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Andy Jackson
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« Reply #4550 on: February 02, 2015, 10:33:12 pm »
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Just decided to dump some irrelevant TL ideas that were taking up space.
----------

ELECTION OF 2000
(Republican)-Sen. John S. McCain III,AZ/Rep. Julius C. "J. C." Watts Jr,OK: 291 EV, 48%
(Democratic)-VP. Albert "Al" A. Gore Jr,TN/Sen. John F. Kerry,MA: 246 EV, 47%
(Green)-Mr. Ralph Nader,CT/Ms. Winona LaDuke,MN: 1 EV (1 Faithless DC Elector), 3%
(Reform)-Mr. Patrick "Pat" J. Buchanan,VA/Mrs. Ezola B. Foster,CA: 0 EV, 1%

ELECTION OF 2004
(Republican)-Pres. John S. McCain III,AZ/VP. Julius C. "J. C." Watts Jr,OK: 358 EV, 53%
(Democratic)-Sen. Johnny "John" R. Edwards,NC/Sen. Joseph "Joe" R. Biden Jr,DE: 180 EV, 45%
(Constitution/Reform)-Mr. Michael A. Peroutka,MD/Fmr Amb. Raymond "Ray" L. Flynn,MA: 0 EV, 1%

ELECTION OF 2008
(Democratic)-Sen. Hillary D. Rodham Clinton,NY/Sen. B. Evans "Evan" Bayh III,IN: 295 EV, 47%
(Republican)-VP. Julius C. "J. C." Watts Jr,OK/Sec of Com. Olympia J. Snowe,ME: 243 EV, 47%
(Green)-Mr. Ralph Nader,CT/May. Matthew "Matt" E. Gonzalez,CA: 0 EV, 3%
(Constitution)-Fmr Rep. James "Jim" W. Gilchrist Jr,CA/Fmr Sen. Robert "Bob" C. Smith,FL: 0 EV, 2%

ELECTION OF 2012
(Democratic)-Pres. Hillary D. Rodham Clinton,NY/VP. Evans "Evan" B. Bayh III,IN: 271 EV, 43%
(Republican)-Fmr Gov. Jon M. Huntsman Jr,UT/Sen. Robert "Rob" J. Portman,OH: 233 EV, 39%
(Constitution)-Gov. Roy S. Moore,AL/Fmr St Sen. Rick Jore,MT: 31 EV, 9%
(Green)-Fmr May. Matthew "Matt" E. Gonzalez,CA/Sen. Bernard "Bernie" Sanders,VT: 3 EV, 8%
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« Reply #4551 on: February 04, 2015, 08:14:11 am »
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Continuing on from my previous post, this is (roughly) the level of support among voters at the state level for the Labor Party. Percentages are a bit off here because some states (the ones marked at >30%) are in fact states where the Labor Party only gets >20%, and so on and so forth. So assume the shading indicates 10% less support than the state actually gives to the LP.

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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #4552 on: February 08, 2015, 07:43:35 pm »
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Possible 2016 Democratic Primary Map:


Red: Hillary Clinton
Blue: Jim Webb
Green: Bernie Sanders
Yellow: Martin O'Malley

Possible 2016 Republican Primary Map:

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Yellow: Scott Walker
Green: Ted Cruz
Grey: Rand Paul
« Last Edit: February 18, 2015, 09:50:59 am by MATTROSE94 »Logged

Memo to Ross: YOU GOT MAIL !!

LOL.

If you can't laugh then you shouldn't be in politics.
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« Reply #4553 on: February 14, 2015, 12:45:27 pm »
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2012


Obama/Biden 394 (43.2%)
Palin/DeMint 137 (33.5%)
Huntsman/Bloomberg 7 (19.3%)
Johnson/Gray 0 (2.9%)
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #4554 on: February 14, 2015, 02:40:04 pm »
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2012



Huntsman/Christie 280
Obama/Biden 258
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Goodwin
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« Reply #4555 on: February 15, 2015, 04:13:34 pm »
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1984


Reagan/Bush 527 (57.0%)
Hollings/Hart 11 (41.8%)
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MW Rep BaconBacon96
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« Reply #4556 on: February 17, 2015, 03:20:57 am »
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1996

Ross Perot throws his support behind retired general Colin Powell, whose moderate policies and image of refined leadership narrowly triumphs over the popular but now scandal ridden Bill Clinton.


