Quebec General Election 2012 (4th September)
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Author Topic: Quebec General Election 2012 (4th September)  (Read 142793 times)
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #250 on: January 24, 2012, 12:08:23 PM »

The shine is rubbing off. Like the ADQ in 2007, once people get a good look at the old-new shiny... the deluge. Right now my best guess would be a Liberal minority propped up by the CAQ or vice-versa.

CSD: 'Tis consistent with other polls.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #251 on: January 24, 2012, 03:12:39 PM »

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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #252 on: January 24, 2012, 03:24:43 PM »

In that case we have another election within a year due to the instability. All 3 of Marois' potential successors- Gerrard, McKay and Curzi, lose their seats. So she might well stay on as leader despite the worst PQ result since 1970. Should be even more interesting once the PCQ starts to poll.
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Smid
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« Reply #253 on: January 24, 2012, 03:41:29 PM »

Great work, Teddy!
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #254 on: January 24, 2012, 04:22:18 PM »

Landry snipes at Marois, again.

http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/dossiers/crise-au-pq/201201/24/01-4488708-bernard-landry-jette-la-pierre-a-pauline-marois.php

http://www.cyberpresse.ca/debats/opinions/201201/23/01-4488622-cap-sur-lindependance.php
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canadian1
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« Reply #255 on: January 24, 2012, 05:26:44 PM »

Those results seem very probable, Teddy. At this point, we've got to take account of the new boundaries, which have just gone into effect (as of Saturday the 21st). I wouldn't be surprised if the CAQ won all three new ridings.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #256 on: January 24, 2012, 08:43:45 PM »

Three things.

1. Who is Gerrard? You mean Bernard Drainville?
2. Ugh, both my MNAs would still be Liberals.
3. My home area still would be 2-2 PQ-Lib. I agree with that, considering than ADQ never had good results there
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #257 on: January 24, 2012, 09:20:24 PM »

No, Nicolas Gerrard.

2) Weil will still be my MNA unless Jennings is recruited for the CAQ.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #258 on: January 24, 2012, 11:22:22 PM »

No, Nicolas Gerrard.

2) Weil will still be my MNA unless Jennings is recruited for the CAQ.

Nicolas Girard? The guy who took Boisclair's seat (Gouin)?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #259 on: January 24, 2012, 11:27:03 PM »

Same one. Seeing Beaudoin, Curzi, Tomassi and Lapointe go down would make my election night. Though Tomassi's not likely to be defeated, but one can still hope...
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MaxQue
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« Reply #260 on: January 25, 2012, 08:16:25 AM »

Same one. Seeing Beaudoin, Curzi, Tomassi and Lapointe go down would make my election night. Though Tomassi's not likely to be defeated, but one can still hope...

Tomassi is likely to retire, I think.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #261 on: January 25, 2012, 08:22:46 AM »

Double whammy for Duceppe, perhaps more incoming?

http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-canadienne/201201/24/01-4489087-gilles-duceppe-de-nouveau-eclabousse.php?utm_categorieinterne=trafficdrivers&utm_contenuinterne=cyberpresse_B12_en-manchette_558_section_POS1
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MaxQue
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« Reply #262 on: January 28, 2012, 01:36:43 AM »

A new poll, Léger Marketing-Le Devoir

CAQ: 32%
PLQ: 26%
PQ: 25%
QS: 9%
Greens: 6%

Franco vote: 36 CAQ, 30 PQ, 18 PLQ

http://www.ledevoir.com/documents/pdf/sondage28janvier.pdf
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #263 on: January 28, 2012, 02:40:31 AM »
« Edited: January 28, 2012, 02:48:03 AM by Teddy (IDS Legislator) »

CAQ members are split on sovereignty 41-47, leaning against.

Top issues...
PLQ, healthcare and jobs
CAQ, healthcare, jobs, and corruption
PQ, healthcare, and sovereignty
QS, healthcare, and education
sovereigntists, healthcare, jobs, and sovereignty
federalists, healthcare, and jobs.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #264 on: January 28, 2012, 02:53:33 AM »

Oh, and the obligatory seat projection.
C54
L39
P28
S4

Hopefully the letters are obvious, I'd like to keep using them.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #265 on: January 30, 2012, 03:35:29 PM »

PQ executive meeting wraps up well for Marois.


http://www.ledevoir.com/politique/quebec/341397/marois-finit-par-dire-oui-au-rip

Leger: CAQ 33, PLQ 27, PQ 25.

http://www.ledevoir.com/politique/quebec/341333/sondage-leger-marketing-le-devoir-the-gazette-une-victoire-morale-pour-pauline-marois

No comment.

http://www.ledevoir.com/politique/quebec/341330/le-spq-libre-se-rallie-inconditionnellement

No. Just no.

http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201201/28/01-4490364-les-pequistes-confiants-de-prendre-le-pouvoir.php
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MaxQue
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« Reply #266 on: January 30, 2012, 04:01:52 PM »

Well, they aren't so far of leading in polls.

They just need to slip ahead in Franco vote, and that's it. Only 6% back, which is possible to gain back, considering how volatile is Quebec.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #267 on: January 30, 2012, 04:07:15 PM »

Plus the PCQ will split votes with the CAQ. While I wouldn't be very happy with a PQ victory, (I just figure a provincial NDP government is taking over rather than pantsh**tting about "teh ev0l sepratists"), we badly need a change in government and handing the government over to a bunch of neophytes is definitely not something I'd be happy about either.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #268 on: January 31, 2012, 10:07:06 AM »

Usually lawyers are big PLQ donors, so this should worry the Pelquistes somewhat.

http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201201/30/01-4490977-dons-a-la-caq-des-avocats-genereux.php
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #269 on: February 03, 2012, 10:03:36 PM »

CAQ is still nonexistent so far as Anglos are concerned.

http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201202/03/01-4492406-un-ex-president-dalliance-quebec-appuie-la-caq.php
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #270 on: February 04, 2012, 02:38:52 AM »

They need a slogan to sell themselves. How about:

CAQ, man, vote for it. CAQ, man, they'r the shit!
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #271 on: February 04, 2012, 03:51:22 PM »

Oh Lordy- QS wants to outflank the Peqs on language.

http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201202/04/01-4492649-quebec-solidaire-se-prepare-au-prochain-scrutin.php
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lilTommy
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« Reply #272 on: February 09, 2012, 02:01:23 PM »

Jennings says NON to CAQ run

http://www.montrealgazette.com/news/Liberal+Jennings+says/6127245/story.html
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #273 on: February 09, 2012, 02:04:06 PM »

Yes please.

http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201202/09/01-4494152-environnement-la-caq-promet-une-reflexion-daffaires.php

Get a slogan which hasn't been used in every campaign for the past 9 years.

http://www.cyberpresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201202/09/01-4494272-leconomie-et-lemploi-seront-les-enjeux-de-la-campagne-dit-charest.php

Duh. Both are splinter groups in the first place.

http://www.cyberpresse.ca/le-soleil/actualites/politique/201202/08/01-4494017-option-nationale-porte-ouverte-a-une-fusion.php

Keep it classy, Pelquistes.

http://www.ledevoir.com/politique/quebec/342176/des-liberaux-denigrent-l-anglais-de-legault

Jennings: I said all along she wouldn't accept.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #274 on: February 09, 2012, 02:12:13 PM »

Here's the Legault video in question.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c38sYyTNcIc
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