The Fateful Flight

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

It's not. I will begin Election Night this weekend.

[FEMA Camp Administrator]

It's not. I will begin Election Night this weekend.

Yay!

[Jerseyrules]

It's not. I will begin Election Night this weekend.

Yay!

[BOSSFAN]

It's not. I will begin Election Night this weekend.

Woohoo!!

[BOSSFAN]

Today's the day the Wellstone Presidency begins. I soo can't wait!

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Brian Williams: We are back at 7:00 on the East Coast, and we have some early projections. We can first give the state of Vermont to Senator Wellstone. 3 electoral votes, no surprise in a staunchly liberal state. Only a few decades ago, Vermont was a Republican stronghold; how things have changed.





Wellstone: 59.6%
Bush: 38.2%

Dan Rather: Meanwhile, we can project three states to the president, none of them unexpected wins. First is Indiana with 11 electoral votes. Though Wellstone was expected to be more competitive in the Midwest, Indiana is staunchly Republican and hasn't voted for a Democrat since Lyndon Johnson's landslide in 1964.



Bush: 57.9%
Wellstone: 40.6%

We can also call the state of Kentucky for President Bush. 8 electoral votes which voted twice for Bill Clinton, but in recent years the state has trended Republican at a national level.

Bush: 58.2%
Wellstone: 40.5%



The final state that can be projected at this time is the state of Georgia. It's gone the opposite way of Vermont, having voted Republican only twice before the 1984 election and only once after it. Bush carries the state once again.



Bush: 56.9%
Wellstone: 42%

President Bush has taken an early lead over Senator Wellstone, with 34 electoral votes in his column to Wellstone's 3. However, 46 states remain undecided, and most of those are still open for polling. If you have not voted already, we urge you to do so.

[MRX]

Off we go. Looks like it'll be close.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Off we go. Looks like it'll be close.

Spoiler: It is close. Very close.

[MRX]

Razor thin, I suppose. The next results ready yet? Bet Wellstone does well in Florida.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

The next update will be either tonight or tomorrow; it'll entail the states that were too close/too early to call before 8:00 (SC, NC, OH, WV, FL, VA, NH), as well as several 8:00 calls.

[MRX]

Looks like Ohio and Florida will be the key then!

[BOSSFAN]

The 8 PM results ready yet Snowstalker? Would love to see how the rest of the Northeast goes for Wellstone.

[BOSSFAN]

What's taking so long, I thought the next update would be ready by Tuesday night. I'm so anxious.

[MRX]

What's taking so long, I thought the next update would be ready by Tuesday night. I'm so anxious.

Hey, take it easy man, Snow might be a little busy! Don't fret. The update'll come soon. Meanwhile, I've been doing some electoral math. I think Wellstone can easily win Ohio and Florida because the former is a heavy labor state in the Rust Belt and the latter has the third highest number of Jews in the country, behind New York and New Jersey. Add the 27 electoral votes in Florida and the 20 electoral votes in Ohio to the 263 electoral votes that Snowstalker calculated in an earlier post, and you come out with a total of 310 electoral votes for Wellstone, thus delivering him the presidency. Of course, Snowstalker might decide to give Paul a narrower electoral victory instead. But this scenario can work too.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Sorry for the delay. Election Night 2004 continues tomorrow.

[BOSSFAN]

Thanks, sorry if I sounded annoying.

[MRX]

Sorry for the delay. Election Night 2004 continues tomorrow.

Is tomorrow here yet?

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Rather: It is 8:00 in New York and polls have closed in most of the Eastern states. We can first make projections in the presidential race.

Maine will go to Senator Wellstone. Historically a Republican state and one of two which never voted for Franklin Roosevelt, it has trended Democratic in recent years. That is 4 electoral votes for Wellstone.

Massachusetts, the home of former candidate John Kerry, will bring 12 more electoral votes into Wellstone's column. No surprises in a historically Democratic state, home of the Kennedys.

Connecticut's 7 electoral votes once again for Wellstone. It's a Democratic state; the Republicans looked at it because it has voted Republican in the past and it was a state heavily affected by the September 11th attacks. However, it remains solidly in the Democratic column.

New Jersey, another suburban state which Bush hoped he could win will also vote for Wellstone and give him 15 more electoral votes. Now, New Jersey has the second highest percentage of Jewish voters in the country. Exit polls are suggesting that Wellstone won nearly 80% of Jews in New Jersey, which is slightly above average for a Democrat. Remember, Wellstone would be our first Jewish president if elected.

Delaware's 3 electoral votes will go to Wellstone. Delaware has historically voted for the winner of every election since 1952 with the exception of 2000, when Gore easily carried the state. This suggests that Delaware is trending towards the Democrats.

Maryland, a strongly Democratic state, will cast its 10 electoral votes for Wellstone. Government employees, African-Americans, and labor mesh together in what may be one of Wellstone's best states.

Illinois's 21 electoral votes will also go to Wellstone. Thanks to Chicago, it's a very Democratic state that will go for Wellstone by a somewhat comfortable margin.

Tennessee's 11 electoral votes will go for President Bush as expected. He beat favorite son Al Gore in the state, and with a more liberal opponent from Minnesota it's no surprise that he appears to have won easily.

Alabama's 9 electoral votes will also go to the President. It hasn't voted for a Democrat since 1976, and that streak continues by what looks like a big margin for Bush.

Finally, Oklahoma, 7 electoral votes, will go to the President. Another strongly Republican state just north of Bush's home state of Texas.

Let's bring up the map again. Wellstone has narrowed the gap and is up to 78 electoral votes. President Bush is currently still ahead with 84 projected electoral votes. There are many states which are still too close or too early to call, and many more which are still open. If you live in those states, we urge you to vote if you have not done so already.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

From this point on, county-level results will be included in the final tally.

[MRX]

Might be 10 PM I suppose.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

As much as I do of this, I can't remember... does Texas come at 8 o'clock or 9 o'clock?

El Paso closes at 9, the rest at 8. It'll be called at 9.

[Jerseyrules]

Hate to do this but...

Let's go Wellstone bah bah bah bah bah da da da da bum bum!

[MRX]

The 9 O'Clock results ready?

[FEMA Camp Administrator]

No big surprises. Like OTL 2004 it'll probably hinge on a couple close ones like Iowa and Ohio.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Yeah, the map will only change around a couple states from the OTL result. The only state which will have really different results (in % terms) will be Minnesota, of course.