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May 22, 2013, 10:51:10 am
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Atlas Forum
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections
(Moderator:
Joe Republic
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Chris Christie
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Poll
Question:
Will voters who voted for Obama in 2012 vote for Gov Christie this November?
Yes, Obama voters do like Christie
23 (76.7%)
No, Buono has them in her pocket
2 (6.7%)
Obama voters will not turn out therefore Christie wins
5 (16.7%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 30
Author
Topic: Chris Christie (Read 559 times)
a83192
Rookie
Posts: 26
Chris Christie
«
on:
April 03, 2013, 08:22:27 pm »
New Jerseys 2013 Gubernatorial election is intriguing me due to the fact the Christie is leading big in a Big Dem state.
I notice a contradiction between statewide and national voting patterns there. I am not sure what Obama voters are going to do in November.
If you think Obama voters will vote for Christie, then explain in your opinion why. I don't know.
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Benj
YaBB God
Posts: 976
Re: Chris Christie
«
Reply #1 on:
April 03, 2013, 08:24:32 pm »
Some will, obviously. The majority won't, but that doesn't matter. Things will narrow from where they are now, but Christie should win by a high-single-digits to low-teens margin.
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Emperor SJoyce
sjoycefla
YaBB God
Posts: 6529
Political Matrix
E: -1.35, S: -10.00
Re: Chris Christie
«
Reply #2 on:
April 03, 2013, 08:52:56 pm »
All of the above. Obama voters like Christie significantly more than they liked Romney, a majority will probably end up voting for Buono, and there will be lower turnout because it's a midterm (not even that, a mid-mid-term).
Logged
Vote SJoyce for Emperor. It's Finger Lickin' Good.
Quote from: windjammer on April 17, 2013, 05:38:19 pm
And for Sjoyce, sorry but your -10 on social issues, it scares me!
seanNJ9
Sr. Member
Posts: 287
Re: Chris Christie
«
Reply #3 on:
April 03, 2013, 09:25:47 pm »
Speaking for myself, I'll be voting for Senator Buono
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angryGreatness
Sr. Member
Posts: 252
Re: Chris Christie
«
Reply #4 on:
April 03, 2013, 10:19:27 pm »
A lot will, but there's a few Obama voters who will probably vote for Tom Corbett or Rick Scott too. The standards are different for Presidents and Governors.
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seanNJ9
Sr. Member
Posts: 287
Re: Chris Christie
«
Reply #5 on:
April 04, 2013, 12:26:46 am »
For the record, I could not bring myself to vote for Jon Corzine. I wrote in Cory Booker.
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a83192
Rookie
Posts: 26
Re: Chris Christie
«
Reply #6 on:
April 04, 2013, 03:17:11 pm »
Quote from: SJoyce on April 03, 2013, 08:52:56 pm
All of the above. Obama voters like Christie significantly more than they liked Romney, a majority will probably end up voting for Buono, and there will be lower turnout because it's a midterm (not even that, a mid-mid-term).
Why would Obama voters like Christie?
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Emperor SJoyce
sjoycefla
YaBB God
Posts: 6529
Political Matrix
E: -1.35, S: -10.00
Re: Chris Christie
«
Reply #7 on:
April 04, 2013, 03:35:03 pm »
Quote from: a83192 on April 04, 2013, 03:17:11 pm
Quote from: SJoyce on April 03, 2013, 08:52:56 pm
All of the above. Obama voters like Christie significantly more than they liked Romney, a majority will probably end up voting for Buono, and there will be lower turnout because it's a midterm (not even that, a mid-mid-term).
Why would Obama voters like Christie?
Because he's to the left of Romney and has the added benefit of being sane and competent. Based on the opinion polls, they certainly do like him. Why would Romney voters like Pryor?
Logged
Vote SJoyce for Emperor. It's Finger Lickin' Good.
Quote from: windjammer on April 17, 2013, 05:38:19 pm
And for Sjoyce, sorry but your -10 on social issues, it scares me!
Former Moderate
Mr. Moderate
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 12181
Re: Chris Christie
«
Reply #8 on:
April 04, 2013, 05:40:36 pm »
Chris Christie took on his own party -- something politicians almost never do -- to go to bat for his state. Major Democrats in the state, like outgoing Sen. Lautenberg, praised him for his work on Hurricane Sandy. He even got to take a victory lap on The Daily Show.
Simply put, Chris Christie is a rockstar in his state. He can win over independent voters in such a strong manner that it seems impossible for Buono to catch up.
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Quote from: © Tweedism is for poseurs in junior high on January 31, 2013, 04:28:53 pm
Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.
Benj
YaBB God
Posts: 976
Re: Chris Christie
«
Reply #9 on:
April 04, 2013, 05:44:13 pm »
Quote from: seanNJ9 on April 04, 2013, 12:26:46 am
For the record, I could not bring myself to vote for Jon Corzine. I wrote in Cory Booker.
Similar; I voted for Chris Daggett.
Will vote for Buono this year, though. She's hopelessly outgunned but would be a genuinely good governor. While Christie has been a good leader on some issues, he's been pretty bad on others (ARC, gay marriage).
«
Last Edit: April 04, 2013, 05:46:54 pm by Benj
»
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seanNJ9
Sr. Member
Posts: 287
Re: Chris Christie
«
Reply #10 on:
April 04, 2013, 10:24:41 pm »
Quote from: Benj on April 04, 2013, 05:44:13 pm
Quote from: seanNJ9 on April 04, 2013, 12:26:46 am
For the record, I could not bring myself to vote for Jon Corzine. I wrote in Cory Booker.
Similar; I voted for Chris Daggett.
Will vote for Buono this year, though. She's hopelessly outgunned but would be a genuinely good governor. While Christie has been a good leader on some issues, he's been pretty bad on others (ARC, gay marriage).
if Buono runs again in 4 years, she probably has my vote again. She gets major points from me for being the only Dem willing to take on Christie this year. Sweeney and others wont get a dime from me.
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krazen1211
YaBB God
Posts: 5153
Re: Chris Christie
«
Reply #11 on:
April 05, 2013, 01:07:12 pm »
Quote from: a83192 on April 03, 2013, 08:22:27 pm
If you think Obama voters will vote for Christie, then explain in your opinion why. I don't know.
Property tax
«
Last Edit: April 05, 2013, 01:13:18 pm by krazen1211
»
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
YaBB God
Posts: 4488
Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 1.91
Re: Chris Christie
«
Reply #12 on:
April 17, 2013, 07:48:29 am »
Christie probably won't win the Obama 2012 vote, but he could make some major inroads, especially since he's currently on his way to a landslide or near-landslide reelection.
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-Dwight D. Eisenhower
RIP Gov. Otis Bowen
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