Examination of Canadian dual-member ridings

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Math to go here. (I will start shortly)


edit (WORK IN PROGRESS)
sources
Sources
http://www.gnb.ca/elections/pdf/Twenty-Seventh%20General%20Election,%201970%20Report%20of%20the%20Chief%20Electoral%20Officer.pdf
http://www.gnb.ca/elections/pdf/Twenty-Sixth%20General%20Election%201967%20Report%20of%20the%20Chief%20Electoral%20Officer.pdf


http://www.electionspei.ca/provincial/historical/results/files.php


http://www.saskarchives.com/web/seld/Elections-Results-by-Electoral-Division.pdf


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edmonton_(provincial_electoral_district)#Block_Vote_1909_-_1913.2C_1921
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Calgary_(provincial_electoral_district)#1909_general_election


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Manitoba_general_election,_1914

http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/Parliament/FederalRidingsHistory/hfer.asp?Language=E&Search=Gres&genElection=27&ridProvince=0&submit1=Search


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vancouver_East_(electoral_district)#Electoral_history_1933-1986
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vancouver-Point_Grey_(electoral_district)#Electoral_history_1933-1986
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vancouver_Centre_(electoral_district)#Electoral_history_1933-1986
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vancouver-Burrard
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vancouver-Little_Mountain
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delta_(provincial_electoral_district)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Vancouver_(provincial_electoral_district)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Victoria_City_(provincial_electoral_district)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burnaby_(provincial_electoral_district)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vancouver_City_(electoral_district)

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

An examination has shown me that date seems to matter not. 1970's or 1930's, the results are similar enough to compare easily.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

I've decided to only use a few samples, and then find others to confirm or deny my result.

Starting with NB in 1970
Albert
PC - 4863
PC - 4799
LIB - 2072
LIB - 2039

Queens
PC 2609
LIB 2439
PC 2367
LIB 1968
NDP 128

Sunbury
PC 4209
PC 4110
Lib 3427
Lib 2902
NDP 205
NDP 226

Victoria
PC 3834
PC 3307
LIB 3226
LIB 3273

York
PC 6050
PC 5954
LIB 4278
LIB 4272
NDP 318
NDP 295

PEI 1993 Kings

1st. Cou
LIB 1702
PC 1208
NDP 83
Ass
LIB 1681
PC 1279

2nd. Cou
Lib 1081
PC 815
Ass
Lib 1031
PC 786
NDP 85

3rd cou
Lib 1369
PC 1123
NDP 106
ass
Lib 1436
PC 1133

4th cou
Lib 1618
PC 912
NDP 235
ass
Lib 1540
PC 1053
NDP 164

5th cou
Lib 1202
PC 506
ass
Lib 1098
PC 601



What I'm attempting to do is find the variance between party results. For example in the last example the Liberal and PC parties both have a variance of over 100 votes. I want to find what % that is, and, how that carries to other ridings. I then want to see if it's different if the riding is block vote or not.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Variances


0.06%   
0.08%   
0.22%   
0.28%   
0.48%   
0.69%   
0.88%   
0.91%   
0.93%   
1.31%   
1.66%   
2.55%   
2.66%   
2.69%   Median
2.77%   
2.81%   
2.85%   
3.20%   
4.08%   
4.47%   
5.09%   
5.21%   
5.75%   
5.75%   
6.96%   
7.73%   
9.90%   
   
3.04%   Average