Barack Obama (D-IL) vs. Newt Gingrich (R-GA)

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

Context:  U.S. Recession, UE 10.3%

Obama 223
Newt    315

(late edit:  ignore shades)

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

Context:  U.S. Recession, UE 10.3%

Obama 223
Newt    315

...and the alternative? or is that an admission that that's the only circumstance in which Gingrich could win?

well, since that circumstance has Newt at 315, it's not exactly a squeaker of a scenario.  If Obama's foreign policy luck holds up, Obama could win with UE 8.5% as long as the rate shows steady improvement and the economy creates 150-200k jobs per month.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

Context:  U.S. Recession, UE 10.3%

Obama 223
Newt    315

(late edit:  ignore shades)

actually, under that scenario, it would probably end up:

Newt:   369
Obama: 169

(again, ignore shading)

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

When the alternative is a black, they'll line up behind it.

Most Kentuckians I know really don't even care what race a candidate is.

what exactly are you doing?! You're a Dem.  You're supposed to tell lies about the South, not speak the truth - that the South is much more tolerant of race than most places north of the Mason-Dixon line.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

what exactly are you doing?! You're a Dem.  You're supposed to tell lies about the South, not speak the truth - that the South is much more tolerant of race than most places north of the Mason-Dixon line.

For starts, I'm a Green. For another, Kentucky really isn't even that far south.

yeah, but Kentucky's percentage of crackers is among the highest in the South.