Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 29, 2014, 09:46:47 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  International Elections (Moderator: PASOK Leader Hashemite)
| | |-+  Quebec General Election 2012 (4th September)
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 12 13 14 15 16 [17] 18 19 20 21 22 ... 38 Print
Author Topic: Quebec General Election 2012 (4th September)  (Read 41630 times)
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13920
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #400 on: July 24, 2012, 12:21:52 pm »
Ignore

Depends on the vote split. This is a time where I really wish we had exit polls so you could see the breakdowns... but alas, I'm sure Hatman and Funke will do that for us.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  »

- Charles de Gaulle


Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
lilTommy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 921


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -5.04

View Profile
« Reply #401 on: July 24, 2012, 12:45:32 pm »
Ignore

QS winning more than two seats barring some phenomenal surge which seems quite unlikely, would be a massive upset and anybody who seriously thinks they could win more than 2 at this point is certainly delusional or a hack who should smell the coffee. I seriously doubt the QS vote will end up being 9-10% on election day anyway.

well we've seen massive "upsets" in Quebec haven't we as of late; i jsut don't think you can discount anything. Khadir won Mercier in a three way vote split; this election you will see 4 way splits, especially in MTL. QS has been performing pretty steady, consistently at about double if not triple what they received provincewide in 08... this will have almost no effect outside the three seats they can win... both at the expense of the PQ

It just feels like the PQ are not winning people over, even as the strongest opposition to the liberals they just don't seem to be catching fire,Marois should have been taken out when they had their chance. CAQ and QS haven't really caught on either... but the election hasn't started yet so i think thats when people will really start to pay attention.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13920
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #402 on: July 24, 2012, 12:49:35 pm »
Ignore

Marois should have been taken out? By whom? She's their best and only option. I agree that there's little enthusiasm behind her but when was the last time either the Pelqs or Peqs had genuine enthusiasm behind them?
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  »

- Charles de Gaulle


Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
lilTommy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 921


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -5.04

View Profile
« Reply #403 on: July 24, 2012, 12:57:28 pm »
Ignore

Marois should have been taken out? By whom? She's their best and only option. I agree that there's little enthusiasm behind her but when was the last time either the Pelqs or Peqs had genuine enthusiasm behind them?

... hmmm you've got me there, i'd say never? Tongue

I'd go with only option
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13920
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #404 on: July 24, 2012, 01:01:58 pm »
Ignore

The last time the Peqs had genuine enthusiasm was probably 1994. PLQ... I dunno, 1973? 1962? Tongue
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  »

- Charles de Gaulle


Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
MaxQue
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8643
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #405 on: July 24, 2012, 02:11:52 pm »
Ignore

QS winning more than two seats barring some phenomenal surge which seems quite unlikely, would be a massive upset and anybody who seriously thinks they could win more than 2 at this point is certainly delusional or a hack who should smell the coffee. I seriously doubt the QS vote will end up being 9-10% on election day anyway.

well we've seen massive "upsets" in Quebec haven't we as of late; i jsut don't think you can discount anything.

QS vote will suffer from the same problem than NDP in 2008 in Quebec. They had good poll numbers through the campaign, but, the vote approching, their vote went down, because of strategical voting.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13920
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #406 on: July 24, 2012, 02:16:59 pm »
Ignore

Huh? I thought that was Parizeau's job.

http://www.ledevoir.com/politique/quebec/355239/l-independance-du-quebec-est-une-urgence-dit-bernard-landry

Another star PQ candidate.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201207/24/01-4558421-bernard-genereux-candidat-du-pq-dans-blainville.php
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  »

- Charles de Gaulle


Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
MaxQue
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8643
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #407 on: July 24, 2012, 03:11:19 pm »
Ignore

PQ recruitment is quite impressive in many areas of Quebec.
The CAQ recruitment is worse than expected.
Liberal recruitment is very bad, but, that isn't surprising.

In my Abitibi region, the party with the best recruitment is CAQ, through.

Logged
Hatman
EarlAW
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20527
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00


View Profile WWW
« Reply #408 on: July 24, 2012, 08:50:08 pm »
Ignore

QS winning more than two seats barring some phenomenal surge which seems quite unlikely, would be a massive upset and anybody who seriously thinks they could win more than 2 at this point is certainly delusional or a hack who should smell the coffee. I seriously doubt the QS vote will end up being 9-10% on election day anyway.

