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Author Topic: Canada Alternate 1867-2011 (requests)  (Read 2012 times)
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Posts: 8350
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« on: November 25, 2011, 05:44:28 pm »
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I'm taking requests for alternate elections between 1993 and 2011. I will make maps.
« Last Edit: December 28, 2011, 01:12:41 am by TheNewTeddy (TEDDY) »Logged
TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
RogueBeaver
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Canada


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« Reply #1 on: November 25, 2011, 05:57:58 pm »
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2008 with Bob Rae as Liberal leader.
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+7.35, +3.65


Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Posts: 8350
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #2 on: November 26, 2011, 05:51:24 pm »
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I take math requests, so for example 2008 with double the Liberal vote, or, 2008 if the Liberals had 10% more vote, or, a 10% swing from the Tories.
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Simfan34
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Political Matrix
E: 1.26, S: 2.61

P P P
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« Reply #3 on: November 26, 2011, 06:29:40 pm »
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Ontario in the "New Acadia" timeline.
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Quote from: Lief on February 14, 2013, 08:49:41 pm
I haven't read the article, but I firmly support Simfan's efforts to blame Lena Dunham for our society's rot.

Quote from: Bacon King on February 14, 2013, 08:49:41 pm
Simfan, your standards are impossible to meet. You can't have a girl who is also a large fireplace.

Quote from: Inks.LWC. on February 14, 2013, 08:49:41 pm
[Simfan] is a quality poster
Hatman
EarlAW
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Posts: 17521
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.97, S: -6.00


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« Reply #4 on: November 26, 2011, 07:09:07 pm »
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1993 with a BQ seat plurality
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http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.com

Follow me on Twitter @EarlWashburn
Formerly Californian Tony
Antonio V
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Posts: 25189
France


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87

P P P

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« Reply #5 on: November 27, 2011, 03:50:59 am »
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Quote from: Sir Topham Hatt on November 26, 2011, 05:51:24 pm
I take math requests, so for example 2008 with double the Liberal vote, or, 2008 if the Liberals had 10% more vote, or, a 10% swing from the Tories.

I want to see a NDP victory in 2011 ! Smiley Maybe you can subtract 10 points to the tories and give them to the NDP, that would give 40.63%/29.62%.
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Thank you so much, USF.


"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."

Jon Stewart
JulioMadrid
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Political Matrix
E: -8.26, S: -8.35

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« Reply #6 on: November 27, 2011, 06:15:32 am »
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Quote from: Meno male che Silvio non c'è più ! on November 27, 2011, 03:50:59 am
Quote from: Sir Topham Hatt on November 26, 2011, 05:51:24 pm
I take math requests, so for example 2008 with double the Liberal vote, or, 2008 if the Liberals had 10% more vote, or, a 10% swing from the Tories.

I want to see a NDP victory in 2011 ! Smiley Maybe you can subtract 10 points to the tories and give them to the NDP, that would give 40.63%/29.62%.
Logged


My evolution:
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09
Smid
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« Reply #7 on: November 27, 2011, 06:29:57 am »
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How about adjusting the vote percentages in each province, so it reflects the national vote? Sort of removing regional variation. Not sure how you'd want to handle the Bloc vote, though.
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pillage the village, trash the scene
Pingvin99
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« Reply #8 on: November 27, 2011, 11:25:15 am »
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Canada elections without Quebec (Sucesssful 1995 referendum)
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Right now it seems
You're only dreams and shadows
If wishes could be
eagles how you'd fly?

This is your life
This is your time

What if the flame
won't last forever?
This is your here
This is your now
Let it be magical! - Dio, "This Is Your Life"
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #9 on: November 27, 2011, 01:53:40 pm »
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What happens in 2011 if you have the 3% tactical swing from NDP to Lib seen in 2004/6/8?
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+7.35, +3.65


Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Posts: 8350
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #10 on: November 28, 2011, 08:54:46 am »
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Quote from: Hermit on November 27, 2011, 11:25:15 am
Canada elections without Quebec (Sucesssful 1995 referendum)
Will be done first.

Quote from: Hatman on November 26, 2011, 07:09:07 pm
1993 with a BQ seat plurality
Next on my list.
Technical note to self: .3 1 .65 1 .9

Quote from: Meno male che Silvio non c'è più ! on November 27, 2011, 03:50:59 am
I want to see a NDP victory in 2011
Next on my list
Note to self: .51 1 .62 1 1

Quote from: Smid on November 27, 2011, 06:29:57 am
How about adjusting the vote percentages in each province, so it reflects the national vote? Sort of removing regional variation. Not sure how you'd want to handle the Bloc vote, though.
Will be done.
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
YaBB God
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Posts: 8350
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #11 on: November 28, 2011, 09:33:06 am »
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1997
Lib - 129 - 39.16%
Ref - 60 - 26.83%
NDP - 21 - 14.61%
PC - 15 - 17.53%
IND - 1 - 1.86%


