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Author Topic: Israel general discussion  (Read 227412 times)
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« on: October 27, 2011, 01:07:45 PM »
Jesus christ where do you find these?
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2011, 09:52:57 PM »
If my numbers are right, poll averaging, things look like this:

35   -   Likud
21   -   Labour
17   -   Kadima
15   -   Yisrael B.
9   -   Shas
5   -   U.T.J.
3   -   Nat Union
3   -   Hadash
3   -   Jew. Home
3   -   Meretz
3   -   Raam-Taal
3   -   Balad
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #2 on: December 01, 2011, 08:40:10 PM »
Quote from: danny on December 01, 2011, 04:31:34 PM
New poll from Haaretz:
Likud 29
Labour 19
Kadima 17
Yisrael Beitenu 17
Shas 9
National Union/Jewish Home 7
United Torah Judaism 6
Meretz 6
Hadash 5

Right total: 68
Others: 52

Are you pleased with the way Netanyahu is functioning as prime minister?
yes 49
no 41

Edit: link.
So if I understand this - and considering my Hebrew is limited to knowing the name of a single letter I think is cool looking, maybe I don't - but Labour is down from the last poll?
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #3 on: December 24, 2011, 02:36:40 PM »
Reform would be "secular" I'd guess, Conservative would be "masorti" and "Orthodox" would be the other two.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #4 on: December 24, 2011, 02:40:56 PM »
Averaging the above polls:

Likud - 31
Kadima - 18.5
Labour - 18.5
Yisrael B - 15
Shas - 9.5
U Torah J - 6
N Union - 5.5
Meretz - 4.5
Hadash - 4.5
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #5 on: December 24, 2011, 04:48:25 PM »
how about you if I can ask?
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #6 on: December 24, 2011, 05:09:41 PM »
Shocked
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #7 on: December 24, 2011, 05:50:15 PM »
Stereotype
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #8 on: December 30, 2011, 08:33:44 AM »
Great, now all you need to do is break Likud in half again and no party would top 15 Tongue
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #9 on: December 31, 2011, 01:13:06 PM »
Margin of Error?
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #10 on: January 08, 2012, 10:10:43 AM »
One step closer to no party winning more than 10 seats! Cheesy
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #11 on: January 10, 2012, 07:36:47 PM »
Averaging
Likud - 28
Labour - 14
Y Beit - 14
Kadima - 14
Lapid - 13
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #12 on: January 11, 2012, 10:10:50 AM »
What would 5% be in terms of seats? 6? So parties with less would lose.

"Oddly" all Arab parties would lose unless they ran a single united list.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #13 on: January 11, 2012, 12:00:24 PM »
Frankly, if I ran the place, I'd create 20 electoral districts, each of which would elect a single member via FPTP, and be unassociated with the 100 proportional members. The idea being that it would bolster any parties that can win over a national audience.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #14 on: January 11, 2012, 01:38:17 PM »
60 60 would change the Israeli party system, and why I avoid it.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #15 on: January 11, 2012, 02:51:36 PM »
Stabilize Governments.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #16 on: January 19, 2012, 06:36:02 PM »
This is why I say that 20 FPTP seats would do wonders. Imagine this:


Likud   -   21   -   15   -   36
Y.Beit   -   14   -      -   14
Lab   -   11   -      -   11
Kad   -   11   -   2   -   13
Lapid   -   6   -      -   6
Shas   -   6   -   3   -   9
UTJ   -   5   -      -   5
NatU   -   4   -      -   4
JewH   -   3   -      -   3
Ra-Ta   -   3   -      -   3
Had   -   3   -      -   3
Bal   -   3   -      -   3
Deri   -   3   -      -   3
Meretz   -   3   -      -   3
Indp   -   2   -      -   2
RabHai   -   2   -      -   2
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #17 on: January 19, 2012, 07:37:31 PM »
Then who would win? Your own maps show their strength?
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #18 on: January 28, 2012, 02:23:57 AM »
With Likud so far out ahead, would it be difficult for anyone else, even if they came to an agreement, to shove them out of a government in the event that the election resulted in exactly this?
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