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Author Topic: TX-Sen: Ground war to the finish  (Read 6980 times)
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #25 on: January 27, 2012, 10:58:27 pm »
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TPE has endorsed Cruz.
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Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
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« Reply #26 on: April 26, 2012, 04:39:08 pm »
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Perry has endorsed Dewhurst, but the LG's 38-27 lead is entirely due to name recognition. All 3 candidates are on the air.

http://atr.rollcall.com/texas-gop-senate-candidates-place-major-ad-buys/
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Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
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« Reply #27 on: May 12, 2012, 02:25:08 am »
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Some good news for Cruz: Palin's endorsed him. Both Ron and Rand Paul have as well.

With this, I'd say a runoff is inevitable at this point. Dewhurst has been polling above 50 recently (though one poll was a Dewhurst internal), but now we've heard from Sarah Palin, Cruz will probably be getting quite a generous bump.
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« Reply #28 on: May 12, 2012, 11:23:56 am »
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The last PPP poll pegged it at 38-27. Cruz will do to Dewhurst what Perry did to KBH come runoff time.
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Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
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« Reply #29 on: May 24, 2012, 01:02:50 pm »
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Dewhurst is at 46%; he may be able to cling to an outright majority.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #30 on: May 24, 2012, 01:15:50 pm »
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Huh? That's a bit higher than UT/TT and BOR had it. Also, if Texans want Dewhurst then there's no point in KBH retiring. Apart from abortion they're identical on the issues and of similar age. And at least KBH can speak in public.
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Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
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« Reply #31 on: May 24, 2012, 02:07:59 pm »
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As a Democrat who is voting for Santorum for the lulz and believes that the ultimate goal of politics should be the abolition of the wage system, which Republican should I support in the Senate primary? I assume Dewhurst is the more "moderate" (hahaha) one? Do any of the candidates have any zany libertarian positions like drug legalization or scrapping the PATRIOT act or opposing SOPA and CISPA and similar?
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« Reply #32 on: May 24, 2012, 02:12:04 pm »
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Quote from: Lief on May 24, 2012, 02:07:59 pm
As a Democrat who is voting for Santorum for the lulz and believes that the ultimate goal of politics should be the abolition of the wage system, which Republican should I support in the Senate primary? I assume Dewhurst is the more "moderate" (hahaha) one? Do any of the candidates have any zany libertarian positions like drug legalization or scrapping the PATRIOT act or opposing SOPA and CISPA and similar?

Dewhurst is a pro-life, male KBH. James doesn't have any issues, just an empty suit. Ideologically I'd peg the continuum as Dewhurst -> Leppert -> Cruz.
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Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #33 on: May 24, 2012, 02:36:06 pm »
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Reg, which result sounds more accurate to you? The TT/UT one or this one? I'm a bit surprised at Dewhurst tying Cruz among TP voters.
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Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
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« Reply #34 on: May 25, 2012, 04:44:06 am »
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Quote from: Frontline: Wisconsin on May 24, 2012, 02:36:06 pm
Reg, which result sounds more accurate to you? The TT/UT one or this one? I'm a bit surprised at Dewhurst tying Cruz among TP voters.

I'm guessing we'll be seeing something closer to PPP on Tuesday, despite some of those crosstabs being indeed pretty odd. Cruz could certainly surprise though, especially with that Palin endorsement (Santorum's just endorsed him as well).

Good to know that Cruz's supporters are more excited to vote as well; I had wondered if the state of the Presidential primary was going to depress turnout for those more likely to vote Cruz, but that doesn't appear to be the case if PPP's accurate.

In any case, I'll be pretty surprised if Dewhurst exceeds 50. Perhaps a chunk of these Leppert voters end up going with Dewhurst at the last minute? That's really the only scenario that'd make sense to me, but Leppert's numbers appear to actually be solid.
« Last Edit: May 25, 2012, 04:45:49 am by Reginald »Logged
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« Reply #35 on: May 25, 2012, 08:52:57 am »
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Quote from: Lief on May 24, 2012, 02:07:59 pm
Do any of the candidates have any zany libertarian positions like drug legalization or scrapping the PATRIOT act or opposing SOPA and CISPA and similar?

