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historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
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Topic: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles (Read 695 times)
freepcrusher
YaBB God
Posts: 2055
historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
on:
July 02, 2012, 02:38:54 pm »
Alabama
Best Decade: 1970s (+0.11 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1950s (-0.95 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Arizona
Best Decade: 1990s (+1.52 Seats)
Reason: unemployed aerospace workers from CA moving to AZ maybe?
Worst Decade: 1930s (+.10 Seats)
Reason: The Depression?
Arkansas
Best Decade: 1970s (+0.28 Seats)
Reason: Wal-Mart, I'm guessing
Worst Decade: 1950s (-1.20 Seats)
Reason: IDK
California
Best Decade: 1940s (+7.87 Seats)
Reason: The War Industry
Worst Decade: 2000s (+0.14 Seats)
Reason: Housing Bubble
Colorado
Best Decade: 1990s (+0.89 Seats)
Reason: Probably lots of SoCal White flight
Worst Decade: 1920s (-0.19 Seats)
Reason: Farm Crisis maybe?
Connecticut
Best Decade: 1910s (+0.41 Seats)
Reason: IDK?
Worst Decade: 1970s (-0.52 Seats)
Reason: baby boomers moving out of the house?
Delaware
Best Decade: 1950s (+0.16 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1920s (+0.07 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Florida
Best Decade: 1970s (+4.20 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1910s (+0.43 Seats)
Reason: Maybe the state was seen as a backwater back then
Georgia
Best Decade: 1990s (+1.32 Seats)
Reason: The state at the time was seen as some kind of fundie zion
Worst Decade: 1920s (-1.58 seats)
Reason: IDK
Idaho
Best Decade: 1970s (+0.29 Seats)
Reason: Didn't a lot of Orange County types move up there around that time?
Worst Decade: 1920s (-0.20 Seats)
Reason: Farm Crisis?
Illinois
Best Decade: 1920s (+0.42 Seats)
Reason: Industrialization
Worst Decade: 1980s (-1.94 Seats)
Reason: Urban Decay, De-industrialization
Indiana
Best Decade: 1940s (+0.08 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1980s (-0.84 Seats)
Reason: De-industrialization
Iowa
Best Decade: 2000s (-0.23 Seats)
Reason: Growth around metro DM to balance out rural losses
Worst Decade: 1920s (-1.11 Seats)
Reason: Farm Crisis I'm guessing
Kansas
Best Decade: 2000s (-0.13 Seats)
Reason: Growth in Johnson County to offset losses elsewhere
Worst Decade: 1930s (-0.73 Seats)
Reason: Dust Bowl
Kentucky
Best Decade: 1970s (+0.14 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1950s (-1.16 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Louisiana
Best Decade: 1930s (+0.34 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1980s (-0.69 Seats)
Reason: Oil Bust I'm guessing
Maine
Best Decade: 1970s (+0.03 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1910s (-0.35 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Maryland
Best Decade: 1960s (+0.87 Seats)
Reason: growth in jobs in DC area
Worst Decade: 1970s (-0.30 Seats)
Reason: probably baby boomers growing up and suburbanization not being enough to offset population losses in Baltimore
Massachusetts
Best Decade: 1910s (-0.07 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1970s (-1.15 Seats)
Reason: De-industrialization
Michigan
Best Decade: 1920s (+2.11 Seats)
Reason: Boom of Auto Industry
Worst Decade: 1980s (-1.53 Seats)
Reason: Urban Decay and De-industrialization
Minnesota
Best Decade: 1930s (+0.12 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1920s (-0.71 Seats)
Reason: 1920s Farm Crisis?
Mississippi
Best Decade: 1970s (+0.10 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1910s (-1.13 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Missouri
Best Decade: 2000s (-0.21 Seats)
Reason: Population Growth in SWMO to balance out losses elsewhere?
Worst Decade: 1910s (-1.57 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Montana
Best Decade: 1910s (+0.48 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1920s (-0.35 Seats)
Reason: 1920s Farm Crisis?
