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Author Topic: Canada Alternate 1867-2011 (requests)  (Read 2522 times)
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« on: November 25, 2011, 05:44:28 pm »
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I'm taking requests for alternate elections between 1993 and 2011. I will make maps.
« Last Edit: December 28, 2011, 01:12:41 am by TheNewTeddy (TEDDY) »Logged

TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: November 25, 2011, 05:57:58 pm »
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2008 with Bob Rae as Liberal leader.
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+7.35, +3.65



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #2 on: November 26, 2011, 05:51:24 pm »
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I take math requests, so for example 2008 with double the Liberal vote, or, 2008 if the Liberals had 10% more vote, or, a 10% swing from the Tories.
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Simfan34
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« Reply #3 on: November 26, 2011, 06:29:40 pm »
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Ontario in the "New Acadia" timeline.
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Hatman
EarlAW
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E: -4.97, S: -6.00


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« Reply #4 on: November 26, 2011, 07:09:07 pm »
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1993 with a BQ seat plurality
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http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.com

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Antonio V
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Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87

P P P

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« Reply #5 on: November 27, 2011, 03:50:59 am »
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I take math requests, so for example 2008 with double the Liberal vote, or, 2008 if the Liberals had 10% more vote, or, a 10% swing from the Tories.

I want to see a NDP victory in 2011 ! Smiley Maybe you can subtract 10 points to the tories and give them to the NDP, that would give 40.63%/29.62%.
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22:15   ComradeSibboleth   this is all extremely terrible and in all respects absolutely fycking dire.
Niemeyerite
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« Reply #6 on: November 27, 2011, 06:15:32 am »
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I take math requests, so for example 2008 with double the Liberal vote, or, 2008 if the Liberals had 10% more vote, or, a 10% swing from the Tories.

I want to see a NDP victory in 2011 ! Smiley Maybe you can subtract 10 points to the tories and give them to the NDP, that would give 40.63%/29.62%.
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
Smid
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« Reply #7 on: November 27, 2011, 06:29:57 am »
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How about adjusting the vote percentages in each province, so it reflects the national vote? Sort of removing regional variation. Not sure how you'd want to handle the Bloc vote, though.
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their bastard sons against the wall
Pingvin99
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« Reply #8 on: November 27, 2011, 11:25:15 am »
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Canada elections without Quebec (Sucesssful 1995 referendum)
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #9 on: November 27, 2011, 01:53:40 pm »
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What happens in 2011 if you have the 3% tactical swing from NDP to Lib seen in 2004/6/8?
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+7.35, +3.65



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #10 on: November 28, 2011, 08:54:46 am »
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Canada elections without Quebec (Sucesssful 1995 referendum)
Will be done first.

1993 with a BQ seat plurality
Next on my list.
Technical note to self: .3 1 .65 1 .9

I want to see a NDP victory in 2011
Next on my list
Note to self: .51 1 .62 1 1

How about adjusting the vote percentages in each province, so it reflects the national vote? Sort of removing regional variation. Not sure how you'd want to handle the Bloc vote, though.
Will be done.
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #11 on: November 28, 2011, 09:33:06 am »
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1997
Lib - 129 - 39.16%
Ref - 60 - 26.83%
NDP - 21 - 14.61%
PC - 15 - 17.53%
IND - 1 - 1.86%


2000
Lib - 136 - 39.60%
CA - 66 - 32.59%
NDP - 13 - 10.96%
PC - 11 - 14.62%


2004
Lib - 114 - 37.69%
CPC - 99 - 36.72%
NDP - 19 - 19.44%
IND - 1 -


2006
CPC - 114 - 40.14%
Lib - 90 - 33.37%
NDP - 29 - 20.79%


2008
CPC - 133 - 43.32%
Lib - 63 - 27.15%
NDP - 36 - 20.31%


2011
CPC - 161 - 47.68%
NDP - 44 - 26.38%
Lib - 27 - 20.55%
Grn - 1 -
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #12 on: November 28, 2011, 10:54:21 am »
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I've decided to do 2011 NDP win first as I want to work out pop vote numbers for the 1993 plurality.













NDP - 160
CPC 109
LIB 36
BQ 2
GP 1
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #13 on: November 28, 2011, 11:20:33 am »
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I decided to do smid's request next as it was easy enough to do











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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #14 on: November 28, 2011, 11:22:28 am »
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1993 with a BQ seat plurality
This is my to do list.
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Antonio V
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E: -6.45, S: -4.87

P P P

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« Reply #15 on: November 28, 2011, 12:31:21 pm »
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I've decided to do 2011 NDP win first as I want to work out pop vote numbers for the 1993 plurality.













NDP - 160
CPC 109
LIB 36
BQ 2
GP 1

Very interesting ! So NDP gets less seats than Tories despite winning more in terms of PV. Bloc of course loses more seats, but liberals gain 2.
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Quote from: IRC
22:15   ComradeSibboleth   this is all extremely terrible and in all respects absolutely fycking dire.
Хahar
Xahar
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« Reply #16 on: November 28, 2011, 04:18:20 pm »
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1993 with PC and Reform vote added together
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Update reading list

The idea of parodying the preceding Atlasian's postings is laughable, of course, but not for reasons one might expect.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #17 on: November 28, 2011, 07:59:18 pm »
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L 134
C 101
B 54
N 5
I 1
Maps, excluding Quebec which has no changes, will be coming shortly
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Posts: 8347
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #18 on: November 28, 2011, 08:06:54 pm »
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #19 on: November 28, 2011, 08:21:37 pm »
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For Earl.

Atlantic.
L - 10 - 31.9%
P - 22 - 43.8%
R - 0 - 10.3%
N - 0 - 10.1%
I - 0 - 3.9%


Prairies (combined)
R - 32 - 41.7
N - 18 - 19.5
P - 1 - 19.3
L - 3 - 15.3
I - 0 - 4.2




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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Posts: 8347
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #20 on: November 28, 2011, 08:29:06 pm »
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BC
R - 24 - 36.9
N - 5 - 24.1
P - 3 - 18.8
L - 0 - 13.1
I - 0 - 7.2


QC
B - 70 - 66.0
L - 4 - 13.3
P - 1 - 16.3
N - 0 - 2.0
I - 0 - 2.4
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #21 on: November 28, 2011, 08:44:56 pm »
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ON
P - 40 - 29.9%
L - 38 - 29.9%
R - 12 - 24.6%
N - 9 - 11.3%
I - 0 - 4.3%




NATIONAL
B - 70 - 18.2%
R - 68 - 20.7%
P - 67 - 24.4%
L - 57 - 21.1%
N - 33 - 11.4%
I - 0 - 4.0%
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #22 on: November 28, 2011, 08:59:52 pm »
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Up next is a personal request from myself.

Liberals bomb the 93 campaign, Tories do rather well, Reform wins plurality by appealing to moderate populists, Reform and Liberals form post election coalition. Maps soon.

R92
L88
P61
B52
N1
I1
« Last Edit: November 28, 2011, 09:08:36 pm by Sir Topham Hatt »Logged

TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Posts: 8347
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #23 on: November 28, 2011, 09:10:10 pm »
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Note, Alberta is all Green, so no map.








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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Posts: 8347
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #24 on: November 29, 2011, 07:14:46 am »
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ONTARIO

2000 results, merger, 2004 ridings, same seat no as 2011 election


Reform with 12 seats in 93


93, liberals with a quarter of the vote they had in RL


00 (04 map) liberals quarter


97 liberals quarter







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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
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