Cruz opposes SOPA, NDAA and the TSA.  Glenn Addison is the Paulite in the race (whom the Pauls declined to endorse in favor of Cruz, trololol).
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« Reply #36 on: May 25, 2012, 10:43:03 pm »
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Dewhurst is quite deservedly getting a lot of blowback for that ridiculous ad accusing Cruz of supporting amnesty. I'd call it projection. Dewhurst supports in-state tuition for illegals, supports sanctuary cities, opposes E-Verify and a fence. A guy left of Obama on immigration tied among TP voters? Yeah right.
« Last Edit: May 25, 2012, 10:46:02 pm by Frontline: Wisconsin »Logged
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Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
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« Reply #37 on: May 25, 2012, 10:46:38 pm »
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Quote from: Frontline: Wisconsin on May 25, 2012, 10:43:03 pm
Dewhurst is quite deservedly getting a lot of blowback for that ridiculous ad accusing Cruz of supporting amnesty. I'd call it projection. Dewhurst supports in-state tuition for illegals, supports sanctuary cities, opposes E-Verify and a fence. A guy left of Obama on immigration tied among TP voters? Yeah right.

Sounds like a bit of race-baiting to me.
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« Reply #38 on: May 25, 2012, 11:17:03 pm »
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All of Dewhurst's attacks are guilt-by-association smears, including this one.* Race baiting is Crist all but calling Rubio a coconut 2 years ago.

*In this case, apparently because Cruz serves on the board of 2 Hispanic organizations with members who support Dewhurst's immigration policy, Cruz must be the amnesty candidate.

** The other attack is that Cruz's law firm once represented a PRC company in a dispute with an American company. So he's a PRC apologist. 

http://lubbockonline.com/filed-online/2012-05-25/dewhurst-cruz-put-dukes-over-immigration
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Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
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« Reply #39 on: May 28, 2012, 04:57:52 pm »
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Reposted from the primary thread.

http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2012/05/five-things-to-1.php

More from the WSJ.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303395604577432072679461042.html
« Last Edit: May 28, 2012, 07:44:37 pm by Frontline: Wisconsin »Logged
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Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #40 on: May 29, 2012, 11:15:36 am »
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Apparently they're expecting slightly higher turnout in DFW due to competitive local races.
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Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
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« Reply #41 on: May 29, 2012, 12:18:36 pm »
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Quote from: Frontline: Wisconsin on May 29, 2012, 11:15:36 am
Apparently they're expecting slightly higher turnout in DFW due to competitive local races.
Good news for Dewhurst
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #42 on: May 29, 2012, 12:30:24 pm »
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Quote from: Jbrase on May 29, 2012, 12:18:36 pm
Quote from: Frontline: Wisconsin on May 29, 2012, 11:15:36 am
Apparently they're expecting slightly higher turnout in DFW due to competitive local races.
Good news for Dewhurst

Dunno if that's true or not. Reg doesn't think so. What matters is GOTV- who/where to be precise.

My own guesstimate would be Dewhurst in the 46-48 range, Cruz at 29-31, Leppert somewhere in the mid-teens. Still think a runoff is quite likely though.
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Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
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« Reply #43 on: May 29, 2012, 02:25:59 pm »
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Looks like it literally is a ground war out there: just saw on CNN that someone was shot near a polling place in Texas. The headline added: "Primary voting continues." Texas is badass.
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Quote from: Representative Wyodon on May 06, 2013, 04:31:05 pm
And you're a fucking asshole. How about you try actually contributing something to a debate at some point, or are you too busy kissing Rick Santorum's ass?
Senator Snowstalker
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« Reply #44 on: May 29, 2012, 02:34:19 pm »
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Would Romney's best county be Harris?
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Quote from: 31: A New Bushie on April 30, 2013, 01:33:54 pm
I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole.  Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
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« Reply #45 on: May 29, 2012, 03:04:03 pm »
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Wrong thread, Snow.
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Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
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« Reply #46 on: May 29, 2012, 04:49:16 pm »
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Whoops. Thought this was the Texas primaries in general. Tongue
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Quote from: 31: A New Bushie on April 30, 2013, 01:33:54 pm
I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole.  Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #47 on: May 29, 2012, 06:50:14 pm »
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Polls close in 10 minutes.

Texans: Who reports when, generally speaking?
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Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #48 on: May 29, 2012, 06:58:42 pm »
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Politico live results.

http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/Senate/2012/Primary/TX
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Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #49 on: May 29, 2012, 07:24:55 pm »
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With 0.4% reporting: Dewhurst 43, Cruz 29, Leppert 20.
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Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
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