Rothenberg's election ratings
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Author Topic: Rothenberg's election ratings  (Read 503 times)
Devils30
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E: -2.06, S: -4.00

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« on: December 02, 2011, 11:04:43 PM »
http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/president/2012-rpr-electoral-vote-estimate-december-2-2011

Wow, this is just a tad too Republican friendly. Colorado as lean R? At worst for Democrats it's a tossup and based on 2010 and every poll I would probably rate it as lean D.
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Reginald
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« Reply #1 on: December 02, 2011, 11:31:05 PM »
Definitely R friendly. PA and WI as tossups is quite a stretch, and I wouldn't classify MO as Safe R either.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #2 on: December 02, 2011, 11:34:40 PM »
PA is a genuine toss-up, though eventually it'll swing to Obama by a few points.

But given that Colorado and Ohio are Lean R while Missouri is Safe R, definitely friendly towards the GOP.
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Devils30
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« Reply #3 on: December 02, 2011, 11:37:20 PM »
Obama will win Colorado and Nevada before Pennsylvania or Wisconsin next year
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auburntiger
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« Reply #4 on: December 03, 2011, 09:52:39 AM »
Colorado and Ohio should be tossups and Missouri should be lean-GOP. with Romney, NH should be lean-GOP.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #5 on: December 03, 2011, 10:07:12 AM »
A pretty crappy analysis by this Rothenberg guy.

This is where I see the start in a Obama/Romney race:



Arizona and Georgia also have the potential to become competetive later in the campaign.

Indiana wasn't polled for 3 years now, so the grey shade. But most likely lean-Romney.
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