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| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: J Rpblc)
| | |-+  2011 Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: 2011 Election Results Thread  (Read 13674 times)
rbt48
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« Reply #250 on: November 10, 2011, 04:42:56 pm »
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Aggregate vote totals.

The GOP Senate candidates appear to have gotten:

Fairfax: 44%
Prince William: 51%
Loudoun: 53%.

McDonnell got.

Fairfax: 51%
Prince William: 58%
Loudoun: 61%

So about 7% slippage.
I suppose this is positive news for the Obama campaign regarding his chances to carry Virginia in 2012.  Slightly off topic, I'd be curious to see the total party vote compilation for all for all 40 State Senate races.  I realize that because of the many uncontested races, the totals wouldn't tell the whole story, but it is just mind boggling that the House can be > 2 to 1 GOP and the Senate is 50-50.  Perhaps it is a stellar example of what can be accomplished through a high quality Gerrymander.

See also: The New York state legislature. When there are two competing gerrymanders (in VA, a Republican gerrymander in the House and a [rather ineffective] Democratic one in the Senate), you can get very disparate results.
I do agree.  But aside from New York and Virginia, there are no other states with as dramatic a disparity in the partisan breakout of the two state houses.  In most states, the percentage of seats held by the respective parties in the upper and lower houses are quite close to eachother.
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Jbrase
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« Reply #251 on: November 10, 2011, 05:45:56 pm »
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Is there a final map out yet for MS?
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« Reply #252 on: November 10, 2011, 05:51:35 pm »
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Aggregate vote totals.

The GOP Senate candidates appear to have gotten:

Fairfax: 44%
Prince William: 51%
Loudoun: 53%.

McDonnell got.

Fairfax: 51%
Prince William: 58%
Loudoun: 61%

So about 7% slippage.
I suppose this is positive news for the Obama campaign regarding his chances to carry Virginia in 2012.  Slightly off topic, I'd be curious to see the total party vote compilation for all for all 40 State Senate races.  I realize that because of the many uncontested races, the totals wouldn't tell the whole story, but it is just mind boggling that the House can be > 2 to 1 GOP and the Senate is 50-50.  Perhaps it is a stellar example of what can be accomplished through a high quality Gerrymander.

See also: The New York state legislature. When there are two competing gerrymanders (in VA, a Republican gerrymander in the House and a [rather ineffective] Democratic one in the Senate), you can get very disparate results.
I do agree.  But aside from New York and Virginia, there are no other states with as dramatic a disparity in the partisan breakout of the two state houses.  In most states, the percentage of seats held by the respective parties in the upper and lower houses are quite close to eachother.

I don't think there are any other states with split-party gerrymanders, either.
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Meeker
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« Reply #253 on: November 10, 2011, 06:44:43 pm »
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Democrats got about 420,000 votes in the State Senate races versus 661,000 for the Republicans (39% to 61%).

In other words, the Democrats had a very good map.

ETA: This is slightly misleading because far more Republican incumbents had no opponents than Democratic incumbents, but still.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #254 on: November 10, 2011, 07:27:42 pm »
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Mississippi I-26 and Governor Maps:

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realisticidealist
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« Reply #255 on: November 10, 2011, 09:17:47 pm »
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Another map. This time the 2007-2011 swing for KY Governor. I calculated it the same way Dave does and used the same intervals. I don't see much correlation with Galbraith's vote at all:

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fezzyfestoon
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« Reply #256 on: November 10, 2011, 11:37:46 pm »
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Only vaguely related yet still alarming: Tom effing Kean Jr is now my state Senator.
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rbt48
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« Reply #257 on: November 10, 2011, 11:43:05 pm »
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OT:  I have dear friends who adore Tom Kean, Jr.

Democrats got about 420,000 votes in the State Senate races versus 661,000 for the Republicans (39% to 61%).

In other words, the Democrats had a very good map.

ETA: This is slightly misleading because far more Republican incumbents had no opponents than Democratic incumbents, but still.

Amazing.  But also adding to the disparity is the very low turnout in many Democratic (and minority) unopposed districts as compared with the turnout in Republican unopposed districts.  But still ...

I have to wonder what the party vote totals would be in the House of Delegates races.
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Marokai Besieged
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« Reply #258 on: November 11, 2011, 01:18:49 am »
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Knew my county, and the general area more broadly, voted very strongly against Issue 2. I didn't know my county voted 75% against it. You can't ask for much more than that!
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Torie
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« Reply #259 on: November 11, 2011, 11:06:55 am »
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Only vaguely related yet still alarming: Tom effing Kean Jr is now my state Senator.

Why are you down on him Fezzy?
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benconstine
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« Reply #260 on: November 11, 2011, 11:47:57 am »
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Democrats got about 420,000 votes in the State Senate races versus 661,000 for the Republicans (39% to 61%).

In other words, the Democrats had a very good map.

ETA: This is slightly misleading because far more Republican incumbents had no opponents than Democratic incumbents, but still.

Amazing.  But also adding to the disparity is the very low turnout in many Democratic (and minority) unopposed districts as compared with the turnout in Republican unopposed districts.  But still ...

I have to wonder what the party vote totals would be in the House of Delegates races.

This is largely irrelevant, given how many more Republicans were unopposed.  I would be interested in seeing numbers from just the contested races.
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fezzyfestoon
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« Reply #261 on: November 12, 2011, 09:57:44 am »
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Only vaguely related yet still alarming: Tom effing Kean Jr is now my state Senator.
Why are you down on him Fezzy?

Well, he's not really that bad at all. But he's a bit of a doofus.
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