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| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  2011 Election Results Thread		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: 2011 Election Results Thread  (Read 7721 times)
Tender Branson
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« Reply #25 on: November 08, 2011, 08:30:03 pm »
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Quote from: realisticidealist on November 08, 2011, 08:27:02 pm
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 08:26:29 pm
What is the exact current partsian composition again in the VA State Senate for those who don't follow it ?

It currently looks Democratic incumbents are losing 3 seats or so, but not a lot is in so far.

22-18 Dems.

Well, it certainly helps when you have a Governor with 70% approval ratings ... Tongue
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #26 on: November 08, 2011, 08:31:19 pm »
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KY Governor is exactly how I would have predicted it, based on the undecideds in the SUSA poll.

58-32-10
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Senator Ben
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« Reply #27 on: November 08, 2011, 08:35:54 pm »
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When will Mississippi start reporting?
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Quote from: The Mikado on March 18, 2011, 11:12:39 pm
Obama High's debate team:

"Now let me be clear...I...I...um...uh...now let me be clear.  I strongly condemn the affirmative in the strongest possible terms, and I am closely monitoring their arguments.  Let me be clear on this."
Tender Branson
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« Reply #28 on: November 08, 2011, 08:36:43 pm »
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IA Senate District 18 Results should be here, starting in about 30 minutes:

http://elections.linncounty.org/results/results-1.htm
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #29 on: November 08, 2011, 08:41:11 pm »
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OR-01 US House Special Election - Primary Results are here:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/OR_Page_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS
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« Reply #30 on: November 08, 2011, 08:44:17 pm »
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Quote from: Secretary of External Affairs Ben on November 08, 2011, 08:35:54 pm
When will Mississippi start reporting?

I'm sure it will be slow, as usual
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #31 on: November 08, 2011, 08:46:44 pm »
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Let's see who's voting in MS:



I wonder how she voted on the Personhood issue ...

I have no clue how this will play out, I'll predict it'll pass by 52-48 ...
« Last Edit: November 08, 2011, 08:48:18 pm by Tender Branson »Logged
Sam Spade
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« Reply #32 on: November 08, 2011, 08:49:15 pm »
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Based on JLT's Virginia calls, it appears like:

#1 - TCTC, but Miller should have the edge with what's out.
#6 - Northam will win.
#10 - Watkins will win.  The state website is screwed up on this one.
#13 - Too early to call.
#17 - Too early to call.
#19 - Smith should win, though still too early.
#20 - Stanley probably has the edge here given what's out, but still TCTC.
#21 - Edwards should win, given what's out.  Not a 100% call yet, but close.
#22 - Garrett will win.
#29 - Too early to call.
#31 - Not close.  Favola dominating.
#33 - Too early to call.
#36 - Too early to call.
#37 - Too early to call.
#38 - TCTC, but given what's out, Puckett should have the edge.
#39 - Too early to call in my bookm but Barker looks good for now.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #33 on: November 08, 2011, 08:51:57 pm »
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Turnout in MS was reported to be "very good" ...
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« Reply #34 on: November 08, 2011, 08:55:02 pm »
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Quote from: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 08:51:57 pm
Turnout in MS was reported to be "very good" ...

Talk about a meaningless statement.  If the PPP was correct and it really was 45-44-11 Sunday, then I'm pretty confident:

Everyone knows whether they're pro-life or pro-choice.  And everyone who's pro-choice is a "no."  Thus, the 11% are almost entirely pro-life people who have given it some thought.  Since most "yes" voters are knee-jerk pro-life voters, the fact that the undecideds are giving it thought suggests that they will mostly break for "no."

Also, PPP noted that the undecided group was disproportionately female, black, and Democratic.

Of course, if the PPP poll is wrong, then who knows.  I won't be surprised either way.  But the one sliver of hard evidence we have says there's a good chance it fails.
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« Reply #35 on: November 08, 2011, 08:55:45 pm »
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Not sure where all the results are coming from, but the GOP looks good to hold LD11. Also, Republicans seem to have unusual strength in Cape May County. If that trend holds, the GOP could pick up a pair of Assembly seats in LD01.

Also, looks like Atlantic City has reported in LD02 while the more Republican territory has yet to check in -- Whelan is up by about 20.
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Quote from: © Tweedism is for poseurs in junior high on January 31, 2013, 04:28:53 pm
Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.
Tender Branson
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« Reply #36 on: November 08, 2011, 08:59:05 pm »
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Same day voter registration in ME has a lead so far (60-40), which means the GOP-backed law is heading for failure. But only 8% in.
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Senator Snowstalker
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« Reply #37 on: November 08, 2011, 08:59:48 pm »
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That thing of underperforming in SE KY seems to be just in Knott County; Floyd is looking fine for Beashear.
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Quote from: 31: A New Bushie on April 30, 2013, 01:33:54 pm
I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole.  Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
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« Reply #38 on: November 08, 2011, 09:01:19 pm »
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http://dashboard.nems360.com/returns/state.html

First MS results coming in
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #39 on: November 08, 2011, 09:02:30 pm »
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Quote from: Tubgirl on November 08, 2011, 08:59:48 pm
That thing of underperforming in SE KY seems to be just in Knott County; Floyd is looking fine for Beashear.

Beshear had over 80% in Floyd last time, for example, with a similar statewide %.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #40 on: November 08, 2011, 09:06:55 pm »
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How is the VA State Senate looking so far ? Will Republicans take it ?
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« Reply #41 on: November 08, 2011, 09:08:02 pm »
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The first 8 precincts to report were 64-36 Bryant and 55-45 no.  Not that it's in any way conclusive, since it's only 8 precincts, but I'd be really worried if I were the "Yes on 26" crowd.  Those are from 3 different counties.
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Senator Snowstalker
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« Reply #42 on: November 08, 2011, 09:12:19 pm »
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Are those wealthy white areas?
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Quote from: 31: A New Bushie on April 30, 2013, 01:33:54 pm
I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole.  Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
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« Reply #43 on: November 08, 2011, 09:13:32 pm »
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Rep. Albano (D) is improving in NJ's LD01; Rep. Milam (D) appears to be running well behind Albano across the board in all three counties. Could be a GOP +1 situation.
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Quote from: © Tweedism is for poseurs in junior high on January 31, 2013, 04:28:53 pm
Mr Moderate at 54/10 is a total joke, he is a horror.
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« Reply #44 on: November 08, 2011, 09:14:23 pm »
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Attala and Walthall Counties are the ones with partial reporting, and No has the lead.  Good sign, but way too early.
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mokbu
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« Reply #45 on: November 08, 2011, 09:18:11 pm »
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Issue 2 - SB 5 in Ohio has been defeated.
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« Reply #46 on: November 08, 2011, 09:20:34 pm »
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Quote from: Tender Branson on November 08, 2011, 09:06:55 pm
How is the VA State Senate looking so far ? Will Republicans take it ?

Too close to call now, but the Republicans have picked up one seat so far.
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Harry
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« Reply #47 on: November 08, 2011, 09:21:10 pm »
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I will now accept my accolades.  (Is that joke too long ago?)
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #48 on: November 08, 2011, 09:21:54 pm »
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Quote from: No on 26 on November 08, 2011, 09:21:10 pm
I will now accept my accolades.  (Is that joke too long ago?)

That statement has a bad track record. Tongue
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #49 on: November 08, 2011, 09:24:25 pm »
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MS Gov. is now just 53-47 for Bryant ...

If DuPree could just somehow end up at abou 45% when everything's counted - it would be good.
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