TX-Sen: Ground war to the finish

[Keystone Phil]

Saw something on Facebook about Cruz leading 49% to 40%. Could be an internal though.

[Miles]

Saw something on Facebook about Cruz leading 49% to 40%. Could be an internal though.

Yes, it was an internal.

[RogueBeaver]

Saw something on Facebook about Cruz leading 49% to 40%. Could be an internal though.

It is an internal. Remember that Dewhurst released an "internal" showing that he'd win a majority in Round 1. Didn't work out that way. Cruz should have a GOTV advantage but who knows, they could be tied or Dewhurst could be way ahead. Apparently Leppert isn't so happy about Dewhurst's last-minute attacks in Round 1 and therefore might sit on his hands. Whether his voters do is another story. Maybe Reg has an answer on that.

[RogueBeaver]

Team Dewhurst is now trolling blogs and scrubbing government websites. Obviously he's still ahead by 20, right?

http://www.redstate.com/erick/2012/07/11/david-dewhursts-media-consultants-attack-ted-cruz-and-redstate-at-redstate/

http://www.redstate.com/erick/2012/07/11/david-dewhurst-campaign-alters-taxpayer-funded-website-to-cover-up-past-support-for-amnesty-what-else-is-he-hiding/

[Miles]

Dewhurst responded with his own internal poll.

He's up 50-42.

[Keystone Phil]

So...dead heat? Great for Cruz.

[RogueBeaver]

I remember when he released an internal poll showing something like 51-16 in May. There's one more debate next week. What worries me is the early/absentee voting.

[Keystone Phil]

Cruz is up by nine! http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0712/78441.html

[RogueBeaver]

[Keystone Phil]

...and PPP supposedly has Cruz up 49% to 44%.

[Brittain33]

Learning a lot about Dewhurst from googling "dewhurst liberal"

http://www.rightsidenews.com/2012051116206/us/politics-and-economics/texas-david-dewhurst-appointed-32-democrat-committee-chairs-and-worked-with-liberal-democrats-to-kill-conservative-legislation.html

[RogueBeaver]

DMN will be livestreaming Tuesday's debates. First hour is Cruz v. Dewhurst, second hour Sadler v. Yarbrough.

[RogueBeaver]

Dewhurst outraises Cruz, but $4 million of that is his own money. Subtract that and Cruz narrowly leads. Not that it matters... this is a ground war and Cruz is about to win it in a big way.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/07/16/dewhurst-outpaces-cruz-in-texas-race/

[Brittain33]

Would this be the first time a candidate with a Spanish surname defeats a candidate with an Anglo surname in a Republican primary in TX? There may have been a few exceptions where a heavily funded incumbent with the backing of the state power structure held off a Gene Kelly joke candidate, but nothing like this.

[RogueBeaver]

Would this be the first time a candidate with a Spanish surname defeats a candidate with an Anglo surname in a Republican primary in TX? There may have been a few exceptions where a heavily funded incumbent with the backing of the state power structure held off a Gene Kelly joke candidate, but nothing like this.

Yes.

And this sleazy bastard just pole-vaulted the shark. 60-40 or bust.

http://blog.chron.com/texaspolitics/2012/07/dewhurst-camp-it-was-the-kids-ted/

[krazen1211]

Would this be the first time a candidate with a Spanish surname defeats a candidate with an Anglo surname in a Republican primary in TX? There may have been a few exceptions where a heavily funded incumbent with the backing of the state power structure held off a Gene Kelly joke candidate, but nothing like this.

Certainly not, Quico Canseco was able to defeat Will Hurt in the TX-23 primary.

[Zioneer]

Would this be the first time a candidate with a Spanish surname defeats a candidate with an Anglo surname in a Republican primary in TX? There may have been a few exceptions where a heavily funded incumbent with the backing of the state power structure held off a Gene Kelly joke candidate, but nothing like this.

Yes.

And this sleazy bastard just pole-vaulted the shark. 60-40 or bust.

http://blog.chron.com/texaspolitics/2012/07/dewhurst-camp-it-was-the-kids-ted/

Wow, that's one of the most vicious ads I've ever seen. Dewhurst is going all-sleaze or bust.

[RogueBeaver]

There's a reason Dewhurst is doing this: because he's lost the ground war and is about to get swamped by double digits. Incumbents (or in this case, the quasi-incumbent) never throw the kitchen sink unless they know they're losing. And it's hard to get more kitchen-sink than this without Godwinning.

They're debating tonight at 9 PM Eastern, livestreamed on dallasnews.com (DMN). As usual Cruz- an expert debater- will wipe the floor with Dewhurst.

[RogueBeaver]

Total shocker: Leppert endorses Dewhurst.

http://www.wfaa.com/news/texas-news/leppert-162811666.html

[Keystone Phil]

Total shocker: Leppert endorses Dewhurst.

http://www.wfaa.com/news/texas-news/leppert-162811666.html

Too little, too late?

[RogueBeaver]

Probably. Dewhurst is on the wrong side of an enthusiasm gap and it will show 2 weeks from tonight.

[RogueBeaver]

One final debate next week. Plus Cruz swamps Dewhurst in cash.

http://blog.chron.com/txpotomac/2012/07/the-race-to-the-runoff-cruz-campaign-war-chest-far-outweighs-dewhurst/#5411-1

http://www.chron.com/news/houston-texas/article/Cruz-Dewhurst-agree-to-another-debate-3721301.php

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

If this ends up going for Cruz big time, I highly doubt we will see this many debates between an establishment candidate and a tea party challanger again. One maybe, two debates tops.

[RogueBeaver]

How many TP candidates are SCOTUS appellate attorneys?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

A better question is how many establishment candidates are as uncharismatic and uninspiring as a dead fish?