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|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  Partisan advantages for state governors, 2012-2016, by margin
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Author Topic: Partisan advantages for state governors, 2012-2016, by margin  (Read 8665 times)
coyolxauhqui
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« Reply #150 on: May 13, 2014, 12:38:27 pm »
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shouldn't georgia be green?
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #151 on: May 13, 2014, 02:25:54 pm »
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PPP, Alaska -- for its own sake.

Sean Parnell, Governor, R-AK

42% approve, 44% disapprove, 15% not sure.   

Vulnerable.





1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).
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« Reply #152 on: May 14, 2014, 07:25:28 am »
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Quinnipiac, Ohio

Quote
Ohio Gov. John Kasich is at or over the critical 50 percentage point mark on a number of measures, including his 50 - 35 percent lead over Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald, his Democratic challenger, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 43 - 38 percent Kasich lead in a February 19 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

Voters approve 56 - 33 percent of the job Gov. Kasich is doing, his best score since he was elected in 2010, and say 53 - 37 percent that he deserves to be reelected.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/ohio/release-detail?ReleaseID=2041





1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).

« Last Edit: May 15, 2014, 08:31:47 am by pbrower2a »Logged



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coyolxauhqui
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« Reply #153 on: May 14, 2014, 03:24:48 pm »
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shouldn't georgia be green?
pbrower pls
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #154 on: May 21, 2014, 01:53:14 pm »
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May 15-19, 2014
Survey of 914 Iowa voters
Iowa Survey Results

Q2  Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Terry Branstad’s job performance?
42% Approve
43% Disapprove
15% Not sure


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_Iowa%200521.pdf

Big change, if genuine.





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4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).

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« Reply #155 on: May 22, 2014, 10:33:17 am »
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Marquette Law School, Wisconsin:

Quote
Approval of Walker’s handing of his job as governor has risen slightly in May to 49 percent, with 46 percent disapproving. In March, 47 percent approved and 47 percent disapproved.

But this is a razor-sharp race.
 




1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).


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« Reply #156 on: May 22, 2014, 09:41:22 pm »
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Does anyone think that Californians are tiring of Jerry Brown?

Quote
Brown’s Job Approval at 54 Percent—He Maintains Big Primary Lead

Just weeks before the primary election, the governor has a job approval rating of 54 percent among likely voters (35% disapprove, 11% don’t know). The governor’s approval rating is down from his record high of 60 percent reached in January. Last May, likely voters gave him an approval rating of 48 percent. 

http://www.ppic.org/main/pressrelease.asp?i=1531

Naw! He loses a category because his margin drops barely below 20%.
 




1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).



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« Reply #157 on: May 24, 2014, 10:14:13 am »
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PPP, for "A Better Georgia"

Nathan Deal, R-GA

Approve 38%, disapprove 46%

https://s3.amazonaws.com/s3.bettergeorgia.org/images/PPP-BetterGeorgia-052314.pdf

This may be a partisan poll, and it shows a likely tie in November. The approval rating for the incumbent Governor is awful, and a conservative trend in recent years in Georgia won't be enough to rescue him. He needs to be at 44% or higher approval now to have a good chance of winning.
 




1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).




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« Reply #158 on: June 04, 2014, 03:49:43 pm »
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Tom Corbett, Failure-PA

Approve 34-55 disapprove

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=2047

Approve 27-58 disapprove

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/06/wolf-leads-corbett-by-25-pa-supports-gay-marriage.html#more

About the only thing that Pennsylvanians agree with him on is his refusal to contest the ruling against same-sex marriage, in case anyone has any residual question.   
 




1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).
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« Reply #159 on: June 11, 2014, 06:58:36 pm »
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Rick Scott, R-FL

Scott remains an unpopular Governor, although his approval ratings are not quite as bad as they have been at some times during his term. Only 39% of voters think he's doing a good job to 48% who disapprove, up from 33/55 in late September. Those are still numbers that would generally have you headed for defeat. But Crist has seen a precipitous decline in his image with voters in the state. Where they were closely divided on him last fall with 43% rating him favorably and 42% unfavorably, now just 32% of voters see him in a positive manner with his negatives spiking to 48%.  
 


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/06/crist-scott-tied.html#more



1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).


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« Reply #160 on: June 25, 2014, 09:27:02 pm »
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Gov. Jerry Brown, D-CA

Quote
In addition, the Poll finds 54% of voters approving of the job Brown is doing as governor, while 29% disapprove.

http://media.sacbee.com/smedia/2014/06/24/17/19/Xl7Ox.So.4.pdf#storylink=relast

Apparently he is a perfect match for his state. If he were twenty years younger he would be a top-tier Presidential candidate.