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brittain33
YaBB God
Posts: 11973
Re: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
Reply #1 on:
July 02, 2012, 02:50:34 pm »
This is really good.
Quote from: freepcrusher on July 02, 2012, 02:38:54 pm
Connecticut
Best Decade: 1910s (+0.41 Seats)
Reason: IDK?
Immigration from Europe.
Quote
Georgia
Worst Decade: 1920s (-1.58 seats)
Reason: IDK
Possibly the Great Migration.
Quote
Kentucky
Best Decade: 1970s (+0.14 Seats)
West Virginia also boomed in that decade, you'll find. Was it a good era for coal miners and associated industries and people having lots of children?
Quote
Massachusetts
Best Decade: 1910s (-0.07 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Immigration, industry, natural population growth
Quote
Mississippi
Worst Decade: 1910s (-1.13 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Possibly also WWI labor movements, Great Migration beginning, and cotton starting to decline, at least in labor intensity. See also Florida.
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freepcrusher
YaBB God
Posts: 2055
Re: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
Reply #2 on:
July 02, 2012, 02:57:41 pm »
Nebraska
Best Decade: 2000s (-0.07 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1930s (-0.55 Seats)
Reason: Dustbowl
Nevada
Best Decade: 1990s (+0.98 Seats)
Reason: people who couldn't afford to live in CA maybe moved there?
Worst Decade: 1910s (-0.07 Seats)
Reason: IDK
New Hampshire
Best Decade: 1970s (+0.19 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1910s (-0.21 Seats)
Reason: IDK
New Jersey
Best Decade: 1920s (+1.38 Seats)
Reason: lots of children of immigrants leaving the lower east side?
Worst Decade: 1970s (-1.19 Seats)
Reason: baby boomers moving out of the house?
New Mexico
Best Decades: 1950s and 1970s (+0.33 Seats both times)
Reason: not sure about the 1970s but in the 50s i'm guessing it was a boom in military jobs
Worst Decade: 1910s (-0.07 Seats)
Reason: IDK
New York
Best Decade: 1920s (+1.99 Seats)
Reason: The Jazz Age
Worst Decade: 1970s (-5.31 Seats)
Reason: probably a combination between baby boomers moving out of the house, deindustrialization in upstate/western New York and urban decay in areas like Harlem, South Bronx, Bed-Sty
North Carolina
Best Decade: 2000s (+1.00 Seats)
Reason: Growth in knowledge industries
Worst Decade: 1950s (-0.71 Seats)
Reason: IDK
North Dakota
Best Decade: 2000s (-0.04 Seats)
Reason: boom in oil industry?
Worst Decade: 1940s (-0.32 Seats)
Reason: in the 30s, you had the excuse with the dust bowl. No idea the reason for this.
Ohio
Best Decade: 1910s (+1.16 Seats)
Reason: industrialization
Worst Decade: 1970s (-2.06 Seats)
Reason: deindustrialization and urban decay
Oklahoma
Best Decade: 1910s (+0.52 Seats)
Reason: oil boom?
Worst Decade: 1940s (-1.25 Seats)
Reason: see North Dakota
Oregon
Best Decade: 1940s (+0.81 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1950s (-0.11 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Pennsylvania
Best Decade: 1910s (-0.35 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade 1950s (-2.95 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Rhode Island
Best Decade: 1920s (-0.04 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1950s and 1970s (-0.21 Seats)
Reason: not sure about the 50s but in the 70s, it was deindustrialization
South Carolina
Best Decade: 1970s (+0.46 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1920s (-0.75 Seats)
Reason: IDK
South Dakota
Best Decade: 2000s (-0.02 Seats)
Reason: Growth in Sioux Falls to offset losses elsewhere?
Worst Decade: 1930s (-0.33 Seats)
Reason: Dustbowl
Tennessee
Best Decade: 1970s (+0.42 Seats)
Reason: Not sure. What is it with all these normally slow-growing southern states in the 1970s?