Retired General Colin Powell/Former Education Secretary Lamar Alexander- 278 (49.0%)
President Bill Clinton/Vice President Al Gore- 260 (48.7%)
Others 2.7%

2000

Jesse Jackson emerges from a weak field as the Democratic candidate to take on the very popular President Powell. Pat Buchanan challenges Powell from the right, attacking his moderate positions. Powell nonetheless cruises to an easy victory, dispatching easily of his provocative opponents.


President Colin Powell/Vice President Lamar Alexander- 498 (55.6%)
Reverend Jesse Jackson/North Carolina Senator John Edwards- 3 (33.1%)
Activist Pat Buchanan/Former Representative Bob Dornan- 37 (10.3%)
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On Chris Christie-
He can eat his opponets and achieve a unified field.
MATTROSE94
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« Reply #4557 on: February 18, 2015, 10:24:55 am »
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2016:

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Martin Heinrich (D-NM): 272 Electoral Votes (49.7%)
Governor Scott Walker (R-WI)/Governor Susana Martinez (R-NM): 266 Electoral Votes (48.6%)
Others: 1.7%

The closest states are Florida, Georgia, Virginia, Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, Iowa, Ohio, Wisconsin, Colorado, New Mexico and New Hampshire.
« Last Edit: February 25, 2015, 09:40:58 am by MATTROSE94 »Logged

Memo to Ross: YOU GOT MAIL !!

LOL.

If you can't laugh then you shouldn't be in politics.
vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #4558 on: February 20, 2015, 07:24:22 pm »
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2004 Gets Funky
(Not meant to be totally realistic)
Republican Establishment Party-George W. Bush/Dick Cheney
Well, the regular. Support for the Iraq War, "compassionate conservatism", pro life, pro gun, support trickle down system and entitlement reforms. Does well where Bush did, minus out west where Libertarians broke with the party over the war.
Democratic Coalition Party-Al Gore/Zel Miller
Pretty supportive of the war, socially moderate, pro-NCLB, for letting highest level Bush tax cuts expire, pro Patriot Act, somewhat pro-life, want a market healthcare fix. Did decently in the South, especially benefiting from the relative strength of the AFP. Miller helped win GA and the R split handed them MO and TN. Got support from moderate Democrats.
American Freedom Party-Ron Paul/Roscoe Bartlett
For winding down activity in Iraq, elimination of multiple federal departments, very pro-gun, pro life, support the FairTax proposal, some members support returning to the gold standard. This party performs strongly with Paleocons and Libertarians.
Anti-War Party-Wesley Clark/Lincoln Chafee
Totally against the Iraq conflict, supports universal healthcare, pro-choice, reversal of Bush tax cuts on all but the working and middle classes. Mainly pulls support from liberal voters and a select few anti-war moderates who supported Chafee.
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« Reply #4559 on: February 21, 2015, 06:08:50 pm »
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1840



Martin Van Buren (Democratic): 53
William Henry Harrison (Whig): 168
James G. Birney (Liberty): 73

1844



Henry Clay (Whig): 87
James G. Birney (Liberty): 38
James K. Polk (Democratic): 150

1848



Lewis Cass (Democratic): 118
Zachary Taylor (Whig): 109
Gerrit Smith (Liberty): 36
Martin Van Buren (Free Soil): 27

The House elects Cass president by a single vote over Taylor, who ends up with the combined backing of the (most of the) Free Soil party and the American party in that chamber. The Democratic Party controlled Senate easily confirms William O. Butler for the position of Vice President.

1852



Franklin Pierce (Democratic): 236
Winfield Scott (Whig): 24
William Goodell (Liberty): 0
John Parker Hale (Free Soil): 36

1856



James Buchanan (Democratic): 135
John C. Fremont (Republican): 114
George Law (American / Whig): 47

The Democratic Party controlled House of Representatives elects James Buchanan as President. Likewise, the Senate votes for John C. Breckinridge to take up the office of Vice Resident.

