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Author Topic: Mexico 2012  (Read 24646 times)
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« Reply #75 on: November 13, 2011, 10:36:28 pm »
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303/6074 precincts reporting, 28  illegible

PAN 23,334 votes (35.38%)
PRI 22,907 votes (34.73%)
PRD 17,868 votes (27.09%)
write-ins 37 votes (0.06%)
invalid 1,808 votes (2.74%)
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« Reply #76 on: November 13, 2011, 10:41:54 pm »
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341/6074 precincts reporting, 28  illegible

PAN 26,738 votes (35.39%)
PRI 26,610 votes (35.22%)
PRD 20,101 votes (26.61%)
write-ins 41 votes (0.05%)
invalid 2,058 votes (2.72%)
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« Reply #77 on: November 13, 2011, 10:45:23 pm »
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PRI is up again - by 27 votes!

363/6074 precincts reporting, 28  illegible

PRI 28,519 votes (35.39%)
PAN 28,492 votes (35.36%)
PRD 21,318 votes (26.46%)
write-ins 41 votes (0.05%)
invalid 2,211 votes (2.74%)

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« Reply #78 on: November 13, 2011, 10:52:07 pm »
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405/6074 precincts reporting, 30  illegible

PRI 32,608 votes (35.43%)
PAN 32,157 votes (34.94%)
PRD 24,676 votes (26.81%)
write-ins 47 votes (0.05%)
invalid 2,551 votes (2.77%)
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« Reply #79 on: November 13, 2011, 11:01:46 pm »
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The reporting site is getting slow.
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« Reply #80 on: November 13, 2011, 11:09:37 pm »
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PRI has opened a bit of a lead

506/6074 precincts reporting, 32  illegible

PRI 42,534 votes (35.49%)
PAN 41,275 votes (34.44%)
PRD 32,569 votes (27.18%)
write-ins 63 votes (0.05%)
invalid 3,393 votes (2.83%)
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« Reply #81 on: November 13, 2011, 11:18:54 pm »
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589/6074 precincts reporting, 36  illegible

PRI 50,730 votes (35.56%)
PAN 49,013 votes (34.36%)
PRD 38,782 votes (27.18%)
write-ins 89 votes (0.06%)
invalid 4.048 votes (2.84%)

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« Reply #82 on: November 13, 2011, 11:28:33 pm »
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689/6074 precincts reporting, 39  illegible

PRI 60,832 votes (35.62%)
PAN 58,006 votes (33.97%)
PRD 46,988 votes (27.51%)
write-ins 93 votes (0.05%)
invalid 4.855 votes (2.84%)

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« Reply #83 on: November 13, 2011, 11:39:31 pm »
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PRI lead is slowly but surely expanding

789/6074 precincts reporting, 44  illegible

PRI 71,721 votes (35.71%)
PAN 68,178 votes (33.95%)
PRD 55,216 votes (27.49%)
write-ins 118 votes (0.06%)
invalid 5,614 votes (2.8 0%)
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« Reply #84 on: November 13, 2011, 11:55:21 pm »
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919/6074 precincts reporting, 50  illegible

PRI 84,492 votes (35.57%)
PAN 80,150 votes (33.75%)
PRD 66,208 votes (27.88%)
write-ins 128 votes (0.06%)
invalid 6,536 votes (2.75%)
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« Reply #85 on: November 14, 2011, 12:09:24 am »
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1,039/6074 precincts reporting, 51  illegible

PRI 96,762 votes (35.24%)
PAN 92,838 votes (33.81%)
PRD 77,396 votes (28.19%)
write-ins 138 votes (0.05%)
invalid 7,440 votes (2.71%)
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« Reply #86 on: November 14, 2011, 12:19:00 am »
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It is, of course, still early, but if I were a priista, I'd start getting excited.