Worst Decade: 1950s (-0.88 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Texas
Best Decade: 1970s (+3.38 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1930s (+0.50 Seats)
Reason: Dustbowl
Utah
Best Decade: 1970s (+0.54 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1920s (-0.04 Seats)
Reason: Farm Crisis?
Vermont
Best Decade: 1970s (+0.03 Seats)
Reason: NY Expats moving there?
Worst Decade: 1910s (-0.23 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Virginia
Best Decade: 1940s (+0.77 Seats)
Reason: boom in wartime industries?
Worst Decade: 1920s (-0.90 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Washington
Best Decade: 1940s (+1.16 Seats)
Reason: boom in aircraft production during war era?
Worst Decade: 1920s (-0.03 Seats)
Reason: Farm Crisis?
West Virginia
Best Decade: 1910s (+0.25 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1950s (-1.30 Seats)
Reason: Not sure. It seems the upland south suffered terribly in the 50s
Wisconsin
Best Decade: 1960s (-0.14 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1980s (-0.48 Seats)
Reason: De-industrialization
Wyoming
Best Decade: 1970s (+0.19 Seats)
Reason: Oil Boom
Worst Decade: 1980s (-0.10 Seats)
Reason: Oil Bust
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Speaker Dereich
Dereich
YaBB God
Posts: 1061
Re: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
Reply #3 on:
July 02, 2012, 03:36:55 pm »
Quote from: freepcrusher on July 02, 2012, 02:38:54 pm
Florida
Best Decade: 1970s (+4.20 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1910s (+0.43 Seats)
Reason: Maybe the state was seen as a backwater back then
Not the only reason, but the answer to both is air conditioning. Florida was a slow growing backwater before the 60's or so, because it was too damn hot to live in. In the 50's almost every other southern state had more people then Florida did, and when air conditioning became a big thing in the late 60's/early 70's while all southern states grew by a lot, Florida was even cheaper and prettier then the other places in the south. Also, the 70s were a big time for all the southern states because thats around the time northern businesses decided to flee en masse south for cheaper labor costs.
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freepcrusher
YaBB God
Posts: 2055
Re: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
Reply #4 on:
July 02, 2012, 03:43:34 pm »
Quote from: Dereich on July 02, 2012, 03:36:55 pm
Quote from: freepcrusher on July 02, 2012, 02:38:54 pm
Florida
Best Decade: 1970s (+4.20 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1910s (+0.43 Seats)
Reason: Maybe the state was seen as a backwater back then
Not the only reason, but the answer to both is air conditioning. Florida was a slow growing backwater before the 60's or so, because it was too damn hot to live in. In the 50's almost every other southern state had more people then Florida did, and when air conditioning became a big thing in the late 60's/early 70's while all southern states grew by a lot, Florida was even cheaper and prettier then the other places in the south. Also, the 70s were a big time for all the southern states because thats around the time northern businesses decided to flee en masse south for cheaper labor costs.
not true at all. Florida has always been very fast growing
1910 3.56
1920 3.99
1930 5.22
1940 6.28
1950 8.04
1960 12.04
1970 14.55
1980 18.75
1990 22.68
2000 24.75
2010 26.54
the gain of 22.98 seats in the 435 era is second to only California.
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ilikeverin
YaBB God
Posts: 14755
Re: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
Reply #5 on:
July 02, 2012, 04:04:36 pm »
Quote from: freepcrusher on July 02, 2012, 02:38:54 pm
Minnesota
Best Decade: 1930s (+0.12 Seats)
Reason: IDK
I suspect Minnesota weathered (hah) the 1930s fairly well thanks to its northern location, so that's probably the result of migrants from Great Plains states. I know it seems like half my Iowan relatives moved to Minnesota sometime around the 1930s. The state government sometimes being avowedly socialist probably made it attractive to poor farmers
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Folk Representant of the Most Serene Republic of the Midwest, registered in the State of Joy, in Atlasia
Recognized National Treasure of Atlasia
freepcrusher
YaBB God
Posts: 2055
Re: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
Reply #6 on:
July 02, 2012, 05:26:36 pm »
Quote from: ilikeverin on July 02, 2012, 04:04:36 pm
Quote from: freepcrusher on July 02, 2012, 02:38:54 pm
Minnesota
Best Decade: 1930s (+0.12 Seats)
Reason: IDK
I suspect Minnesota weathered (hah) the 1930s fairly well thanks to its northern location, so that's probably the result of migrants from Great Plains states. I know it seems like half my Iowan relatives moved to Minnesota sometime around the 1930s. The state government sometimes being avowedly socialist probably made it attractive to poor farmers
yep. Eddie Cochran who was a well known rockabilly singer, was from a family where his parents moved up to Minnesota from OK in the 1930s.
