Home 2012 Election Results Election Info Weblog Wiki Search Email Site Info Store

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 22, 2013, 04:36:58 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  LA Governor - The Results Thread		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] Print
Author Topic: LA Governor - The Results Thread  (Read 1609 times)
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7618
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #25 on: October 22, 2011, 09:42:52 pm »
Ignore
How quickly is it normally done? Will counting be finished by midnight Eastern?
Logged
+7.35, +3.65

Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
Brandon H
brandonh
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4439
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.48, S: 1.74

View Profile WWW
« Reply #26 on: October 22, 2011, 09:45:17 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: RogueBeaver on October 22, 2011, 09:42:52 pm
How quickly is it normally done? Will counting be finished by midnight Eastern?

staticresults seems to be down right now.

It varies. I think you'll have 90% in by then. So some races will be undecided by then.
Logged
A Republican - at least for a little while
krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5153


View Profile
« Reply #27 on: October 22, 2011, 09:48:48 pm »
Ignore
Is Jindal leading in all 64 parishes?
Logged
mondale84
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1324
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -3.30

P P P
View Profile
« Reply #28 on: October 22, 2011, 09:53:39 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: krazen1211 on October 22, 2011, 09:48:48 pm
Is Jindal leading in all 64 parishes?

clearly
Logged

"There are no men like me. There's only me."
realisticidealist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6198
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: 3.48

View Profile
« Reply #29 on: October 22, 2011, 09:55:53 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: krazen1211 on October 22, 2011, 09:48:48 pm
Is Jindal leading in all 64 parishes?

Yes. He even leads in Orleans Parish, though only with 39% of the vote.
Logged
"The greatest thing you'll ever learn is just to love and be loved in return."
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8437
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.81, S: 2.96

View Profile WWW
« Reply #30 on: October 22, 2011, 09:57:29 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: RogueBeaver on October 22, 2011, 09:15:38 pm
Apparently Jindal declared victory 20 min ago. Miles, can you confirm that?

Sorry, I had to step out to go get dinner, but yeah.
Logged

JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6862


View Profile
« Reply #31 on: October 22, 2011, 10:10:42 pm »
Ignore
The one bright spot for the Dems is that Michael Jackson, the State Rep. who ran as an independent for LA-06 in 2008, splitting the vote and causing Don Cazayoux to lose, is getting beaten bad in his bid to be elevated to the State Senate. The incumbent is at 55%, he's at 28%.
Logged
Brandon H
brandonh
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4439
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.48, S: 1.74

View Profile WWW
« Reply #32 on: October 22, 2011, 10:11:38 pm »
Ignore
A well known political analyst in New Orleans just predicted Vitter will make a run for Governor in 2015, saying there is little chance for him to move up in Senate leadership. The analysts says this because it's unusual for a U.S. Senator to be this involved in state elections.
Logged
A Republican - at least for a little while
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8437
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.81, S: 2.96

View Profile WWW
« Reply #33 on: October 22, 2011, 10:16:18 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on October 22, 2011, 10:10:42 pm
The one bright spot for the Dems is that Michael Jackson, the State Rep. who ran as an independent for LA-06 in 2008, splitting the vote and causing Don Cazayoux to lose, is getting beaten bad in his bid to be elevated to the State Senate. The incumbent is at 55%, he's at 28%.

Awesome; I'm glad that jackass is losing. Cazayoux would have been screwed during redistricting anyway (the new 6th is 67% McCain), but it would have been nice for him to win a full term.

Quote from: Brandon H on October 22, 2011, 10:11:38 pm
A well known political analyst in New Orleans just predicted Vitter will make a run for Governor in 2015, saying there is little chance for him to move up in Senate leadership. The analysts says this because it's unusual for a U.S. Senator to be this involved in state elections.

I wouldn't doubt that. The prostitute essentially precludes Vitter from climbing to a caucus leadership post. A Gubernatorial run would make sense for him.

Well, I'm out for the night.

My endorsements did pretty well. I suspect Nungesser will come up short, though it turned out to be closer than I thought. Hazel and Loursso each won comfortably, as did Ward.

The real drama is in SD-12. Ben Nevers, one of the few remaining ConservaDems who didn't jump ship, is clinging to a 295-vote lead over tea party-endorsed Beth Mizell. 2 precincts in Washington parish haven't reported. This district voted 67% McCain, but Nevers mostly ran on social issues.
« Last Edit: October 22, 2011, 10:35:15 pm by MilesC56 »Logged

JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6862


View Profile
« Reply #34 on: October 22, 2011, 10:35:22 pm »
Ignore
Looks like the State Senate will be 24-15, assuming the Democrat's slight lead in SD-12 holds out. Not sure about the House, there are a number of D/R runoffs (and a few D/I runoffs) set up.
Logged
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 53015
Norway


View Profile WWW
« Reply #35 on: October 22, 2011, 10:37:24 pm »
Ignore
How badly are the Democrats being mauled in legislative races? If at all?
Logged
'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8437
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.81, S: 2.96

View Profile WWW
« Reply #36 on: October 22, 2011, 10:40:55 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on October 22, 2011, 10:35:22 pm
Looks like the State Senate will be 24-15, assuming the Democrat's slight lead in SD-12 holds out.

