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November 27, 2014, 04:48:06 pm
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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| |-+  International General Discussion (Moderators: Peter, afleitch)
| | |-+  The Great Korea Thread
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Author Topic: The Great Korea Thread  (Read 4004 times)
politicus
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« Reply #50 on: November 17, 2014, 06:10:24 pm »
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South Korea now has a contingency plan of economic reforms to be implemented in case of Korean unification.

If it happens South Korean tax payers are in for a nightmare. BRD was 2-3 richer than DDR. South Korea is 14-30 times richer than North Korea depending on how you count. The largest wealth gap between two countries with a shared border.

http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2014/11/dream-korean-unification-2014111565039906410.html

« Last Edit: November 17, 2014, 06:13:05 pm by politicus »Logged

Bacon King
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« Reply #51 on: November 18, 2014, 03:05:41 pm »
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What would be preferable for South Korea, if they had a choice: a North Korea publicly seeking reunification on the South's terms, or a North Korean puppet state that remains independent but the South controls behind the scenes?
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politicus
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« Reply #52 on: November 18, 2014, 03:21:01 pm »
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What would be preferable for South Korea, if they had a choice: a North Korea publicly seeking reunification on the South's terms, or a North Korean puppet state that remains independent but the South controls behind the scenes?

Option two, but I don't even think they care that much about controlling it. Any scenario in which North Korea would remain stable after a regime change, open its borders and economy and develop gradually on its own terms would be preferable to getting the responsibility after a collapse.
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« Reply #53 on: November 18, 2014, 03:57:17 pm »
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What would be preferable for South Korea, if they had a choice: a North Korea publicly seeking reunification on the South's terms, or a North Korean puppet state that remains independent but the South controls behind the scenes?

Option 2, but it would require the intervention of Alien Space Bats for that to happen.
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« Reply #54 on: November 18, 2014, 09:20:45 pm »
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What would be preferable for South Korea, if they had a choice: a North Korea publicly seeking reunification on the South's terms, or a North Korean puppet state that remains independent but the South controls behind the scenes?

Option 2, but it would require the intervention of Alien Space Bats for that to happen.

Of what?
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« Reply #55 on: November 18, 2014, 09:31:35 pm »
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What would be preferable for South Korea, if they had a choice: a North Korea publicly seeking reunification on the South's terms, or a North Korean puppet state that remains independent but the South controls behind the scenes?

Option 2, but it would require the intervention of Alien Space Bats for that to happen.

Of what?
AH.com term for the impossible.
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politicus
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« Reply #56 on: November 19, 2014, 05:31:26 pm »
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Putting a price tag on unification: "Around 500 billion $"

http://news.yahoo.com/korea-puts-economic-unification-tab-500-billion-031557279.html
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Governor Simfan
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« Reply #57 on: November 19, 2014, 05:54:22 pm »
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What would be preferable for South Korea, if they had a choice: a North Korea publicly seeking reunification on the South's terms, or a North Korean puppet state that remains independent but the South controls behind the scenes?

Your latter option sounds a lot less like a "puppet state" per se than it does a "gradual/controlled reunification", which is what I think is most likely to happen as is: that the North becomes a de facto Southern protectorate after the "fall of the regime" (whatever that entails) in a nominal confederation but essentially separate from the South. Over a period of 10-20 years North would be developed to a level where full reunification would be non-cataclysmic. 

The Northerners would still experience a dramatic rise in liberties, their standard of living, but would at the same time be used to (for a time) by sheer custom to curtailments on their rights that most would consider excessive but would prevent the sort of catastrophe most imagine happening in the case of a sudden reunification (for example, I imagine people needing a permit, much as is the case with the Chinese Houkou system, to move to the South). I easily see the North, which was historically the more industrially active of the two regions, becoming the next massive center for low cost manufacturing.
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politicus
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« Reply #58 on: November 19, 2014, 06:10:39 pm »
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The most likely regime "change" in North Korea is a military takeover with a Burma style social order. In this case South Korean conglomerates would invest and be quite influential , but the government would still be very adverse to outright Southern political interference.
« Last Edit: November 19, 2014, 07:09:03 pm by politicus »Logged

Governor Simfan
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« Reply #59 on: November 19, 2014, 07:07:36 pm »
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The most likely regime "change" in North Korea is a military takeover with a state Burma style social order. In this case South Korean conglomerates would invest and be quite influential , but the government would still be very adverse to outright Southern political interference.

Well if that happened then yes, that is what would happen. But isolation has its benefits- clearly, or else they would have changed by now; Burma was pretty isolated under the military as well, under Than Shwe and so forth (I assume you mean Burma before a few years ago).
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