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True Federalist
Ernest
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 21464
Re: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
Reply #7 on:
July 02, 2012, 08:36:39 pm »
Quote from: freepcrusher on July 02, 2012, 02:38:54 pm
Florida
Best Decade: 1970s (+4.20 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1910s (+0.43 Seats)
Reason: Maybe the state was seen as a backwater back then
Georgia
Best Decade: 1990s (+1.32 Seats)
Reason: The state at the time was seen as some kind of fundie zion
Worst Decade: 1920s (-1.58 seats)
Reason: IDK
Mississippi
Best Decade: 1970s (+0.10 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1910s (-1.13 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Quote from: freepcrusher on July 02, 2012, 02:57:41 pm
South Carolina
Best Decade: 1970s (+0.46 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1920s (-0.75 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Virginia
Best Decade: 1940s (+0.77 Seats)
Reason: boom in wartime industries?
Worst Decade: 1920s (-0.90 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Not certain about Virgina, but in the other four states, the reason why those were their worst decades was certainly because of the boll weevil.
The boll weevil crossed the Rio Grande into Texas in the 1890s and spread. It devastated the cotton fields, killing off sharecropping as it killed the cotton, and was one of the principal causes of the Great Migration of Negroes from the rural south to the urban north.
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“Always it is easier to pay homage to prophets than to heed the direction of their vision.”
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Read
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Speaker Dereich
Dereich
YaBB God
Posts: 1061
Re: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
Reply #8 on:
July 03, 2012, 10:17:10 am »
Quote from: freepcrusher on July 02, 2012, 03:43:34 pm
Quote from: Dereich on July 02, 2012, 03:36:55 pm
Quote from: freepcrusher on July 02, 2012, 02:38:54 pm
Florida
Best Decade: 1970s (+4.20 Seats)
Reason: IDK
Worst Decade: 1910s (+0.43 Seats)
Reason: Maybe the state was seen as a backwater back then
Not the only reason, but the answer to both is air conditioning. Florida was a slow growing backwater before the 60's or so, because it was too damn hot to live in. In the 50's almost every other southern state had more people then Florida did, and when air conditioning became a big thing in the late 60's/early 70's while all southern states grew by a lot, Florida was even cheaper and prettier then the other places in the south. Also, the 70s were a big time for all the southern states because thats around the time northern businesses decided to flee en masse south for cheaper labor costs.
not true at all. Florida has always been very fast growing
1910 3.56
1920 3.99
1930 5.22
1940 6.28
1950 8.04
1960 12.04
1970 14.55
1980 18.75
1990 22.68
2000 24.75
2010 26.54
the gain of 22.98 seats in the 435 era is second to only California.
The numbers don't really refute me. About 2/3s of that growth came after AC became cheap enough to install in cars in the late 50's. Before then the only decade where Florida gained more then one seat was the 40's, and that's thanks to the massive growth in military personel and hangers-on from World War II.
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Yelnoc
YaBB God
Posts: 6565
Re: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
Reply #9 on:
July 03, 2012, 11:03:14 am »
Quote from: freepcrusher on July 02, 2012, 02:38:54 pm
Georgia
Best Decade: 1990s (+1.32 Seats)
Reason: The state at the time was seen as some kind of fundie zion
Worst Decade: 1920s (-1.58 seats)
Reason: IDK
Actually, the 1990s were the start of the housing boom. Georgia was (and still is) an extremely cheap place to live, and benefited from the same mass immigration from north to south that Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, and (too a lesser extant) South Carolina and Alabama have.