1860



Stephen Douglas (Democratic:) 16
Abraham Lincoln (Republican): 176
John Bell (Constitutional Union): 57
John C. Breckinridge (Southern Democrat): 54

8. Martin Van Buren (Democratic-NY) 1837-41
9. William H. Harrison (Whig-OH) 1841
10. John Tyler (Whig, then Independent-VA) 1841-45
11. James K. Polk (Democratic-TN) 1845-49
12. Lewis Cass (Democratic-MI) 1849-53
13. Franklin Pierce (Democratic-NH) 1853-57
14. James Buchanan (Democratic-PA) 1857-61
15. Abraham Lincoln (Republican-IL) 1861-

9. Richard M. Johnson (Democratic-KY) 1837-41
10. John Tyler (Whig-VA) 1841
11. George M. Dallas (Democratic-PA) 1845-49
12. William O. Butler (Democratic-KY) 1849-53
13. William R. King (Democratic-AL) 1853
14. John C. Breckinridge (Democratic-KY) 1857-61
15. Hannibal Hamlin (Republican-ME) 1861-
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« Reply #4560 on: February 21, 2015, 07:24:16 pm »
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2016 - A Rout
A toxic Republican primary led to one of the most amazing political turn-arounds in history. Rick Perry upset Mike Huckabee in Iowa and Jeb Bush in South Carolina. The nomination fight was between him and a resurgent Chris Christie, but after an arrest while campaigning in his home state, Christie withdrew from the race.

Obviously Perry was dead in the water during the general election, and always trailed by upwards of 15 points. Debate performances went better than expected, and Tim Scott proved to be a boon for conservatives, but Perry wasn't ever going to crack that 15 point mark in the polls. He overperformed by a decent margin though, and carried some at risk Republicans, enough to hold on to the Senate and House.



Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Mark Warner (D-VA) - 53.5%, 388 EV's
Former Governor Rick Perry (R-TX)/Senator Tim Scott (R-SC) - 44.9%, 150 EV's

2020 - The One Term Duck

Hillary Clinton left office frustrated with Washington and her failings in Education and tax policy left a target on Vice President Mark Warner, the clear but damaged victor of the Democratic Primary over the Obama-endorsed Schatz and the over-eager Gillibrand. To build unity, Warner picked Schatz as his VP, effectively angering some Gillibrand supporters, but not enough to get them to bolt.

Warner benefited from yet another brutal Republican primaries, and faced off against Governor Mike Pence, who had high negatives. Pence, to combat accusations of being too conservative, went with the pro-choice Rice as his VP. The big mistake Warner made was assuming his high single digits lead would stay, as he campaigned in Texas, Arizona, and Montana instead of Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Warner got painted as a uncaring technocrat, and combined with his bad strategy Democrat fatigue and lost in an upset to Pence despite high favorables, high approval ratings, and solid debate performances.



Governor Mike Pence (R-IN)/Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice (R-AL) - 49.2%, 298 EV's
Vice President Mark Warner (D-VA)/Senator Brian Schatz (D-HI) - 48.3%, 240 EV's
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« Reply #4561 on: February 21, 2015, 07:39:40 pm »
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1864



Abraham Lincoln (National Union): 192
George B. McClellan (Democratic): 21
John C. Fremont (Radical Democrat): 20

1868



Ulysses S. Grant (Republican-IL): 190
Horatio Seymour (Democratic-NY): 80
Benjamin Wade (Radical Democrat-OH): 24

1872



Ulysses S. Grant (Republican-IL): 257
Horace Greeley (Liberal Republican / Democratic-NY): 66
Thaddeus Stephens (Radical Democrat-PA): 29

1876



Rutherford B. Hayes (Republican-OH): 137
Samuel J. Tilden (Liberal-NY): 169
Peter Cooper (Radical Democrat-NY): 63

The Liberal Party controlled House of Representatives elects Tilden, while the Republican-controlled Senate elects William Wheeler as Vice President.

1880



Samuel J. Tilden (Liberal-NY): 133
Ulysses S. Grant (Republican-IL): 186
James B. Weaver (Radical Democrat-IA): 50

1884



James G. Blaine (Republican-ME): 145
Grover Cleveland (Liberal-NY): 219
Benjamin Butler (Radical Democrat-MA): 37

1888



Grover Cleveland (Liberal-NY): 132
Benjamin Harrison (Republican-IN): 220
Alson Streeter (Radical Democrat-IL): 49

1892



Benjamin Harrison (Republican-IN): 103
Grover Cleveland (Liberal-NY): 219
James B. Weaver (Radical Democrat-IA): 23
Simon Wing (Socialist Labor-MA): 99

The Liberal controlled House elects Cleveland president. Radical Democrats in the Senate swing their support to Adlai Stevenson for Vice President.

