SC PrimR: Rasmussen: Cain ahead by double-digits

It’s important to note that just 28% of South Carolina’s Primary voters are firmly committed to their current candidate. That leaves 72% who could still change their mind or have no preference at this time. South Carolina’s primary will be held ten days after the New Hampshire Primary and the results from both Iowa and New Hampshire could alter the course of the campaign before South Carolina votes. Of those who are currently certain of their vote, Cain leads Romney by 12.

If it was just a two man race, Cain leads Romney 50% to 37% and he leads Perry 56% to 27%. Romney leads Perry 49% to 30% in that two-way match-up.

Forty-four percent (44%) believe that Romney is most likely to win the nomination. Twenty-five percent (25%) expect to see Cain as the nominee while 10% think Perry will come back to win the race.

Seventy-five percent (75%) were able to correctly identify Cain as the candidate who was accused of sexual harassment in the 1990s. Only 9% mistakenly thought it was some other candidate while 16% are not sure.

Just 9% think it’s Very Likely that the charges against Cain are serious and true. Another 19% think it’s Somewhat Likely. Fifty-eight percent (58%) consider it unlikely, but that includes only 19% who say that it is Not at All Likely. This suggests that Republican voters are generally willing to give the candidate the benefit of the doubt while recognizing that more information might change their perception.

Fifty-percent (50%) believe it’s at least somewhat likely that the allegations were leaked by one of the other Republican campaigns. Among those who support Cain, that figure rises to 61%.

Turnout is always a key factor in primary campaigns. Among those absolutely certain to show up and vote, 35% prefer Cain, 21% Romney, and 17% Gingrich.

Eighty-two percent (82%) say they will support the Republican candidate in the general election even if their favorite candidate doesn’t win.

If Mitt Romney is the nominee, 13% would be Very Likely to consider voting for a third party candidate. Another 17% would be Somewhat Likely to do so.

Among those who are Very Conservative, Cain attracts 40% of the vote with Newt Gingrich a distant second at 22%.

Among those who are Somewhat Conservative, it’s Cain at 31% and Romney at 27%.

As for those who are moderate or liberal, Romney holds a four-point advantage over Cain.

	Welcome, Guest. Please login or register. Did you miss your activation email? April 19, 2024, 01:36:21 AM

News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more