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NY Jew
YaBB God
Posts: 544
Re: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
Reply #10 on:
July 03, 2012, 12:15:21 pm »
what does the Jazz age have to do with NY's growth it most likely has to do with young immigrants settling down and having kids.
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Chareth Cutestory
fezzyfestoon
YaBB God
Posts: 8378
Re: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
Reply #11 on:
July 03, 2012, 06:43:48 pm »
Quote from: freepcrusher on July 02, 2012, 02:57:41 pm
New Jersey
Best Decade: 1920s (+1.38 Seats)
Reason: lots of children of immigrants leaving the lower east side?
Worst Decade: 1970s (-1.19 Seats)
Reason: baby boomers moving out of the house?
Nope, just an ass-load of immigrants from Italy and Ireland. Then the massive decline in the state's urban areas.
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Pirate lawyer
patrick1
YaBB God
Posts: 6980
Re: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
Reply #12 on:
July 03, 2012, 08:07:25 pm »
Quote from: fezzyfestoon on July 03, 2012, 06:43:48 pm
Quote from: freepcrusher on July 02, 2012, 02:57:41 pm
New Jersey
Best Decade: 1920s (+1.38 Seats)
Reason: lots of children of immigrants leaving the lower east side?
Worst Decade: 1970s (-1.19 Seats)
Reason: baby boomers moving out of the house?
Nope, just an ass-load of immigrants from Italy and Ireland. Then the massive decline in the state's urban areas.
Yep, this is largely a factor of the explosive industrial growth of Newark and Jersey City from 1900-1930 (fueled largely by the Irish and Italian labor on the docks and factories) and then the collapse in aftermath of 67 Newark riots and racial tensions/white flight in general.
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freepcrusher
YaBB God
Posts: 2055
Re: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
Reply #13 on:
July 03, 2012, 11:41:43 pm »
Quote from: NY Jew on July 03, 2012, 12:15:21 pm
what does the Jazz age have to do with NY's growth it most likely has to do with young immigrants settling down and having kids.
yeah but the cultural attractions of the era probably brought a lot of people to the state.
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freepcrusher
YaBB God
Posts: 2055
Re: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
Reply #14 on:
July 03, 2012, 11:42:54 pm »
Quote from: fezzyfestoon on July 03, 2012, 06:43:48 pm
Quote from: freepcrusher on July 02, 2012, 02:57:41 pm
New Jersey
Best Decade: 1920s (+1.38 Seats)
Reason: lots of children of immigrants leaving the lower east side?
Worst Decade: 1970s (-1.19 Seats)
Reason: baby boomers moving out of the house?
Nope, just an ass-load of immigrants from Italy and Ireland. Then the massive decline in the state's urban areas.
didn't most immigration peter out around the start of WWI and pretty much stay relatively low until the 1970s?
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freepcrusher
YaBB God
Posts: 2055
Re: historical reasons for each state's growth cycles
«
Reply #15 on:
July 03, 2012, 11:46:13 pm »
Quote from: patrick1 on July 03, 2012, 08:07:25 pm
Quote from: fezzyfestoon on July 03, 2012, 06:43:48 pm
Quote from: freepcrusher on July 02, 2012, 02:57:41 pm
New Jersey
Best Decade: 1920s (+1.38 Seats)
Reason: lots of children of immigrants leaving the lower east side?
Worst Decade: 1970s (-1.19 Seats)
Reason: baby boomers moving out of the house?
Nope, just an ass-load of immigrants from Italy and Ireland. Then the massive decline in the state's urban areas.
Yep, this is largely a factor of the explosive industrial growth of Newark and Jersey City from 1900-1930 (fueled largely by the Irish and Italian labor on the docks and factories) and then the collapse in aftermath of 67 Newark riots and racial tensions/white flight in general.
one thing I found interesting about New Jersey in the 1970s was that it was basically a sharp reversal of population trends that only happen every so often. In the 1950s the state gained 0.72 districts and in the 1960s it gained 0.61 districts.
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