Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 24, 2014, 11:20:53 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Congressional Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  what happened in the south in the 1980s?
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: what happened in the south in the 1980s?  (Read 399 times)
freepcrusher
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2301
United States


View Profile
« on: November 29, 2011, 06:09:09 am »
Ignore

i was looking at the ratings for Americans for Democratic Action (ADA). In 1982, the last year of lines based off the 1970 Census, the median southern democrat's score was 30. In 1992, the last year of lines based off the 1980 Census, the median score was 65.

Here are the theories

1. all the conservative democrats retired so while the caucus was smaller, it was more liberal
- yet there were 88 southern democrats in 1982 and 93 southern democrats in 1992.

2. The creation of Section 5 districts created more liberal incumbents
- the creation of such districts didn't happen until the 1990 census

One theory is that 1982 was an abnormally bad year as far as the issues are concerned, which is why you had low ratings. Take for example Glenn English of Oklahoma who received a 20 score in 1982 but a 55 score in 1992. Current senator Bill Nelson of Florida also received a 20 in 1982. So is it possible that the democrats were told to start voting more in-line with the leadership so as to not risk being primaried?
Logged

-1.38, -1.38
Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6330
United States


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: December 01, 2011, 08:49:37 pm »
Ignore

The South's shift from Republican to Democratic took a very long time. The main cause of what you're referring to is that very conservative Southerners started voting Republican down-ballot. There were still a lot of conservative Democrats until the late 90s/early 2000s, though.
Logged

Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines