Jobs Report for October 2011
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 23, 2024, 01:16:36 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  Economics (Moderator: Torie)
  Jobs Report for October 2011		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Jobs Report for October 2011  (Read 524 times)
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 30, 2011, 01:09:12 PM »
The jobs report for October 2011 will come out this Friday, November 4, 2011.  Will it show a continued improvement over September and August, or will we head back the other direction?
Logged
phk
phknrocket1k
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2011, 09:35:31 PM »
Seasonally adjusted probably the same to worse. Unseasonally adjusted would be a decent increase.
Logged
Wonkish1
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,203


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2011, 11:29:36 PM »
« Edited: October 30, 2011, 11:31:14 PM by Wonkish1 »
Quote from: phk on October 30, 2011, 09:35:31 PM
Seasonally adjusted probably about the same to worse. Unseasonally adjusted would be a decent increase.
Logged
phk
phknrocket1k
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2011, 11:35:44 PM »
Quote from: Wonkish1 on October 30, 2011, 11:29:36 PM
Quote from: phk on October 30, 2011, 09:35:31 PM
Seasonally adjusted probably about the same to worse. Unseasonally adjusted would be a decent increase.

Last month's job count was overstated by 46k due to the Verizon strike ending.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2011, 02:00:26 AM »
My prediction:

+243.000 jobs

Rate down to 8.9%
Logged
redcommander
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,816
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2011, 04:31:38 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 01, 2011, 02:00:26 AM
My prediction:

+243.000 jobs

Rate down to 8.9%

If job creation has been stagnant at around 100000 the last few months, why would that large of a jump happen?
Logged
Wonkish1
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,203


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2011, 04:45:08 AM »
« Edited: November 01, 2011, 04:49:59 AM by Wonkish1 »
Quote from: phk on October 31, 2011, 11:35:44 PM
Quote from: Wonkish1 on October 30, 2011, 11:29:36 PM
Quote from: phk on October 30, 2011, 09:35:31 PM
Seasonally adjusted probably about the same to worse. Unseasonally adjusted would be a decent increase.

Last month's job count was overstated by 46k due to the Verizon strike ending.

Yeah, but apparently Christmas hiring is up a little more than normal. So I'm expecting it to reasonably close.

Mid to low 100s.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2011, 01:22:42 PM »
Quote from: redcommander on November 01, 2011, 04:31:38 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 01, 2011, 02:00:26 AM
My prediction:

+243.000 jobs

Rate down to 8.9%

If job creation has been stagnant at around 100000 the last few months, why would that large of a jump happen?

It's just a wild guess.

Why shouldn't there be a month once in a while that's a bit of an outlier in the very positive direction ?
Logged
phk
phknrocket1k
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2011, 03:18:52 PM »
Quote from: Wonkish1 on November 01, 2011, 04:45:08 AM
Quote from: phk on October 31, 2011, 11:35:44 PM
Quote from: Wonkish1 on October 30, 2011, 11:29:36 PM
Quote from: phk on October 30, 2011, 09:35:31 PM
Seasonally adjusted probably about the same to worse. Unseasonally adjusted would be a decent increase.

Last month's job count was overstated by 46k due to the Verizon strike ending.

Yeah, but apparently Christmas hiring is up a little more than normal. So I'm expecting it to reasonably close.

Mid to low 100s.

But for the seasonal adjustment we shouldn't really count farm workers and Christmas temps.
Logged
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,545


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2011, 06:15:48 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 01, 2011, 02:00:26 AM
My prediction:

+243.000 jobs

Rate down to 8.9%

No way.  It will likely be a gain of 123,000 jobs with the rate staying at 9.1%. 
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.035 seconds with 12 queries.