2000
Lib - 136 - 39.60%
CA - 66 - 32.59%
NDP - 13 - 10.96%
PC - 11 - 14.62%


2004
Lib - 114 - 37.69%
CPC - 99 - 36.72%
NDP - 19 - 19.44%
IND - 1 -


2006
CPC - 114 - 40.14%
Lib - 90 - 33.37%
NDP - 29 - 20.79%


2008
CPC - 133 - 43.32%
Lib - 63 - 27.15%
NDP - 36 - 20.31%


2011
CPC - 161 - 47.68%
NDP - 44 - 26.38%
Lib - 27 - 20.55%
Grn - 1 -
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
YaBB God
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Posts: 8350
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #12 on: November 28, 2011, 10:54:21 am »
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I've decided to do 2011 NDP win first as I want to work out pop vote numbers for the 1993 plurality.













NDP - 160
CPC 109
LIB 36
BQ 2
GP 1
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
YaBB God
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Posts: 8350
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #13 on: November 28, 2011, 11:20:33 am »
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I decided to do smid's request next as it was easy enough to do
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Posts: 8350
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #14 on: November 28, 2011, 11:22:28 am »
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Quote from: Hatman on November 26, 2011, 07:09:07 pm
1993 with a BQ seat plurality
This is my to do list.
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Formerly Californian Tony
Antonio V
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Posts: 25189
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Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87

P P P

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« Reply #15 on: November 28, 2011, 12:31:21 pm »
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Quote from: Sir Topham Hatt on November 28, 2011, 10:54:21 am
I've decided to do 2011 NDP win first as I want to work out pop vote numbers for the 1993 plurality.













NDP - 160
CPC 109
LIB 36
BQ 2
GP 1

Very interesting ! So NDP gets less seats than Tories despite winning more in terms of PV. Bloc of course loses more seats, but liberals gain 2.
Logged


Thank you so much, USF.


"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."

Jon Stewart
Kuu ülevaade olulisematest
Xahar
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Bangladesh


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« Reply #16 on: November 28, 2011, 04:18:20 pm »
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1993 with PC and Reform vote added together
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Quote from: Sibboleth on February 28, 2009, 04:08:37 pm
I'm not sure if this new tendency to appeal to the apparent inherent evil of Xahar in all things even remotely related to forum policing or this damn game is especially helpful.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Posts: 8350
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #17 on: November 28, 2011, 07:59:18 pm »
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L 134
C 101
B 54
N 5
I 1
Maps, excluding Quebec which has no changes, will be coming shortly
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Posts: 8350
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #18 on: November 28, 2011, 08:06:54 pm »
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Posts: 8350
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #19 on: November 28, 2011, 08:21:37 pm »
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For Earl.

Atlantic.
L - 10 - 31.9%
P - 22 - 43.8%
R - 0 - 10.3%
N - 0 - 10.1%
I - 0 - 3.9%


Prairies (combined)
R - 32 - 41.7
N - 18 - 19.5
P - 1 - 19.3
L - 3 - 15.3
I - 0 - 4.2
Logged
TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Posts: 8350
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #20 on: November 28, 2011, 08:29:06 pm »
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BC
R - 24 - 36.9
N - 5 - 24.1
P - 3 - 18.8
L - 0 - 13.1
I - 0 - 7.2


QC
B - 70 - 66.0
L - 4 - 13.3
P - 1 - 16.3
N - 0 - 2.0
I - 0 - 2.4
Logged
TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
YaBB God
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Posts: 8350
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #21 on: November 28, 2011, 08:44:56 pm »
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ON
P - 40 - 29.9%
L - 38 - 29.9%
R - 12 - 24.6%
N - 9 - 11.3%
I - 0 - 4.3%




NATIONAL
B - 70 - 18.2%
R - 68 - 20.7%
P - 67 - 24.4%
L - 57 - 21.1%
N - 33 - 11.4%
I - 0 - 4.0%
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
YaBB God
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Posts: 8350
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #22 on: November 28, 2011, 08:59:52 pm »
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Up next is a personal request from myself.

Liberals bomb the 93 campaign, Tories do rather well, Reform wins plurality by appealing to moderate populists, Reform and Liberals form post election coalition. Maps soon.

R92
L88
P61
B52
N1
I1
« Last Edit: November 28, 2011, 09:08:36 pm by Sir Topham Hatt »Logged
TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Posts: 8350
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #23 on: November 28, 2011, 09:10:10 pm »
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Note, Alberta is all Green, so no map.
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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Posts: 8350
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #24 on: November 29, 2011, 07:14:46 am »
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ONTARIO

2000 results, merger, 2004 ridings, same seat no as 2011 election


Reform with 12 seats in 93


93, liberals with a quarter of the vote they had in RL


00 (04 map) liberals quarter


97 liberals quarter
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



Note to self: use brain more.
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