1896



John M. Palmer (Liberal-IL): 129
William McKinley (Republican-OH): 217
Charles Matchett (Socialist Labor-NY): 56
Thomas Watson (Radical Democrat-GA): 45

The Republican-controlled House elects McKinley president. In the Senate, a deal brokered between the Radical Democrats and the Liberals results in the election of Simon Bolivar Buckner, a former Confederate general and member of the Liberal Party from Kentucky, as Vice President.

15. Abraham Lincoln (Republican, then National Union-IL) 1861-65
16. Andrew Johnson (National Union, then Independent-TN) 1865-68
17. Benjamin Wade (Radical Democrat-OH) 1868-69
18. Ulysses S. Grant (Republican-IL) 1869-77
19. Samuel J. Tilden (Liberal-NY) 1877-81
20. Ulysses S. Grant (Republican-IL) 1881
21. Chester A. Arthur (Republican-NY) 1881-85
22. Grover Cleveland (Liberal-NY) 1885-89
23. Benjamin Harrison (Republican-IN) 1889-93
24. Grover Cleveland (Liberal-NY) 1893-97
25. William McKinley (Republican-OH) 1897-

15. Hannibal Hamlin (Republican-ME) 1861-65
16. Andrew Johnson (National Union-TN) 1865
17. Schuyler Colfax (Republican-IN) 1869-73
18. Henry Wilson (Republican-MA) 1873-75
19. William A. Wheeler (Republican-NY) 1877-81
20. Chester A. Arthur (Republican-NY) 1881
21. Thomas A. Hendricks (Liberal-IN) 1885
22. Levi P. Morton (Republican-NY) 1889-93
23. Adlai Stevenson (Liberal-IL) 1893-97
24. Simon B. Buckner (Liberal-KY) 1897-
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« Reply #4562 on: February 21, 2015, 09:07:36 pm »
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1900



William McKinley (Republican-OH): 208
Augustus Van Wyck (Liberal-NY): 90
Eugene Debs (Socialist Labor-IN): 84
Wharton Barker (Radical Democrat-PA): 65

The House and Senate, both controlled by the Republicans, vote for McKinley and Roosevelt for President and Vice President, respectively. Following this, the third election in a row in which the House ultimately chose the winner, the electoral college was abolished via constitutional amendment. Henceforth, presidential elections would be determined by popular vote, with a runoff if no candidate received a majority of the popular vote.

1904



Theodore Roosevelt (Republican-NY): 50.2%
Alton Palmer (Liberal-NY): 18.1%
Eugene Debs (Socialist Labor-IN): 20.2%
Thomas Watson (Radical Democrat-GA): 11.6%

1908



William H. Taft (Republican-OH): 53.0%
William D. Haywood (Socialist Labor-UT): 16.8%
George Gray (Liberal-DE): 17.6%
Thomas Watson (Radical Democrat-GA): 12.6%

1912



William H. Taft (Republican-OH): 0.8%
Judson Harmon (Liberal-OH): 64.2%
Eugene Debs (Socialist Labor / Radical Democrat-IN): 18.3%
Theodore Roosevelt (Progressive-NY): 16.8%

1916

Round One



Judson Harmon (Liberal-OH): 36.3%
John W. Weeks (Progressive / Republican-MA): 40.5%
Allan Benson (Social Democratic-NY): 23.2%

Round Two



Judson Harmon (Liberal-OH): 52.0%
John W. Weeks (Progressive / Republican-MA): 48.0%

1920



James Cox (Liberal-OH): 23.9%
Leonard Wood (Progressive Republican-NH): 55.6%
Parley P. Christensen (Social Democratic-UT): 19.2%
Eugene V. Debs (Workers-IN): 1.3%

1924

Round One



Leonard Wood (Progressive Republican-NH): 49.7%
John Davis (Liberal-WV): 25.6%
Robert La Follette (Social Democratic-WI): 23.4%
William Z. Foster (Workers-IL): 1.3%

Round Two



Leonard Wood (Progressive Republican-NH): 74.4%
John Davis (Liberal-WV): 25.6%

1928



Herbert Hoover (Progressive Republican-IA): 65.7%
Al Smith (Liberal-NY): 12.1%
Norman Thomas (Social Democratic-NY): 18.6%
William Z. Foster (Workers'-IL): 3.6%

1932

Round One



Herbert Hoover (Progressive Republican-IA): 9.6%
Norman Thomas (Social Democratic-NY): 39.0%
Al Smith (Liberal-NY): 44.3%
William Z. Foster (Workers-IL): 7.0%

