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September 24, 2016, 03:54:16 pm
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Author Topic: Ireland General Discussion  (Read 154797 times)
ObserverIE
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Ireland, Republic of


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E: -3.87, S: -1.04

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« Reply #1250 on: July 09, 2016, 06:24:51 pm »
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A rather different picture from Ipsos/MRBI, who have generally been the most accurate pollster over the last decade. Crumb of comfort for Gully, Oakvale and Jas: this one could always be a rogue. Again, changes since the last poll before the election:

FF 33 (+10)
FG 24 (-4)
SF 16 (+1)
Ind/Oth 14 (-6)
Lab 5 (-1)
GP 4 (+2)
SP/SWP 2 (-1)
SD 2 (-1)

FWIW, this may be exaggerating real trends - if it was FF 30 FG 27 I'd not be at all surprised by the figures. With them next door having a collective nervous breakdown and the sparks from the burning roof threatening to set our own house on fire, the seeming coolness and competence of Martin may be more attractive than the stiffness of Kenny.

What will be interesting is what effect this poll will have on the nerves of FG backbenchers and the ambition of FG leadership contenders. The last heave against Kenny in 2010 followed an MRBI poll (which in retrospect was probably a rogue) that showed FG behind Labour and set off the "Gilmore for Taoiseach" bandwagon, long ago dismantled for scrap.

Aaanndd on cue, the FG backbenchers begin to get restless.
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ObserverIE
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Posts: 1455
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

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« Reply #1251 on: July 16, 2016, 06:18:47 pm »
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Two more polls this weekend to confirm FG backbench jitters:

Behaviour & Attitudes for the Sunday Times:

FF 30 (+5)
FG 25 (-1)
SF 14 (-3)
Ind/Oth 12 (-3)
Lab 6 (+1)
SP/SWP 5 (+1)
WP 3 (+1)
SD 2 (+1)
GP 2 (-1)
Renua 0 (-1)

The forward march of Stalinism continues unabated down at the bottom of the polls.

RedC for the Sunday Business Post:

FF 29 (+3)
FG 26 (-)
SF 13 (-2)
Ind/Oth 13 (-3)
Lab 6 (-)
SP/SWP 5 (-)
SD 4 (-)
GP 4 (+2)
Renua 1 (+1)

I think it's safe to assume that FF are now back as the largest party, causing latte liberals and carpet-chewing conspiracy theorists alike to froth at the mouth. A cynic might note that FF are having more success in putting manners on FG while in opposition than Labour had for five years in government.
« Last Edit: July 29, 2016, 07:27:21 pm by ObserverIE »Logged

Kevinstat
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« Reply #1252 on: July 20, 2016, 06:42:55 pm »
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(Republic of) Ireland constituency review 2016-17 (a thread I've started that folks visiting this thread might be interested in)
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ObserverIE
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Posts: 1455
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

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« Reply #1253 on: July 29, 2016, 07:20:19 pm »
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RedC for Paddy Power:

FF 28 (-1)
FG 27 (+1)
Ind/Oth 16 (+2)
SF 15 (+2)
Lab 4 (-2)
SP/SWP 4 (-1)
SD 3 (-1)
GP 3 (-1)
« Last Edit: July 29, 2016, 07:22:09 pm by ObserverIE »Logged

Cassius
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« Reply #1254 on: September 02, 2016, 08:05:25 am »
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https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Noonan

Assuming it hasn't been removed, someone is evidently unhappy about Finance Minister Michael Noonan' stance on this Apple tax business.
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'Turning and turning in the widening gyre
The falcon cannot hear the falconer;
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;
Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,
The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere
The ceremony of innocence is drowned;
The best lack all conviction, while the worst
Are full of passionate intensity.
...
And what rough beast, its hour come round at last,
Slouches towards Bethlehem to born?' - WB Yeats
ObserverIE
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Posts: 1455
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

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« Reply #1255 on: September 05, 2016, 08:48:21 am »
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Stephen Donnelly walks away from the Social Democrats.
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ObserverIE
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Posts: 1455
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -1.04

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« Reply #1256 on: September 17, 2016, 07:38:45 pm »
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Behaviour & Attitudes for the Sunday Times:

FF 28 (-2)
FG 23 (-2)
SF 18 (+4)
Ind/Oth 16 (+4)
Lab 7 (+1)
SP/SWP 4 (-1)
SD 1 (-1)
GP 2 (-)
WP 1 (-2)
Renua 0 (-)
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