1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).


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« Reply #161 on: July 01, 2014, 10:57:30 am »
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Quote
June 26-29, 2014
Survey of 578 Michigan voters

Michigan Survey Results

Q2

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Rick Snyder’s job performance?

37% Approve

54% Disapprove

9% Not sure

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_MI_701.pdf

Awful enough to be defeated in a re-election bid. Snyder got the edge in early advertising, and that advantage seems to be disappearing.

The thrill is gone for the Tea Party, big winners of the 2010 election, at least in Michigan:

Quote
-The Republicans in the legislature are incredibly unpopular, with a 24/56 favorability rating. The Democrats at least manage to break even at 39%. Democrats lead the generic legislative ballot at this point 48/34- 92% of Democrats are committed to voting for their party, while just 79% of Republicans say they're going to vote for theirs.

 


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/06/crist-scott-tied.html#more



1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).



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« Reply #162 on: July 08, 2014, 10:08:30 am »
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Maggie Hassan, D-NH, Granite State poll:

Up 60-22.

http://www.wmur.com/blob/view/-/26832142/data/1/-/qdnf3rz/-/GSP---Governor-7-7.pdf


 


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/06/crist-scott-tied.html#more



1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).




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« Reply #163 on: July 08, 2014, 07:07:15 pm »
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Louisiana Miscellany

PPP's newest Louisiana poll continues to find that Bobby Jindal is among the least popular Governors in the country, and that there is minimal support for him running for President even in his home state. Only 32% of voters approve of the job Jindal is doing to 56% who disapprove. Among Republicans his numbers are relatively tepid (57/33 approval). His numbers with independents pretty closely mirror his overall ones (32/57), and support from Democrats is virtually nonexistent (12/75).

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/07/louisiana-miscellany.html#more

 


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).
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« Reply #164 on: July 16, 2014, 07:38:59 am »
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Quote
Despite stronger voter optimism about Colorado's economy than found in many states, the race for governor is tied, with 43 percent for Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper and 44 percent for former U.S. Rep. Bob Beauprez, the Republican challenger, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Voters give Gov. Hickenlooper a split job approval rating, with 48 percent approving and 46 percent disapproving, compared to a 52 - 39 percent approval rating in an April 23 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=2059

 


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).
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« Reply #165 on: July 22, 2014, 04:34:19 pm »
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Quote
Despite stronger voter optimism about Colorado's economy than found in many states, the race for governor is tied, with 43 percent for Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper and 44 percent for former U.S. Rep. Bob Beauprez, the Republican challenger, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Voters give Gov. Hickenlooper a split job approval rating, with 48 percent approving and 46 percent disapproving, compared to a 52 - 39 percent approval rating in an April 23 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=2059

One week later, PPP on Colorado:

July 17-20, 2014


Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
John Hickenlooper’s job performance?
43%
Approve
..........................................................
46%
Disapprove
......................................................
11%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q3
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

The average is a tie.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_CO_7221118.pdf

 


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).
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« Reply #166 on: July 23, 2014, 10:09:09 pm »
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New Marquette Law School Poll finds Walker, Burke tied in Wisconsin governor’s race
July 23, 2014

Quote
MILWAUKEE – A new Marquette Law School Poll finds that the Wisconsin governor’s race remains a dead heat, with Republican Gov. Scott Walker receiving the support of 46 percent of registered voters and Democratic challenger Mary Burke receiving 45 percent support. Eight percent say that they are undecided or that they do not know whom they would support. Fewer than 1 percent say they will vote for someone else.

........

Approval of Walker’s handing of his job as governor stands at 47 percent approval and 48 percent disapproval. In May, approval was 49 percent, with 46 percent disapproving. In March, 47 percent approved and 47 percent disapproved.

.......

John Doe investigation

In the wake of the release of court documents concerning an investigation by prosecutors into possible campaign finance law violations, known as a “John Doe” proceeding, 75 percent of voters say they have heard or read about the investigation while 24 percent say they have not. Of those who have heard, 54 percent say it is “just more politics” while 42 percent say it is “really something serious.” In October 2012, 76 percent had heard of a “John Doe” investigation at that time, with 46 percent saying it was “just more politics” and 45 percent saying it was “really something serious.”
 


1-3%       20% saturation
4-7%       40% saturation
8%-20%  60% saturation
over 20% 80% saturation

Behind, yellow the colors to green for Republicans  and orange for Democrats. Dark shades of orange are really brown.  Ties are yellow.

White is for a non-partisan Governor, independent Governor, no Governor, or any transition to a new one (death, resignation, disqualification, impeachment and removal, defeat, or not campaigning for re-election).

[/quote]
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