PPP: Gingrich now in charge
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  PPP: Gingrich now in charge
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Author Topic: PPP: Gingrich now in charge  (Read 4202 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: November 14, 2011, 12:41:02 PM »

If the Republican candidates for President were Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Gary Johnson, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

Newt Gingrich ................................................. 28%
Herman Cain................................................... 25%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 18%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 6%
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 5%
Ron Paul......................................................... 5%
Jon Huntsman................................................. 3%
Gary Johnson ................................................. 1%
Rick Santorum ................................................ 1%
Someone else/Not sure .................................. 9%

PPP surveyed 576 Republican primary voters from November 10th to 13th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-4.1%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republican candidates.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_National_1114925.pdf
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change08
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« Reply #1 on: November 14, 2011, 12:44:50 PM »

I feel sorry for Mitt Romney, like genuinely.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2011, 12:46:27 PM »

HAHHAHAHAHAHAHHAHA

This is the greatest thing. THE GREATEST THING.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #3 on: November 14, 2011, 01:05:05 PM »

Holy sh**t!

I thought Mitt would still be at a steady 24-25%.
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memphis
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« Reply #4 on: November 14, 2011, 01:19:15 PM »
« Edited: November 14, 2011, 01:28:56 PM by memphis »

Presuming polling is accurate (and that's a big if) I wonder why Mittens's supporters have defected. I feel confident that his base is the moderates, and don't know what he has done to alienate them or even more so, what Cain or Gingrich have done to attract them. Maybe it's partly an intertia bandwagon thing.
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RI
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« Reply #5 on: November 14, 2011, 01:24:30 PM »

Romney has pretty consistently gotten around 20% in PPP's national polls.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #6 on: November 14, 2011, 01:26:24 PM »

I don't know what to say, really. I still think things will begin to shape up once the primaries start. These national polls really don't mean much of anything. Giuliani and Clinton both lead nationally going into Iowa in 2008.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #7 on: November 14, 2011, 01:37:09 PM »

HAHHAHAHAHAHAHHAHA

This is the greatest thing. THE GREATEST THING.
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #8 on: November 14, 2011, 02:24:04 PM »


This.

And Gingrich was right when he said this was a 2-person race (when Perry and Romney were leading) among Cain and himself.
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #9 on: November 14, 2011, 02:25:03 PM »

This is the saddest day of my life -cries-
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King
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« Reply #10 on: November 14, 2011, 03:12:16 PM »

Romney appears to be absorbing the blow from the Cain scandals. Brilliant.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #11 on: November 14, 2011, 03:37:19 PM »

I suspected it. Still, I have to understand how a major party's primary can fall into such pathetic lows.
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CLARENCE 2015!
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« Reply #12 on: November 14, 2011, 03:40:33 PM »

Ladies and gentlemen.....President Newt Gingrich!
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Verily
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« Reply #13 on: November 14, 2011, 03:43:39 PM »

Presuming polling is accurate (and that's a big if) I wonder why Mittens's supporters have defected. I feel confident that his base is the moderates, and don't know what he has done to alienate them or even more so, what Cain or Gingrich have done to attract them. Maybe it's partly an intertia bandwagon thing.

Romney has three types of supporters:

1. Moderates. These people haven't defected (at least not to Gingrich, though Huntsman is making significant inroads in NH)
2. Mormons. Loyal to the end, obviously (again, except maybe to Huntsman, but only if Romney collapses/withdraws)
3. Establishment-trusting business people. These are probably the people defecting. They didn't like Trump or Bachmann or Perry or Cain because all of them look like loose cannons. (Perry less so; he made some inroads with this group before collapsing.) But Gingrich is a known quantity to them and was a pretty solid ally of theirs in the '90s.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: November 15, 2011, 12:01:32 AM »

Cain v. Gingrich works for me!
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jfern
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« Reply #15 on: November 15, 2011, 12:02:53 AM »

I feel sorry for Mitt Romney, like genuinely.

Hey, he might be in 3rd place here, but he's still at 70% on Intrade.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #16 on: November 15, 2011, 05:23:36 AM »
« Edited: November 15, 2011, 05:25:10 AM by Mr. Morden »

Men:
Cain 29%
Gingrich 26%
Romney 17%

Women:
Gingrich 31%
Cain 20%
Romney 19%

Also, Gingrich's base is the over 65 crowd (among whom he's at 37%).  And Cain is only at 19% among those over 65.  The olds still don't like a black.

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Eraserhead
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« Reply #17 on: November 15, 2011, 05:32:05 AM »

Looks like Gingrich is a lady killer!
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Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
jmfcst
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« Reply #18 on: November 15, 2011, 07:49:35 AM »


my oldest daughter thinks he's "smart"
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Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #19 on: November 15, 2011, 01:18:56 PM »
« Edited: November 15, 2011, 01:20:37 PM by Joementum »

So Bachmann, as conservative as anyone in the field, has underwater favorables among Republicans.  Most amazingly, 1 out of 4 Bachmann voters have an unfavorable impression of her.

Gingrich and Cain have the highest favorables among Republicans nationwide.  Hilarious.
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Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
jmfcst
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« Reply #20 on: November 15, 2011, 01:30:45 PM »
« Edited: November 15, 2011, 01:32:58 PM by jmfcst »

So Bachmann, as conservative as anyone in the field, has underwater favorables among Republicans.  Most amazingly, 1 out of 4 Bachmann voters have an unfavorable impression of her.

policy positions can't trump being a troll.

---

Gingrich and Cain have the highest favorables among Republicans nationwide.  Hilarious.
 

Cain is simply likable, regardless if you're no longer supporting him.  

Gingrich has not been a troll (though he did have a huge chip on his shoulder when he was Speaker), is sharp, and is a good ideological fit, PLUS, Newt is NOT ideologically inflexible.
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Badger
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« Reply #21 on: November 16, 2011, 09:12:15 AM »

So Bachmann, as conservative as anyone in the field, has underwater favorables among Republicans.  Most amazingly, 1 out of 4 Bachmann voters have an unfavorable impression of her.

policy positions can't trump being a troll.

---

Gingrich and Cain have the highest favorables among Republicans nationwide.  Hilarious.
 

Cain is simply likable, regardless if you're no longer supporting him.  

Gingrich has not been a troll (though he did have a huge chip on his shoulder when he was Speaker), is sharp, and is a good ideological fit, PLUS, Newt is NOT ideologically inflexible.

I agree, Jmfsct, but I think this last point re: ideological flexability actually hurts him among the primary voting block he must harness to challenge Romneuy.
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Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
jmfcst
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« Reply #22 on: November 18, 2011, 12:49:59 PM »


my oldest daughter thinks he's "smart"

fyi...out of the blue last night my wife brought up one of Cain's gaffes and stated she has now saddled up upon the Newt
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LastVoter
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« Reply #23 on: November 18, 2011, 07:09:28 PM »

Bold prediction: At least one Obama supporter in jmfcst's family when election rolls around.
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redcommander
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« Reply #24 on: November 18, 2011, 11:05:44 PM »

I will jump ship if Gingrich or Cain is the nominee and vote for Obama. I would rather Democrats have their bench of potential presidential candidates even more decimated in the 2014 midterms with another four years of Obama, than have those two assh*les as President.
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