:
October 14, 2011, 06:38:07 am »
It would be nice to use the electoral map that we have now in every election, regardless of the candidates. By that, I mean that we should use Alaska, Hawaii, and our current EV count every time. I'd love to see how people like LaFollette or FDR do in Alaska, or how Andrew Jackson or Abraham Lincoln do with the map we have right now.
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Thomas D
YaBB God
Posts: 3093
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #10 on:
October 15, 2011, 09:35:42 am »
Kennedy 1960 vs. Clinton 1996
Kennedy- Green
Clinton- Yellow
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Thomas D
YaBB God
Posts: 3093
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #11 on:
October 15, 2011, 09:49:44 am »
Gore 2000 vs. Kerry 2004
Gore- Blue
Kerry- Green
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Fuzzy
Fuzzybigfoot
YaBB God
Posts: 3722
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #12 on:
October 15, 2011, 11:57:50 am »
Quote from: Thomas D on October 15, 2011, 09:35:42 am
Kennedy 1960 vs. Clinton 1996
Kennedy- Green
Clinton- Yellow
How does Clinton win Massachusetts?
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My avatar is as dark as my soul.
Thomas D
YaBB God
Posts: 3093
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #13 on:
October 15, 2011, 12:03:36 pm »
Clinton got 61.47% in 1996 and Kennedy got 60.22% in 1960. Isn't that how this works?
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A-Bob
YaBB God
Posts: 5888
Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 1.13
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #14 on:
October 15, 2011, 12:12:11 pm »
Quote from: Erc on October 08, 2011, 03:25:03 pm
Bush '92 vs. McGovern
Remember, McGovern did get a (slightly) larger percentage of the popular vote in '72 than Bush did in '92. McGovern wins in a squeaker.
Remember how Ross Perrot ran in '92?
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Vazdul (Formerly Chairman of the Communist Party of Ontario)
Vazdul
YaBB God
Posts: 4410
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #15 on:
October 15, 2011, 02:44:33 pm »
McGovern vs. Goldwater
298-240 McGovern (in 1972 numbers), despite losing the popular vote.
Al Smith vs. Hoover '32
321-210 Smith (in 1932 numbers).
«
Last Edit: October 15, 2011, 03:42:13 pm by Johannes Overgaard, Antillan MP (SPP-Bronseland)
»
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Seriously, it was time to change back to the real avatar.
Vazdul (Formerly Chairman of the Communist Party of Ontario)
Vazdul
YaBB God
Posts: 4410
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #16 on:
October 15, 2011, 04:33:09 pm »
By Nichlemn’s request,
Bush ‘04 vs. Carter ‘76
Bush trades Georgia and Arkansas for Michigan. 281-257 Bush (in 2004 numbers).
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Seriously, it was time to change back to the real avatar.
Thomas D
YaBB God
Posts: 3093
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #17 on:
October 15, 2011, 05:18:04 pm »
Kennedy 1960 vs. Carter 1976
Carter-Blue
Kennedy-Green
Carter wins 269-268 using 1960 numbers.
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Vazdul (Formerly Chairman of the Communist Party of Ontario)
Vazdul
YaBB God
Posts: 4410
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #18 on:
October 15, 2011, 06:49:20 pm »
Gore (2000) vs. Ford (1976)
300-238 Gore (using 2000 numbers). Wisconsin gets the special pink shade for being too close to call. In the end, it goes to Gore by about seven-thousandths of a percentage point.
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Seriously, it was time to change back to the real avatar.
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
Posts: 8084
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #19 on:
October 15, 2011, 07:26:27 pm »
Obama Primary Vs. Obama General
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FloridaRepublican
justrhyno
Sr. Member
Posts: 458
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #20 on:
October 15, 2011, 08:37:56 pm »
Wilson (1912) vs Roosevelt (1936)?
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You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
Posts: 8084
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #21 on:
October 16, 2011, 08:43:17 am »
Bill 1996 Vs. Hillary 2008. Within 1% of eachother, in terms of the info on the Atlas, so why not?
Senator Clinton - 48.26% (286 EVs)
President Clinton - 49.23% (252 EVs)
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Thomas D
YaBB God
Posts: 3093
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #22 on:
October 16, 2011, 09:47:05 am »
Quote from: floridarepub on October 15, 2011, 08:37:56 pm
Wilson (1912) vs Roosevelt (1936)?
Roosevelt wins every state since he got about 60% and Wilson got 42%.
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Beta Ray Bill is the best pony
The Obamanation
YaBB God
Posts: 4344
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #23 on:
October 16, 2011, 10:05:49 am »
Alfred Landon vs Barry Goldwater?
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Thomas D
YaBB God
Posts: 3093
Re: Candidates from different years vs. each other
«
Reply #24 on:
October 16, 2011, 10:27:02 am »
Quote from: Yet another display name referencing Herman Cain's 999 Plan on October 16, 2011, 10:05:49 am
Alfred Landon vs Barry Goldwater?
Goldwater-Blue
Landon-Green
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