NM-Sen-Dem Primary
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Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who is the stronger candidate?
#1
Hector Balderas
 
#2
Martin Heinrich
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 14

Author Topic: NM-Sen-Dem Primary  (Read 905 times)
Ogre Mage
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« on: December 19, 2011, 10:14:40 PM »

Unlike other Senate primaries where DSCC chair Murray has bluntly played kingmaker, she has done a more delicate dance in this race.  But there is little secret The Powers That Be favor a certain candidate.  What do you think?
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redcommander
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« Reply #1 on: December 19, 2011, 10:17:35 PM »
« Edited: December 19, 2011, 10:37:21 PM by redcommander »

Definately it's Heinrich. If Balderas makes it through, it moves to a toss up race against Wilson.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: December 19, 2011, 10:22:09 PM »

Huh? She said Heinrich's her candidate a couple of weeks ago.

Also, what redcommander said. I have a feeling Balderas' weaker numbers might be name ID though.
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redcommander
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« Reply #3 on: December 19, 2011, 10:26:47 PM »

Huh? She said Heinrich's her candidate a couple of weeks ago.

Also, what redcommander said. I have a feeling Balderas' weaker numbers might be name ID though.

He's much more liberal than Heinrich which even though New Mexico has gotten more Dem friendly recently, will probably turn off a lot of swing voters.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #4 on: December 19, 2011, 10:29:54 PM »

Huh? She said Heinrich's her candidate a couple of weeks ago.

Also, what redcommander said. I have a feeling Balderas' weaker numbers might be name ID though.

He's much more liberal than Heinrich which even though New Mexico has gotten more Dem friendly recently, will probably turn off a lot of swing voters.

Depends how well he can sell it, but if his numbers keep creeping up Heinrich should get worried. DSCC is not going to intervene outright IMO, as they're doing in Hawaii.
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #5 on: December 19, 2011, 10:48:44 PM »

Yes, Hawaii is an example of the DSCC/Establishment much more blatantly playing favorites.  I can see why they are treading more carefully here, though they favor Heinrich.
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« Reply #6 on: December 19, 2011, 11:42:25 PM »

Am I correct in assuming that the favorite in Hawaii is Hirono? If it's Case I have lost all hope for my party, at least for this cycle.
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #7 on: December 20, 2011, 01:42:01 AM »

Am I correct in assuming that the favorite in Hawaii is Hirono? If it's Case I have lost all hope for my party, at least for this cycle.

The polls I have seen, with the exception of Case's internal polling, show Hirono leading in the primary.  Akaka and Inouye are officially neutral.  Unofficially, they are totally backing Hirono.  Murray, of course, is openly backing Hirono:

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jfern
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« Reply #8 on: December 20, 2011, 01:53:41 AM »

Am I correct in assuming that the favorite in Hawaii is Hirono? If it's Case I have lost all hope for my party, at least for this cycle.

The polls I have seen, with the exception of Case's internal polling, show Hirono leading in the primary.  Akaka and Inouye are officially neutral.  Unofficially, they are totally backing Hirono.  Murray, of course, is openly backing Hirono:

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http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/12/dscc-briefing-r.php#more



Good, the last thing we needed was another right-wing Democrat from a solid blue state. We already have Carper and Lieberman.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #9 on: December 20, 2011, 01:59:14 AM »

Lieberman is not a Democrat.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #10 on: December 20, 2011, 02:23:04 AM »

Huh? She said Heinrich's her candidate a couple of weeks ago.

Also, what redcommander said. I have a feeling Balderas' weaker numbers might be name ID though.

He's much more liberal than Heinrich which even though New Mexico has gotten more Dem friendly recently, will probably turn off a lot of swing voters.

How Balderas is more liberal than Heinrich? If anything it's the latter one that made waves by announcing his support for gay marriage.
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