IA PrimR: We Ask America: Gingrich far ahead of all others

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Iowa President by We Ask America on 2011-11-28

Summary:

Gingrich:	29%
Bachmann:	13%
Romney:	13%
Paul:	11%
Cain:	7%
Other:	14%
Undecided:	13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[CLARENCE 2015!]

Not sure how good this company is but good news for Bachmann

[Tender Branson]

Yeah, Bachmann seems to be slightly rising in Iowa ...

[Verily]

She's definitely been inching up in Iowa. Could last a little longer than we might expect if she comes in second or third. (Might also reflect a little bit of hard-right discontent with Gingrich's immigration position and other tactically moderate positions.)

[Meeker]

She might've started running TV ads there recently.

[Simfan34]

Bachmann with 55% among 18-24 groups? No way? Huntsman at 4? No way. Fake poll.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Bachmann with 55% among 18-24 groups? No way? Huntsman at 4? No way. Fake poll.

Have you met Iowa young people?

[Mr. Morden]

Bachmann with 55% among 18-24 groups? No way? Huntsman at 4? No way. Fake poll.

18-24 year olds are a microscopic fraction of Iowa caucus voters.  There were probably only about 20 people in that subgroup in this poll, if that, so the MoE is enormous.

[Badger]

Bachmann with 55% among 18-24 groups? No way? Huntsman at 4? No way. Fake poll.

18-24 year olds are a microscopic fraction of Iowa caucus voters.  There were probably only about 20 people in that subgroup in this poll, if that, so the MoE is enormous.

I tend to agree, though it's interesting to note she similarly cleaned up among 25-34 year olds with 44%. It's not impossible that both of the youngest age groups simultaneously gave huge MoE showings for the same candidate by chance, though it's equally arguable that Bachmann's anti-establishment image plays well among younger conservative voters.

[Verily]

For what it's worth, they also had good numbers for Bachmann among young voters in their previous poll, although not nearly as high as in this one.

[Хahar 🤔]

Bachmann with 55% among 18-24 groups? No way? Huntsman at 4? No way. Fake poll.

18-24 year olds are a microscopic fraction of Iowa caucus voters.  There were probably only about 20 people in that subgroup in this poll, if that, so the MoE is enormous.

I tend to agree, though it's interesting to note she similarly cleaned up among 25-34 year olds with 44%. It's not impossible that both of the youngest age groups simultaneously gave huge MoE showings for the same candidate by chance, though it's equally arguable that Bachmann's anti-establishment image plays well among younger conservative voters.

It's not improbable that the sort of young people who would participate in a Republican caucus in Iowa would favor a far-right candidate.