Predict the remaining Feburary races

[TomC]

I guess we'll see if Romney is willing to unload his attack ads like he did on Gingrich.

It hurts his fav/unfav #s too much to keep going negative like that. He's got to actually appeal to voters.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

ME: Romney
AZ: Romney
MI: Romney
Guam: Romney

[Cory]

It hurts his fav/unfav #s too much to keep going negative like that. He's got to actually appeal to voters.

Yeah. That and it seems to me that Newt is frankly much easier to attack on a personal level then Santorum.

[retromike22]

Michigan: Santorum
Arizona: Gingrich

[Lief 🗽]

Maine
Paul 42%
Romney 37%
Santorum 13%
Gingrich 8%

Michigan
Romney 37%
Santorum 31%
Gingrich 17%
Paul 15%

Arizona
Romney 44%
Gingrich 23%
Santorum 21%
Paul 11%

[Averroës Nix]

Maine
Paul 34%
Romney 28%
Santorum 25%
Gingrich 13%

Michigan
39% Santorum
36% Romney
13% Paul
11% Gingrich

Arizona

30% Gingrich
28% Santorum
28% Romney
12% Paul

Not a lot of evidence to go on, so I may as well be optimistic. Realistically, Arizona is a likely Romney win, and Michigan either lean-Romney or a toss-up.

Expecting Romney to win Maine seems rational, but it's hard to believe that he'll do well in a caucus state that he hasn't even visited. After last night, I'll call it a Romney-Paul toss-up - though I wouldn't be surprised if the winner had under 30%, or if Romney finished third.

[morgieb]

Too weird for me to predict accurately.

[NHI]

Maine: (Either Paul or Romney win)
Romney: 35%
Paul: 35%
Santorum: 15%
Gingrich: 13%

Michigan:
Romney: 39%
Santorum: 29%
Gingrich: 15%
Paul: 14%


Arizona:
Romney: 35%
Santorum: 29%
Gingrich: 22%
Paul: 12%

[Eraserhead]

Maine: Paul
Guam: Romney I guess, but nobody cares
Michigan: Romney
Arizona: Romney

[Colbert]

guam : WTF?

maine : reasonables and moderate yankees...romney, of course

arizona : rough Republicans.... the little-nose of SC

michigan : a blue-collar state....santorum could win.

[redcommander]

I don't know why all of you think Santorum would win Romney's home state.

[Bacon King]

I don't know why all of you think Santorum would win Romney's home state.

1. Romney has like five home states
2. "Let Detroit go bankrupt" x 100

[RI]

I don't know why all of you think Santorum would win Romney's home state.

1. Romney has like five home states
2. "Let Detroit go bankrupt" x 100

This, plus Santorum is about the perfect candidate to capitalize on Mitt's weaknesses there. Gingrich can't do it.

[Mr. Morden]

Romney might not be able to outspend Gingrich and Santorum 10-1 in every single state, but he's not going to take any chances in Michigan.  Losing there just one week before Super Tuesday would be way too embarrassing.

But Santorum could still get a decent share of the delegates there if he's a strong 2nd.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

I don't know why all of you think Santorum would win Romney's home state.

I don't think Massachusetts votes in February.

[ShadowRocket]

Maine:
Paul- 43%
Romney- 36%
Santorum- 11%
Gingrich- 10%

Michigan:
Romney- 39%
Santorum- 32%
Paul- 17%
Gingrich- 12%

Arizona:
Romney- 38%
Gingrich- 26%
Santorum- 24%
Paul- 12% 

[hotpprs]

True true.
Even if it was his home turf, not his dad's, it doesn't guarantee anything.
Gore couldn't even carry Tennessee in 2000.

I don't know why all of you think Santorum would win Romney's home state.

I don't think Massachusetts votes in February.