TeleResearch poll for IA: Paul leading

[Ben Romney]

Congressman Ron Paul is leading by a significant margin in Iowa, according to preliminary results of a new TeleResearch poll.

Revolution PAC, the Super PAC formed to support presidential candidate Ron Paul, has received early data from the commissioned Iowa poll. The TeleResearch survey is the first to incorporate disaffected Democrats and Independents who will not vote to reelect Obama and will instead crossover to participate in the Iowa Republican Caucus, as well as likely Republican caucus-goers.

Survey sample size is approximately 2,900, with almost 700 likely Republican caucus-goers. Indiana’s TeleResearch Corp., which has been polling voters for more than 18 years, reports that the margin of error is less than 3%.

Factoring in both Republican caucus-goers and disaffected Democrats and Independents who’ve indicated that they will participate in the Iowa Republican Caucus, Ron Paul leads at 25%, with an approximate 4-point advantage over Newt Gingrich and Herman Cain.

Factoring in only Republicans voters, Ron Paul is in a three-way dead heat for the lead, with Paul and Cain tied and Gingrich trailing by 1 point.

The poll also reveals that more than 25% of all respondents – Democrats, Republicans and Independents – stated that an interventionist foreign policy is the greatest threat to long-term peace and national security.

Full analysis of the results will be posted tomorrow at http://RevolutionPAC.com.

[Badger]

Internalmania!!

Still, is there any truth to their assertion other IA polls don't sample ptoential crossover indies and Dem caucus voters?

[Simfan34]

I call BS.

[Verily]

Internalmania!!

Still, is there any truth to their assertion other IA polls don't sample ptoential crossover indies and Dem caucus voters?

Caucuses are way too much time and effort for there to be more than a handful of crossover voters. Even in primaries, where your only duty is to vote and then leave (so no more than a ten-minute commitment), crossover voting is very small when allowed. In caucuses, where you have to be there for hours and do all sorts of things, no one crosses over.

[Bacon King]

The poll also reveals that more than 25% of all respondents – Democrats, Republicans and Independents – stated that an interventionist foreign policy is the greatest threat to long-term peace and national security.

This sounds like a push poll.

[Eraserhead]

Paul is actually doing well in some of the real Iowa polls. Do his people really need to fabricate stuff like this?

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

mmmm.....no

[Zarn]

There was really no need to release this poll.