Round Two



Norman Thomas (Social Democratic-NY): 52.9%
Al Smith (Liberal-NY): 47.1%

25. William McKinley (Republican-OH) 1897-1901
26. Theodore Roosevelt (Republican-NY) 1901-09
27. William H. Taft (Republican-OH) 1909-13
28. Judson Harmon (Liberal-OH) 1913-1921
29. Leonard Wood (Progressive Republican-NH) 1921-27
30. Herbert Hoover (Progressive Republican-IA) 1927-33
31. Norman Thomas (Social Democratic-NY) 1933-

24. Simon B. Buckner (Liberal-KY) 1897-1901
25. Theodore Roosevelt (Republican-NY) 1901
26. Charles W. Fairbanks (Republican-IN) 1905-09
27. James S. Sherman (Republican-NY) 1909-12
28. Eugene N. Foss (Liberal-MA) 1913-1921
29. Herbert Hoover (Progressive Republcan-IA) 1921-27
30. Charles Curtis (Progressive Republican-KS) 1929-33
31. James H. Maurer (Social Democratic-PA) 1933-
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #4563 on: February 22, 2015, 05:53:10 pm »
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2014 Republican gubernatorial candidates vs 2006 Democratic gubernatorial candidates

So about Walker, Rauner, LePage, and Scott only winning from low turnout...
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« Reply #4564 on: February 28, 2015, 10:34:54 pm »
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1984

Senator Christopher Garrett (D-VT)/Congresswoman Patricia Schroeder (D-CO) 285 electoral votes
President Robert J. Dole (R-KS)/Vice President A. Linwood Holton (R-VA) 253 electoral votes
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« Reply #4565 on: Today at 01:13:58 am »
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Assuming that Perot gets elected in 1992, but not in 1996. In 1996, Bob Dole wins the presidency over Al Gore. In 2000, Perot decides not to run and endorses David Boren.
2000 Reform Party Primary


Angus King- Maine Governor, running on a pretty centrist platform. Nice blend of left and right. Strong appeal nationwide, but does best on the coasts.
David Boren- Former Oklahoma Senator and Governor, OU president. Perot's personal pick, but his efforts are rebuffed by Northeastern and Great Lakes voters who lean more to the left socially. The South simply LOVES Boren.
Ron Paul- Congressman from Texas, espouses a decidedly Libertarian wing of the Reform party. His appeal is mainly confined to the West, but he did win traditional Libertarian leaning New Hampshire as well. He probably would have won Maine had Angus King not been in the race.
John Anderson- Former congressman and 1980 independent presidential candidate. Anderson reflects the budding progressive wing of the Reform Party. His focus was on issues generally brought up by the left, but he also talked about centre-right economic policies. Anderson was getting older and seen as a dark horse from the start, a candidate that might surprise with his results. Anderson did surprisingly well in the Midwest, especially in places expected to support Angus King.

Bob Dole wins a second term, and after 9/11, announces a full scale war on terror, invades Iraq, invades Afghanistan, and plans activity in Iran. By 2004, some Americans are growing weary of war, and the Democratic leading nominees, Hillary Clinton and Joe Lieberman, both support these war efforts. Thus, many anti-war voters are expected to turn to the Reform party.
2004 Primary


Lincoln Chafee-Senator from Rhode Island, Chafee decided to run for the Reform party nomination. His policies fall slightly left of center and strongly anti-war. He has strong appeal to white collar voters, especially on the coasts.
Wes Clark-A top Army general, Clark decided to hinge on his military experience to run a powerful anti war campaign. His stances are populist in nature and appeal to unionized, blue collar voters. His rust belt, southern sort of economic populism fired up many voters, but those in the center tended to side with Chafee.
Bob Smith-Former New Hampshire senator Bob Smith was always known for his very conservative ideals. He stands for a socially conservative and somewhat hawkish platform. Before, he considered primarying the Republican nominee from the right, but figured he could gain more traction among Reform party voters. Religious Southerners were the main source of Smith's votes. In many Southern states, it was a battle between Smith and Clark. Smith's gaffes caused him to lose a number of close states in the South.
Jesse Ventura-Minnesota Governor Jesse Ventura takes pride in being endorsed by Ron Paul. Unlike Paul, Ventura appeals to more moderate Reform party voters alongside Libertarians. He performed strongly in the West, along with the northern plains.
« Last Edit: Today at 02:18:52 pm by vivaportugalhabs »Logged

Economically progressive, socially centre-left Portuguese-American-Canadian Catholic.
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