1,162/6074 precincts reporting, 54  illegible

PRI 110,025 votes (35.41%)
PAN 103,971 votes (33.46%)
PRD 88,131 votes (28.36%)
write-ins 151 votes (0.05%)
invalid 8,474 votes (2.73%)
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« Reply #87 on: November 14, 2011, 12:32:57 am »
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1,270/6074 precincts reporting, 54  illegible

PRI 120,411 votes (35.17%)
PAN 114,592 votes (33.47%)
PRD 97,899 votes (28.60%)
write-ins 163 votes (0.05%)
invalid 9,275 votes (2.71%)

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« Reply #88 on: November 14, 2011, 12:46:30 am »
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1,408/6074 precincts reporting, 54  illegible

PRI 134,397 votes (35.15%)
PAN 127,604 votes (33.37%)
PRD 109,733 votes (28.70%)
write-ins 186 votes (0.05%)
invalid 10,459  votes (2.74%)

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« Reply #89 on: November 14, 2011, 01:03:13 am »
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1,527/6074 precincts reporting, 54  illegible

PRI 146,846 votes (35.06%)
PAN 139,675 votes (33.35%)
PRD 120,593 votes (28.79%)
write-ins 206 votes (0.05%)
invalid 11,505 votes (2.75%)
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« Reply #90 on: November 14, 2011, 01:33:40 am »
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I am afraid, this is starting to look like a PRI victory (though, of course, it is still very early - but very steady).

1,822/6074 precincts reporting, 54  illegible

PRI 179,396 votes (35.20%)
PAN 169,240 votes (33.20%)
PRD 146,694 votes (28.78%)
write-ins 225 votes (0.04%)
invalid 14,143 votes (2.77%)
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« Reply #91 on: November 14, 2011, 02:21:21 am »
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Though only just under 50% of the precincts have been counted, I am going to go on a limb and predict PRI pick-up from PRD. It's just too steady a count.

2,823/6074 precincts reporting, 54  illegible

PRI 287,337votes (34.93%)
PAN 270,813 votes (32.92%)
PRD 240,055 votes (29.18%)
write-ins 367 votes (0.04%)
invalid 24,072 votes (2.93%)

off to bed.
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« Reply #92 on: November 14, 2011, 02:27:34 am »
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ok, one more

2,962/6074 precincts reporting, 54  illegible

PRI 301,331 votes (34.76%)
PAN 285,921 votes (32.99%)
PRD 253,777 votes (29.28%)
write-ins 379 votes (0.04%)
invalid 25,403 votes (2.93%)
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« Reply #93 on: November 14, 2011, 06:02:20 am »
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It seems that at La Piedad, where the mayor, Ricardo Guzman, was gunned down a week or so ago, the PAN won with 54% of the vote.  Ricardo Guzman was a member of PAN
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The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
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« Reply #94 on: November 14, 2011, 06:07:35 am »
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At this stage it is

PRI  35.33
PAN 32.71
PRD 28.90

At the state congress it terms of vote share it seems to be
PRI   35.33
PAN  27.79
PRD  29.56
PC      2.38

Seat breakdown for FPTP are
PRI     11
PRD      8
PAN      5

Since PC ran with PRD for the gov. race one can see that PRD ran below its vote share for the gov race and PAN ran above.  So running Calderón Hinojosa helped the PAN but I guess it is not enough as it now seems the PRI will win.
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Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
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« Reply #95 on: November 14, 2011, 11:28:16 am »
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5194/6074 precincts reporting, 839  illegible (will have to be recounted), 41 to report either way

PRI 563,307 votes (35.38%)
PAN 520,328 votes (32.68%)
PRD 459,717 votes (28.88%)
write-ins 811 votes (0.04%)
invalid 47,838 votes (3.01%)
« Last Edit: November 14, 2011, 11:34:52 am by ag »Logged

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jaichind
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« Reply #96 on: November 14, 2011, 12:40:20 pm »
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I did not know that.  My understanding was that at the federal level they put in the 42% rule in the aftermath of the 1988 election where PRI gave up being able to use the FPTP system to get a majority over a divided opposition in return for the opposition parties accepting the 1988 results.  I did not know that his understanding also led to similar changes at the state legislative election system as well.  How interesting.

Each state has its own constitution, but they are similar. In case of Michoacan there 24 FPTP districts and 16 PR. The rules for allocating the PR are arcane and, usually, things wind up in the electoral tribunal.
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Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
jaichind
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« Reply #97 on: November 14, 2011, 12:45:25 pm »
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For muni elections in Michoacan, I just noticed that PRI and PAN actually ran as allies in several cities. It just shows you how strong the PRD is in some of the cities that deadly historical national rivals could make alliances just to stop the PRD.
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Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
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« Reply #98 on: November 15, 2011, 11:42:56 am »
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Today Ebrard and Lopez Obrador are meeting to announce who is ahead in the specially commissioned poll that is supposed to be used to determine the leftist candidate next June. Stay tuned.
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« Reply #99 on: November 15, 2011, 01:16:50 pm »
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rumor is, it is a draw Smiley)
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