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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: True Federalist)
| | |-+  Candidates from different years vs. each other
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Author Topic: Candidates from different years vs. each other  (Read 11071 times)
bgwah
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« on: October 07, 2011, 12:35:28 am »
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Totally unscientific and just for fun.

LaFollette 1924 vs. Wallace 1968. Some nice North-South division until you get to New England, where they both did terribly which gives us some funny results, like RI. And yes, Minnesota may only win "most LaFollette" because Humphrey drained votes from Wallace.





Nixon 1972 vs. Reagan 1984. The two 49 state GOP landslides versus each other. Smiley Not a single >60% state, though D.C. is >60% Nixon because a certain ethnic group wasn't very fond of Ronald Reagan.

Nixon is blue. Reagan is green.





Clinton 1992 vs. Humphrey 1968. Two Democrats who got ~43% against each other. Vermont's rapid trend is showing itself. Otherwise Clintopia would be contiguous!

Clinton is red.





Anderson 1980 vs. Perot 1996. Actually quite interesting.

Anderson is yellow.





Roosevelt 1936 vs. Johnson 1964. Two 61% D landslides.

LBJ is red, FDR is green.

« Last Edit: October 07, 2011, 12:54:55 am by bgwah »Logged

FBF
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« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2011, 01:44:53 am »
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Very nice.  Smiley
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Antonio V
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« Reply #2 on: October 07, 2011, 06:57:42 am »
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Very nice.  Smiley
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22:15   ComradeSibboleth   this is all extremely terrible and in all respects absolutely fycking dire.
Erc
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« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2011, 10:31:29 am »
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Here's a fun one:

Obama (2008) vs. Bush (1988)



Looks like a pretty bland prediction for a close 2008 election, though Colorado (the closest state here), and of course New Hampshire stand out.

Also of note is that Obama manages to lose West Virginia, a Dukakis state.

With the 2008 Electoral College, this happens to be a 269-269 tie as shown...though the outcome of Maine CD2 is in doubt.  By my calculations, Bush wins Maine CD2 (and the election) by around 80 votes, though I'm frankly just guessing as to the third party totals there in 1988.  With the 1988 Electoral College, Obama wins by 20 EV or so.

Nixon (1960) v. Truman (1948)



Picked this one because both Truman and Nixon got 49.55% of the popular vote.

Parts of the Deep South are understandably wonky due to Thurmond, but even so this is one crazy map...and despite the closeness of the PV Nixon walks away with this one.

Wilson (1916) v. Clinton (1996)



Wilson and Clinton were just a hundredth of a percent off in their popular vote percentages.

Despite the 80-year gap, this looks like something out of a prediction for the 2000 race, except with Wilson as the Republican.
« Last Edit: October 08, 2011, 10:44:54 am by Erc »Logged
Antonio V
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« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2011, 10:39:07 am »
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Ironical how the 1988 winner would win with the 2008 College and vice-versa. Wink
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Snowstalker
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« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2011, 11:49:52 am »
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I'd love to see Mondale vs. McGovern.
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mondale84
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« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2011, 12:30:00 pm »
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McGovern (blue) vs. Mondale (red)



Mondale landslide
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Erc
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« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2011, 03:25:03 pm »
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Bush '92 vs. McGovern



Remember, McGovern did get a (slightly) larger percentage of the popular vote in '72 than Bush did in '92.  McGovern wins in a squeaker.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #8 on: October 14, 2011, 05:22:27 am »
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I'd like to see Bush 04 versus Carter 76, please.
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I Am Feeblepizza.
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« Reply #9 on: October 14, 2011, 06:38:07 am »
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It would be nice to use the electoral map that we have now in every election, regardless of the candidates. By that, I mean that we should use Alaska, Hawaii, and our current EV count every time. I'd love to see how people like LaFollette or FDR do in Alaska, or how Andrew Jackson or Abraham Lincoln do with the map we have right now.
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Thomas D
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« Reply #10 on: October 15, 2011, 09:35:42 am »
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Kennedy 1960 vs. Clinton 1996




Kennedy- Green 
Clinton- Yellow
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Thomas D
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« Reply #11 on: October 15, 2011, 09:49:44 am »
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Gore 2000 vs. Kerry 2004



Gore- Blue
Kerry- Green
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« Reply #12 on: October 15, 2011, 11:57:50 am »
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Kennedy 1960 vs. Clinton 1996




Kennedy- Green 
Clinton- Yellow

How does Clinton win Massachusetts?
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Thomas D
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« Reply #13 on: October 15, 2011, 12:03:36 pm »
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Clinton got 61.47% in 1996 and Kennedy got 60.22% in 1960. Isn't that how this works?
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A-Bob
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« Reply #14 on: October 15, 2011, 12:12:11 pm »
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Bush '92 vs. McGovern



Remember, McGovern did get a (slightly) larger percentage of the popular vote in '72 than Bush did in '92.  McGovern wins in a squeaker.


Remember how Ross Perrot ran in '92? Wink
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Vazdul (Formerly Chairman of the Communist Party of Ontario)
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« Reply #15 on: October 15, 2011, 02:44:33 pm »
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McGovern vs. Goldwater



298-240 McGovern (in 1972 numbers), despite losing the popular vote.

Al Smith vs. Hoover '32



321-210 Smith (in 1932 numbers).
« Last Edit: October 15, 2011, 03:42:13 pm by Johannes Overgaard, Antillan MP (SPP-Bronseland) »Logged

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Vazdul (Formerly Chairman of the Communist Party of Ontario)
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« Reply #16 on: October 15, 2011, 04:33:09 pm »
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By Nichlemn’s request, Bush ‘04 vs. Carter ‘76



Bush trades Georgia and Arkansas for Michigan. 281-257 Bush (in 2004 numbers).
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Thomas D
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« Reply #17 on: October 15, 2011, 05:18:04 pm »
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Kennedy 1960 vs. Carter 1976



Carter-Blue
Kennedy-Green

Carter wins 269-268 using 1960 numbers.
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Vazdul (Formerly Chairman of the Communist Party of Ontario)
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« Reply #18 on: October 15, 2011, 06:49:20 pm »
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Gore (2000) vs. Ford (1976)



300-238 Gore (using 2000 numbers). Wisconsin gets the special pink shade for being too close to call. In the end, it goes to Gore by about seven-thousandths of a percentage point.
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change08
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« Reply #19 on: October 15, 2011, 07:26:27 pm »
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Obama Primary Vs. Obama General

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FloridaRepublican
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« Reply #20 on: October 15, 2011, 08:37:56 pm »
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Wilson (1912) vs Roosevelt (1936)?
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change08
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« Reply #21 on: October 16, 2011, 08:43:17 am »
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Bill 1996 Vs. Hillary 2008. Within 1% of eachother, in terms of the info on the Atlas, so why not?



Senator Clinton - 48.26% (286 EVs)
President Clinton - 49.23% (252 EVs)
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Thomas D
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« Reply #22 on: October 16, 2011, 09:47:05 am »
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Wilson (1912) vs Roosevelt (1936)?

Roosevelt wins every state since he got about 60% and Wilson got 42%.
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Costco
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« Reply #23 on: October 16, 2011, 10:05:49 am »
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Alfred Landon vs Barry Goldwater?
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Thomas D
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« Reply #24 on: October 16, 2011, 10:27:02 am »
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Alfred Landon vs Barry Goldwater?



Goldwater-Blue
Landon-Green
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