While I agree they probably wont win more than 2 seats, I can't help but giggle, because you could easily replace QS with "NDP" and have the same quote from April 2011.
Logged

http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.com

Follow me on Twitter @EarlWashburn
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13920
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #409 on: July 24, 2012, 09:01:15 pm »
Ignore

One star Peq candidate confirmed.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201207/24/01-4558552-leo-bureau-blouin-confirme-sa-candidature.php
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  »

- Charles de Gaulle


Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13920
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #410 on: July 25, 2012, 09:44:44 am »
Ignore

Liberals finally get a star candidate.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201207/25/01-4558639-lex-batonnier-gilles-ouimet-avec-les-liberaux.php
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  »

- Charles de Gaulle


Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13920
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #411 on: July 25, 2012, 11:55:22 am »
Ignore

RDI's QP has devoted their entire show to LBB's candidacy. LOL. Tongue

CAQ star candidate?

http://www.lapresse.ca/le-soleil/actualites/politique/201207/25/01-4559401-le-dr-gaetan-barrette-necarte-pas-un-avenir-politique.php
« Last Edit: July 25, 2012, 02:13:26 pm by Romney/Ryan 2012! »Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  »

- Charles de Gaulle


Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
MaxQue
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8643
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #412 on: July 25, 2012, 02:29:38 pm »
Ignore


That guy has no creditibility. People I know call him "the obese doctor on TV".
Especially than he is complaining than 200.000$ isn't enough for a specialist doctor or the like....
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13920
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #413 on: July 25, 2012, 02:40:22 pm »
Ignore

At least that bubble was popped. There are few people in provincial politics I dislike more than Legault, mostly because of that godawful "reform" (which I narrowly escaped) he and Marois pushed through in the last PQ government.

Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  »

- Charles de Gaulle


Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
MaxQue
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8643
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #414 on: July 25, 2012, 03:08:58 pm »
Ignore

At least that bubble was popped. There are few people in provincial politics I dislike more than Legault, mostly because of that godawful "reform" (which I narrowly escaped) he and Marois pushed through in the last PQ government.

From younger people I know, the reform isn't bad. It isn't good neither. To assess the full effect, we must wait than they reach the work market.

Already, we saw than there is no difference in college marks.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13920
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #415 on: July 25, 2012, 08:52:45 pm »
Ignore

Claire Samson will be a CAQ candidate, per RDI.

Peqs definitely swept the starstakes this cycle.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/pq-surrounds-marois-with-star-candidates/article4441521/
« Last Edit: July 25, 2012, 09:13:48 pm by Romney/Ryan 2012! »Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  »

- Charles de Gaulle


Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13920
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #416 on: July 26, 2012, 03:29:01 pm »
Ignore

Liberals kick off in Quebec next week.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201207/26/01-4559741-lancement-de-la-campagne-des-mercredi-prochain.php?
Not this time, unfortunately.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201207/26/01-4559699-vote-dans-les-cegeps-et-universites-fecq-et-feuq-insistent.php?

Another PQ star candidate.

http://www.lapresse.ca/le-nouvelliste/politique-quebecoise/201207/26/01-4559632-djemila-benhabib-candidate-dans-trois-rivieres.php?
« Last Edit: July 26, 2012, 03:37:33 pm by Romney/Ryan 2012! »Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  »

- Charles de Gaulle


Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
Sibboleth Bist
Realpolitik
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 56219
Saint Helena


View Profile WWW
« Reply #417 on: July 26, 2012, 03:33:10 pm »
Ignore

Fix those links please.
Logged

RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13920
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #418 on: July 26, 2012, 03:38:04 pm »
Ignore

Done.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  »

- Charles de Gaulle


Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
Sibboleth Bist
Realpolitik
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 56219
Saint Helena


View Profile WWW
« Reply #419 on: July 26, 2012, 03:42:59 pm »
Ignore

diolch
Logged

MaxQue
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8643
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #420 on: July 26, 2012, 05:54:40 pm »
Ignore

Oh, CAQ shows great coherancy again.

One local candidate here voted for a motion at Témiscamingue MRC council for a scolarity fee freeze and a bonification of the financial aid system (which passed, by the way).

CAQ isn't coherent on the national question, neither it is on the policies.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13920
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #421 on: July 26, 2012, 06:06:25 pm »
Ignore

CAQ is a joke. At least Dumont wasn't boring.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  »

- Charles de Gaulle


Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
MaxQue
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8643
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #422 on: July 26, 2012, 11:04:51 pm »
Ignore

Radio said than a CAQ internal, by CROP is saying Libs 31, PQ 30, CAQ 24.
« Last Edit: July 27, 2012, 04:37:03 am by Chemistry & Sleep Deprivation »Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13920
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #423 on: July 26, 2012, 11:34:00 pm »
Ignore

Apparently the Grits are at 22 among Francophones. Which sounds like a PQ majority to me.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  »

- Charles de Gaulle


Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
MaxQue
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8643
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #424 on: July 26, 2012, 11:38:16 pm »
Ignore

Apparently the Grits are at 22 among Francophones. Which sounds like a PQ majority to me.

For me too. It's too low to come in the middle because of the CAQ-PQ divide in suburbs and too much of their 31% in concentrated in the same ridings (West Island, anglos areas elsewhere).
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 12 13 14 15 16 [17] 18 19 20 21 22 ... 38 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines