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|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  Scott Walker recall goes live
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Author Topic: Scott Walker recall goes live  (Read 31404 times)
Bacon King
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« Reply #25 on: January 18, 2012, 02:04:02 pm »
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BK without all the crazy drugs just wouldn't be BK.
Bacon King: 1.  You're cute, in a weird Tom Wopat kind of way.
Gass3268
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« Reply #26 on: January 18, 2012, 07:20:25 pm »
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So if Walker wins, can't they just turn around and get another million signatures and recall him again? And if they lose that, a 3rd time?

Nothing in the GAB website seems to have prohibited such.

Nope, you can only be up for a recall election once during your term. I think that it's in the state constitution.
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Anyways everything else about it looks good, here's to the new alter-ego of the Progressive Union!
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« Reply #27 on: January 25, 2012, 09:33:34 am »
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https://law.marquette.edu/poll/

The poll finds Walker ahead of Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett by a 50 percent to 44 percent margin. Walker leads the only announced Democratic candidate, former Dane County Executive Kathleen Falk, with a 49 percent to 42 percent margin. Walker leads former Congressman David Obey by 49 percent to 43 percent. Janesville Democratic State Senator Tim Cullen receives 40 percent to Walkerís 50 percent.




74 percent favored and 22 percent opposed requiring state workers to pay more for pension and health benefits
66 percent favored and 32 percent opposed the stateís new voter ID law





Lol, dominating.
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« Reply #28 on: January 25, 2012, 01:57:07 pm »
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Terrible poll.
« Last Edit: January 25, 2012, 01:58:38 pm by Nathan »Logged

A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights.

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LastVoter
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« Reply #29 on: January 25, 2012, 01:58:42 pm »
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Cmon Feingold, don't let us down.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #30 on: January 25, 2012, 02:20:58 pm »
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Cmon Feingold, don't let us down.

If a loser could take down Scott Walker, Barrett would be doing better.
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« Reply #31 on: January 25, 2012, 02:25:24 pm »
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First off, I wouldn't start counting chickens, the election is still a good way off and it is just like a regular election where noting is guaranteed. The ads aren't even up yet and Republicans clearly think they can win this without doing any work, which only serves to work in the opposition's favor.
« Last Edit: January 25, 2012, 02:27:06 pm by DrScholl »Logged
krazen1211
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« Reply #32 on: January 25, 2012, 02:29:26 pm »
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First off, I wouldn't start counting chickens, the election is still a good way off and it is just like a regular election where noting is guaranteed. The ads aren't even up yet and Republicans clearly think they can win this without doing any work, which only serves to work in the opposition's favor.

Uh, they don't think that at all; Scott Walker has been on a fundraising bonanza preparing for this recall.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #33 on: January 25, 2012, 03:05:50 pm »

Scott Walker has been on a fundraising bonanza preparing for this recall.

An Associated Press analysis of campaign finance reports Republican Gov. Scott Walker filed Monday showed 61 percent of the $4.1 million he raised during the five-week reporting period came from out of state.

Many of the contributions came from big donors, including $250,000 from conservative Texas financier Bob Perry and a total of $750,000 from three people in Missouri. More than half of Walker's money came from people who donated $20,000 or more, such as Michael Bidwill, president of the NFL's Arizona Cardinals, who gave $25,000.
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Emperor Scott
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« Reply #34 on: January 25, 2012, 03:48:36 pm »
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Looks like a poll from outtah nowhere.  Does Marquette have a very good track record?
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« Reply #35 on: February 01, 2012, 04:02:56 pm »
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This could make Wisconsin competitive in presidential election, if Walker survives.
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Хahar
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« Reply #36 on: February 01, 2012, 05:12:24 pm »
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Looks like a poll from outtah nowhere.  Does Marquette have a very good track record?

Uni poll
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The idea of parodying the preceding Atlasian's postings is laughable, of course, but not for reasons one might expect.
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« Reply #37 on: February 01, 2012, 07:23:25 pm »
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http://elections.wispolitics.com/2012/02/cullen-drops-out-of-guv-race.html

State Sen. Tim Cullen announced this afternoon that he is dropping out of the guv's race.

He said he cannot raise the $1 million to $2 million he believes is needed to deliver his message against other candidates with more resources and better name recognition.

Cullen's latest campaign finance report showed he had just $26,299 in the bank at the end of 2011 after raising just $157 over the six-month period.





$157.....lol.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #38 on: February 28, 2012, 02:56:15 pm »
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Walker's approvals are back underwater.

47%-52%


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_022812.pdf
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« Reply #39 on: February 29, 2012, 02:55:59 am »
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It's pretty impressive that a full 94% of people who disapprove of Walker want him recalled, and yet his disapproval is only a few points underwater.  That is one polarized electorate.
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« Reply #40 on: February 29, 2012, 11:15:51 am »
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http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_governor_elections/wisconsin/54_in_wisconsin_oppose_recall_of_gop_governor_walker

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds that 52% of Likely Wisconsin Voters at least somewhat approve of Walkerís job performance to date, while 46% at least somewhat disapprove. These findings include 40% who Strongly Approve of how the Republican governor is doing and just as many (40%) who Strongly Disapprove.


Looking good.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #41 on: February 29, 2012, 12:38:20 pm »
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It's pretty impressive that a full 94% of people who disapprove of Walker want him recalled, and yet his disapproval is only a few points underwater.  That is one polarized electorate.

Thank you Scott Walker!

Based off of PPP, the far superior polling outfit, it looks like his negatives are going back up and Independents view him negatively at 43-55. Its going to be really close when it is all said and done. 
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Anyways everything else about it looks good, here's to the new alter-ego of the Progressive Union!
butafly [豚フライ]
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« Reply #42 on: February 29, 2012, 12:44:22 pm »
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Sadly, I think this will be close enough so that Waukesha county officials can pull out a "win" for Scott Walker.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #43 on: February 29, 2012, 01:22:47 pm »
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Sadly, I think this will be close enough so that Waukesha county officials can pull out a "win" for Scott Walker.

Unfortunately I think you're right.
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Ike56
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« Reply #44 on: February 29, 2012, 02:01:02 pm »
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Good Lord!  People are not seriously still stuck on the idea that Waukesha Co. actually created votes to save Judge Prosser, are they?  The appropriate response to this nonsense is to say that the Twin Cities machine managed to pull Franken across the line.  Tit for tat, guys...

Walker will win or lose on his own merits. Nothing more, nothing less.  If Waukesha has any say in pulling him across the line, it won't be any more than if Dane did the same for the Democrat.
« Last Edit: February 29, 2012, 02:02:45 pm by Ike56 »Logged
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« Reply #45 on: February 29, 2012, 02:13:27 pm »
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Has there even been any serious analysis that concluded that Waukesha County was sketchy, as opposed to incompetent?  I recall pretty convincing arguments that Waukesha County's results looked consistent, didn't exhibit non-randomness, etc.
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« Reply #46 on: February 29, 2012, 02:18:30 pm »
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Has there even been any serious analysis that concluded that Waukesha County was sketchy, as opposed to incompetent?  I recall pretty convincing arguments that Waukesha County's results looked consistent, didn't exhibit non-randomness, etc.

I don't think there has been, but I would guess it's incompetence. 
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Anyways everything else about it looks good, here's to the new alter-ego of the Progressive Union!
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« Reply #47 on: February 29, 2012, 02:24:25 pm »
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Has there even been any serious analysis that concluded that Waukesha County was sketchy, as opposed to incompetent?  I recall pretty convincing arguments that Waukesha County's results looked consistent, didn't exhibit non-randomness, etc.

I don't think there has been, but I would guess it's incompetence. 

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/04/08/vote-counting-error-in-wisconsin-points-to-incompetence-not-conspiracy/
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« Reply #48 on: February 29, 2012, 02:28:06 pm »
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It's pretty impressive that a full 94% of people who disapprove of Walker want him recalled, and yet his disapproval is only a few points underwater.  That is one polarized electorate.

Thank you Scott Walker!

Based off of PPP, the far superior polling outfit, it looks like his negatives are going back up and Independents view him negatively at 43-55. Its going to be really close when it is all said and done. 

Lol, as if! Just a couple days ago PPP was blabbering about the Santorum surge in Michigan and polled Romney at a mere +17 in Arizona. Whoops.
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« Reply #49 on: February 29, 2012, 02:35:26 pm »
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Interesting that Rasmussen chose not to poll any head to head challenges or not release them. There is no "Yes" or "No" option on the recall, so what counts is the actually head to heads.
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