AZ: Public Policy Polling: Only Romney would beat Obama by a healthy margin
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  AZ: Public Policy Polling: Only Romney would beat Obama by a healthy margin
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Author Topic: AZ: Public Policy Polling: Only Romney would beat Obama by a healthy margin  (Read 1278 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: November 29, 2011, 05:36:40 AM »

New Poll: Arizona President by Public Policy Polling on 2011-11-22

Summary: D: 42%, R: 49%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #1 on: November 29, 2011, 06:29:16 AM »

Toss-up state Smiley
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mondale84
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« Reply #2 on: November 29, 2011, 11:06:03 AM »

The polls have been bouncing around and, IMHo, will continue to do so. If only the Dems had Harry Reid's machine there...
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The_Texas_Libertarian
TXMichael
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« Reply #3 on: November 29, 2011, 12:51:36 PM »

Obama - 45%
Gingrich - 45%
Undecided - 10%


The undecideds lean to the right, however Gingrich receives 25% of the "very liberal" vote...
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Heimdal
HenryH
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« Reply #4 on: November 29, 2011, 05:13:20 PM »

Safe R.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5 on: November 30, 2011, 12:59:31 AM »

Obama - 45%
Gingrich - 45%
Undecided - 10%


The undecideds lean to the right, however Gingrich receives 25% of the "very liberal" vote...

Gingrich is as much a political nutter as Bachmann; he's just more slippery and sophisticated. He will need the aid of a statewide machine, and a collapsing GOP machine in Arizona will prove of little help.

I'm going to figure that the large Hispanic vote, conservative on issues of lifestyle, will reject a moral reprobate in favor of someone whose family life is as conventional as it gets.     
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Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!
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« Reply #6 on: December 05, 2011, 03:13:05 PM »

Again, I'm seeing the "sour grapes" effect in this poll. Ron Paul is the only candidate with good favourability among indies (50-35) and leads Obama by the widest margin (55-28 IIRC), but doesn't do better than Romney because something like 11% of Republicans switch to "undecided" if he's running (presumably Romney voters who, like Clinton voters to Obama, would have nothing left to run with if their candidate wasn't the most competitive in the election).
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sg0508
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« Reply #7 on: December 05, 2011, 09:31:41 PM »

McCain was 2-3 weeks away from possibly losing his native state in 2008.  This is one major target for a pickup this time for the Democrats.  The same way Clinton went after AZ in 96, I expect the same from Obama this time.
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