Quebec General Election 2012 (4th September)

[RogueBeaver]

Depends on the vote split. This is a time where I really wish we had exit polls so you could see the breakdowns... but alas, I'm sure Hatman and Funke will do that for us.

[lilTommy]

QS winning more than two seats barring some phenomenal surge which seems quite unlikely, would be a massive upset and anybody who seriously thinks they could win more than 2 at this point is certainly delusional or a hack who should smell the coffee. I seriously doubt the QS vote will end up being 9-10% on election day anyway.

well we've seen massive "upsets" in Quebec haven't we as of late; i jsut don't think you can discount anything. Khadir won Mercier in a three way vote split; this election you will see 4 way splits, especially in MTL. QS has been performing pretty steady, consistently at about double if not triple what they received provincewide in 08... this will have almost no effect outside the three seats they can win... both at the expense of the PQ

It just feels like the PQ are not winning people over, even as the strongest opposition to the liberals they just don't seem to be catching fire,Marois should have been taken out when they had their chance. CAQ and QS haven't really caught on either... but the election hasn't started yet so i think thats when people will really start to pay attention.

[RogueBeaver]

Marois should have been taken out? By whom? She's their best and only option. I agree that there's little enthusiasm behind her but when was the last time either the Pelqs or Peqs had genuine enthusiasm behind them?

[lilTommy]

Marois should have been taken out? By whom? She's their best and only option. I agree that there's little enthusiasm behind her but when was the last time either the Pelqs or Peqs had genuine enthusiasm behind them?

... hmmm you've got me there, i'd say never?

I'd go with only option

[RogueBeaver]

The last time the Peqs had genuine enthusiasm was probably 1994. PLQ... I dunno, 1973? 1962?

[Senator MaxQue]

QS winning more than two seats barring some phenomenal surge which seems quite unlikely, would be a massive upset and anybody who seriously thinks they could win more than 2 at this point is certainly delusional or a hack who should smell the coffee. I seriously doubt the QS vote will end up being 9-10% on election day anyway.

well we've seen massive "upsets" in Quebec haven't we as of late; i jsut don't think you can discount anything.

QS vote will suffer from the same problem than NDP in 2008 in Quebec. They had good poll numbers through the campaign, but, the vote approching, their vote went down, because of strategical voting.

[RogueBeaver]

Huh? I thought that was Parizeau's job.

http://www.ledevoir.com/politique/quebec/355239/l-independance-du-quebec-est-une-urgence-dit-bernard-landry

Another star PQ candidate.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201207/24/01-4558421-bernard-genereux-candidat-du-pq-dans-blainville.php

[Senator MaxQue]

PQ recruitment is quite impressive in many areas of Quebec.
The CAQ recruitment is worse than expected.
Liberal recruitment is very bad, but, that isn't surprising.

In my Abitibi region, the party with the best recruitment is CAQ, through.

[Hatman]

QS winning more than two seats barring some phenomenal surge which seems quite unlikely, would be a massive upset and anybody who seriously thinks they could win more than 2 at this point is certainly delusional or a hack who should smell the coffee. I seriously doubt the QS vote will end up being 9-10% on election day anyway.

While I agree they probably wont win more than 2 seats, I can't help but giggle, because you could easily replace QS with "NDP" and have the same quote from April 2011.

[RogueBeaver]

One star Peq candidate confirmed.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201207/24/01-4558552-leo-bureau-blouin-confirme-sa-candidature.php

[RogueBeaver]

Liberals finally get a star candidate.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201207/25/01-4558639-lex-batonnier-gilles-ouimet-avec-les-liberaux.php

[RogueBeaver]

RDI's QP has devoted their entire show to LBB's candidacy. LOL.

CAQ star candidate?

http://www.lapresse.ca/le-soleil/actualites/politique/201207/25/01-4559401-le-dr-gaetan-barrette-necarte-pas-un-avenir-politique.php

[Senator MaxQue]

CAQ star candidate?

http://www.lapresse.ca/le-soleil/actualites/politique/201207/25/01-4559401-le-dr-gaetan-barrette-necarte-pas-un-avenir-politique.php

That guy has no creditibility. People I know call him "the obese doctor on TV".
Especially than he is complaining than 200.000$ isn't enough for a specialist doctor or the like....

[RogueBeaver]

At least that bubble was popped. There are few people in provincial politics I dislike more than Legault, mostly because of that godawful "reform" (which I narrowly escaped) he and Marois pushed through in the last PQ government.

[Senator MaxQue]

At least that bubble was popped. There are few people in provincial politics I dislike more than Legault, mostly because of that godawful "reform" (which I narrowly escaped) he and Marois pushed through in the last PQ government.

From younger people I know, the reform isn't bad. It isn't good neither. To assess the full effect, we must wait than they reach the work market.

Already, we saw than there is no difference in college marks.

[RogueBeaver]

Claire Samson will be a CAQ candidate, per RDI.

Peqs definitely swept the starstakes this cycle.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/pq-surrounds-marois-with-star-candidates/article4441521/

[RogueBeaver]

Liberals kick off in Quebec next week.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201207/26/01-4559741-lancement-de-la-campagne-des-mercredi-prochain.php?
Not this time, unfortunately.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/quebec-canada/politique-quebecoise/201207/26/01-4559699-vote-dans-les-cegeps-et-universites-fecq-et-feuq-insistent.php?

Another PQ star candidate.

http://www.lapresse.ca/le-nouvelliste/politique-quebecoise/201207/26/01-4559632-djemila-benhabib-candidate-dans-trois-rivieres.php?

[Sibboleth]

Fix those links please.

[RogueBeaver]

Done.

[Sibboleth]

diolch

[Senator MaxQue]

Oh, CAQ shows great coherancy again.

One local candidate here voted for a motion at Témiscamingue MRC council for a scolarity fee freeze and a bonification of the financial aid system (which passed, by the way).

CAQ isn't coherent on the national question, neither it is on the policies.

[RogueBeaver]

CAQ is a joke. At least Dumont wasn't boring.

[Senator MaxQue]

Radio said than a CAQ internal, by CROP is saying Libs 31, PQ 30, CAQ 24.

[RogueBeaver]

Apparently the Grits are at 22 among Francophones. Which sounds like a PQ majority to me.

[Senator MaxQue]

Apparently the Grits are at 22 among Francophones. Which sounds like a PQ majority to me.

For me too. It's too low to come in the middle because of the CAQ-PQ divide in suburbs and too much of their 31% in concentrated in the same ridings (West Island, anglos areas elsewhere).