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| | |-+  LA Governor - The Results Thread
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Author Topic: LA Governor - The Results Thread  (Read 1825 times)
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #25 on: October 22, 2011, 09:42:52 pm »
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How quickly is it normally done? Will counting be finished by midnight Eastern?
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7.35, 3.65

Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par laction.  - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
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« Reply #26 on: October 22, 2011, 09:45:17 pm »
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How quickly is it normally done? Will counting be finished by midnight Eastern?

staticresults seems to be down right now.

It varies. I think you'll have 90% in by then. So some races will be undecided by then.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #27 on: October 22, 2011, 09:48:48 pm »
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Is Jindal leading in all 64 parishes?
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mondale84
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« Reply #28 on: October 22, 2011, 09:53:39 pm »
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Is Jindal leading in all 64 parishes?

clearly
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #29 on: October 22, 2011, 09:55:53 pm »
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Is Jindal leading in all 64 parishes?

Yes. He even leads in Orleans Parish, though only with 39% of the vote.
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Miles
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« Reply #30 on: October 22, 2011, 09:57:29 pm »
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Apparently Jindal declared victory 20 min ago. Miles, can you confirm that?

Sorry, I had to step out to go get dinner, but yeah.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #31 on: October 22, 2011, 10:10:42 pm »
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The one bright spot for the Dems is that Michael Jackson, the State Rep. who ran as an independent for LA-06 in 2008, splitting the vote and causing Don Cazayoux to lose, is getting beaten bad in his bid to be elevated to the State Senate. The incumbent is at 55%, he's at 28%.
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Brandon H
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« Reply #32 on: October 22, 2011, 10:11:38 pm »
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A well known political analyst in New Orleans just predicted Vitter will make a run for Governor in 2015, saying there is little chance for him to move up in Senate leadership. The analysts says this because it's unusual for a U.S. Senator to be this involved in state elections.
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Miles
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« Reply #33 on: October 22, 2011, 10:16:18 pm »
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The one bright spot for the Dems is that Michael Jackson, the State Rep. who ran as an independent for LA-06 in 2008, splitting the vote and causing Don Cazayoux to lose, is getting beaten bad in his bid to be elevated to the State Senate. The incumbent is at 55%, he's at 28%.

Awesome; I'm glad that jackass is losing. Cazayoux would have been screwed during redistricting anyway (the new 6th is 67% McCain), but it would have been nice for him to win a full term.

A well known political analyst in New Orleans just predicted Vitter will make a run for Governor in 2015, saying there is little chance for him to move up in Senate leadership. The analysts says this because it's unusual for a U.S. Senator to be this involved in state elections.

I wouldn't doubt that. The prostitute essentially precludes Vitter from climbing to a caucus leadership post. A Gubernatorial run would make sense for him.

Well, I'm out for the night.

My endorsements did pretty well. I suspect Nungesser will come up short, though it turned out to be closer than I thought. Hazel and Loursso each won comfortably, as did Ward.

The real drama is in SD-12. Ben Nevers, one of the few remaining ConservaDems who didn't jump ship, is clinging to a 295-vote lead over tea party-endorsed Beth Mizell. 2 precincts in Washington parish haven't reported. This district voted 67% McCain, but Nevers mostly ran on social issues.
« Last Edit: October 22, 2011, 10:35:15 pm by MilesC56 »Logged


JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #34 on: October 22, 2011, 10:35:22 pm »
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Looks like the State Senate will be 24-15, assuming the Democrat's slight lead in SD-12 holds out. Not sure about the House, there are a number of D/R runoffs (and a few D/I runoffs) set up.
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Sibboleth
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« Reply #35 on: October 22, 2011, 10:37:24 pm »
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How badly are the Democrats being mauled in legislative races? If at all?
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Miles
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« Reply #36 on: October 22, 2011, 10:40:55 pm »
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Looks like the State Senate will be 24-15, assuming the Democrat's slight lead in SD-12 holds out.

Nevers is up to 51% with a margin of 352 votes. All precincts are in.

Yep, called for Nevers. 'Looks like 24-15 overall.
« Last Edit: October 22, 2011, 10:47:53 pm by MilesC56 »Logged


Sam Spade
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« Reply #37 on: October 22, 2011, 11:12:27 pm »
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How badly are the Democrats being mauled in legislative races? If at all?

Senate will be 24-15, barring any major changes in the last few precincts.

House, by my count, is 55-39-1 GOP, with 6 D-R runoffs, 2 D-I runoffs and 1 R-I runoffs.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #38 on: October 22, 2011, 11:13:01 pm »
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Not bad for Democrats (except BESE). 24-15 Senate and something like 60-42-3 House is almost the upper limit of what could be expected. The "last hurrah" of very (and by that i mean really very, probably more then Bobby Bright and "on par" with conservative Republicans) conservative Democrats like Ben Nevers and  Rick Ward (almost sure future party switcher) in state Senate and some (Danahay, mostly - Thibaut, Fannin, Jones, Hill, who, mostly, went unopposed) in House. But after these conservatives retire or switch - Republicans will get even bigger majorities (assuming that suburbs will not moderate anytime soon). BTW - even many black candidates and legislators in Louisiana are socially (and sometimes - economically) conservative too...
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Raging moderate. Big fan of "mavericks" (in all parties) and big non-lover of "reliable foot soldiers" (in all parties as well). Very much "anti-tea party". Political Matrix - E: -0.26, S: -3.48. Like to collect bans on partisan sites (4-5 on DKE (+ SSP) and on RRH).
Brandon H
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« Reply #39 on: October 22, 2011, 11:17:26 pm »
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A well known political analyst in New Orleans just predicted Vitter will make a run for Governor in 2015, saying there is little chance for him to move up in Senate leadership. The analysts says this because it's unusual for a U.S. Senator to be this involved in state elections.

Same guy when talking about Dardenne said he'll probably run for governor in 2015. I'm not too thrilled about either one.

I can also see State Treasurer John Kennedy running for governor.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #40 on: October 22, 2011, 11:17:55 pm »
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The one bright spot for the Dems is that Michael Jackson, the State Rep. who ran as an independent for LA-06 in 2008, splitting the vote and causing Don Cazayoux to lose, is getting beaten bad in his bid to be elevated to the State Senate. The incumbent is at 55%, he's at 28%.

Awesome; I'm glad that jackass is losing. Cazayoux would have been screwed during redistricting anyway (the new 6th is 67% McCain), but it would have been nice for him to win a full term.

A full term would have been about it, as I couldn't really see him surviving 2010, even before redistricting..
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Sibboleth
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« Reply #41 on: October 23, 2011, 12:22:34 pm »
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Diolch

The one bright spot for the Dems is that Michael Jackson, the State Rep. who ran as an independent for LA-06 in 2008, splitting the vote and causing Don Cazayoux to lose, is getting beaten bad in his bid to be elevated to the State Senate. The incumbent is at 55%, he's at 28%.

Awesome; I'm glad that jackass is losing. Cazayoux would have been screwed during redistricting anyway (the new 6th is 67% McCain), but it would have been nice for him to win a full term.

A full term would have been about it, as I couldn't really see him surviving 2010, even before redistricting..

He would have lost by c.20pts.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #42 on: October 23, 2011, 01:35:55 pm »
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Dave has this map of the Governor's race up.

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jfern
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« Reply #43 on: October 24, 2011, 02:54:13 am »
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Jindal won Orleans 40-29.
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Seattle
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« Reply #44 on: October 24, 2011, 05:45:47 pm »
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Jindal won Orleans 40-29.
lol
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So it goes. heya.
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