Nevers is up to 51% with a margin of 352 votes. All precincts are in.

Yep, called for Nevers. 'Looks like 24-15 overall.
« Last Edit: October 22, 2011, 10:47:53 pm by MilesC56 »Logged

Sam Spade
SamSpade
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27978


Political Matrix
E: 2.84, S: 0.00

View Profile
« Reply #37 on: October 22, 2011, 11:12:27 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: Sibboleth on October 22, 2011, 10:37:24 pm
How badly are the Democrats being mauled in legislative races? If at all?

Senate will be 24-15, barring any major changes in the last few precincts.

House, by my count, is 55-39-1 GOP, with 6 D-R runoffs, 2 D-I runoffs and 1 R-I runoffs.
Logged
smoltchanov
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 483
Russian Federation
P
View Profile
« Reply #38 on: October 22, 2011, 11:13:01 pm »
Ignore
Not bad for Democrats (except BESE). 24-15 Senate and something like 60-42-3 House is almost the upper limit of what could be expected. The "last hurrah" of very (and by that i mean really very, probably more then Bobby Bright and "on par" with conservative Republicans) conservative Democrats like Ben Nevers and  Rick Ward (almost sure future party switcher) in state Senate and some (Danahay, mostly - Thibaut, Fannin, Jones, Hill, who, mostly, went unopposed) in House. But after these conservatives retire or switch - Republicans will get even bigger majorities (assuming that suburbs will not moderate anytime soon). BTW - even many black candidates and legislators in Louisiana are socially (and sometimes - economically) conservative too...
Logged
Raging moderate. Big lover of "mavericks" (in all parties) and big non-lover of "reliable foot soldiers" (in all parties as well). Political Matrix - E: -0.26, S: -3.48
Brandon H
brandonh
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4439
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.48, S: 1.74

View Profile WWW
« Reply #39 on: October 22, 2011, 11:17:26 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: Brandon H on October 22, 2011, 10:11:38 pm
A well known political analyst in New Orleans just predicted Vitter will make a run for Governor in 2015, saying there is little chance for him to move up in Senate leadership. The analysts says this because it's unusual for a U.S. Senator to be this involved in state elections.

Same guy when talking about Dardenne said he'll probably run for governor in 2015. I'm not too thrilled about either one.

I can also see State Treasurer John Kennedy running for governor.
Logged
A Republican - at least for a little while
Sam Spade
SamSpade
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27978


Political Matrix
E: 2.84, S: 0.00

View Profile
« Reply #40 on: October 22, 2011, 11:17:55 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: MilesC56 on October 22, 2011, 10:16:18 pm
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on October 22, 2011, 10:10:42 pm
The one bright spot for the Dems is that Michael Jackson, the State Rep. who ran as an independent for LA-06 in 2008, splitting the vote and causing Don Cazayoux to lose, is getting beaten bad in his bid to be elevated to the State Senate. The incumbent is at 55%, he's at 28%.

Awesome; I'm glad that jackass is losing. Cazayoux would have been screwed during redistricting anyway (the new 6th is 67% McCain), but it would have been nice for him to win a full term.

A full term would have been about it, as I couldn't really see him surviving 2010, even before redistricting..
Logged
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 53015
Norway


View Profile WWW
« Reply #41 on: October 23, 2011, 12:22:34 pm »
Ignore
Diolch

Quote from: Sam Spade on October 22, 2011, 11:17:55 pm
Quote from: MilesC56 on October 22, 2011, 10:16:18 pm
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on October 22, 2011, 10:10:42 pm
The one bright spot for the Dems is that Michael Jackson, the State Rep. who ran as an independent for LA-06 in 2008, splitting the vote and causing Don Cazayoux to lose, is getting beaten bad in his bid to be elevated to the State Senate. The incumbent is at 55%, he's at 28%.

Awesome; I'm glad that jackass is losing. Cazayoux would have been screwed during redistricting anyway (the new 6th is 67% McCain), but it would have been nice for him to win a full term.

A full term would have been about it, as I couldn't really see him surviving 2010, even before redistricting..

He would have lost by c.20pts.
Logged
'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
realisticidealist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6198
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: 3.48

View Profile
« Reply #42 on: October 23, 2011, 01:35:55 pm »
Ignore
Dave has this map of the Governor's race up.
Logged
"The greatest thing you'll ever learn is just to love and be loved in return."
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29154


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

View Profile
« Reply #43 on: October 24, 2011, 02:54:13 am »
Ignore
Jindal won Orleans 40-29.
Logged
Seattle
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 367
United States


View Profile
« Reply #44 on: October 24, 2011, 05:45:47 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on October 24, 2011, 02:54:13 am
Jindal won Orleans 40-29.
lol
Logged
So it goes. heya.
Pages: 1 [2] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.18 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines
Forums Directory