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Poll
Question: Who is the stronger candidate?
Hector Balderas   -2 (14.3%)
Martin Heinrich   -12 (85.7%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 14

Author Topic: NM-Sen-Dem Primary  (Read 585 times)
Ogre Mage
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« on: December 19, 2011, 10:14:40 pm »
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Unlike other Senate primaries where DSCC chair Murray has bluntly played kingmaker, she has done a more delicate dance in this race.  But there is little secret The Powers That Be favor a certain candidate.  What do you think?
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redcommander
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« Reply #1 on: December 19, 2011, 10:17:35 pm »
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Definately it's Heinrich. If Balderas makes it through, it moves to a toss up race against Wilson.
« Last Edit: December 19, 2011, 10:37:21 pm by redcommander »Logged
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: December 19, 2011, 10:22:09 pm »
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Huh? She said Heinrich's her candidate a couple of weeks ago.

Also, what redcommander said. I have a feeling Balderas' weaker numbers might be name ID though.
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+7.35, +3.65

Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
redcommander
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« Reply #3 on: December 19, 2011, 10:26:47 pm »
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Huh? She said Heinrich's her candidate a couple of weeks ago.

Also, what redcommander said. I have a feeling Balderas' weaker numbers might be name ID though.

He's much more liberal than Heinrich which even though New Mexico has gotten more Dem friendly recently, will probably turn off a lot of swing voters.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #4 on: December 19, 2011, 10:29:54 pm »
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Huh? She said Heinrich's her candidate a couple of weeks ago.

Also, what redcommander said. I have a feeling Balderas' weaker numbers might be name ID though.

He's much more liberal than Heinrich which even though New Mexico has gotten more Dem friendly recently, will probably turn off a lot of swing voters.

Depends how well he can sell it, but if his numbers keep creeping up Heinrich should get worried. DSCC is not going to intervene outright IMO, as they're doing in Hawaii.
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+7.35, +3.65

Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
Ogre Mage
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« Reply #5 on: December 19, 2011, 10:48:44 pm »
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Yes, Hawaii is an example of the DSCC/Establishment much more blatantly playing favorites.  I can see why they are treading more carefully here, though they favor Heinrich.
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« Reply #6 on: December 19, 2011, 11:42:25 pm »
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Am I correct in assuming that the favorite in Hawaii is Hirono? If it's Case I have lost all hope for my party, at least for this cycle.
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Professor Nathan: A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights. Can you really trust him?

It's like one minute you're preaching from the pulpit at some exceedingly dull church; the next you're a giving a Womens' Studies lecture at Berkeley.
Ogre Mage
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« Reply #7 on: December 20, 2011, 01:42:01 am »
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Am I correct in assuming that the favorite in Hawaii is Hirono? If it's Case I have lost all hope for my party, at least for this cycle.

The polls I have seen, with the exception of Case's internal polling, show Hirono leading in the primary.  Akaka and Inouye are officially neutral.  Unofficially, they are totally backing Hirono.  Murray, of course, is openly backing Hirono:

Quote
Hawaii: Murray made her support for Hirono, who is facing off with former Rep. Ed Case in the Hawaii primary, clear. "I'm supporting Mazie, and I believe she's going to win," said Murray.

That the DSCC is backing Hirono is no surprise. Back in August, DSCC executive director Guy Cecil accused Case of not "being honest" with a poll his campaign released.
http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/12/dscc-briefing-r.php#more

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jfern
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« Reply #8 on: December 20, 2011, 01:53:41 am »
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Am I correct in assuming that the favorite in Hawaii is Hirono? If it's Case I have lost all hope for my party, at least for this cycle.

The polls I have seen, with the exception of Case's internal polling, show Hirono leading in the primary.  Akaka and Inouye are officially neutral.  Unofficially, they are totally backing Hirono.  Murray, of course, is openly backing Hirono:

Quote
Hawaii: Murray made her support for Hirono, who is facing off with former Rep. Ed Case in the Hawaii primary, clear. "I'm supporting Mazie, and I believe she's going to win," said Murray.

That the DSCC is backing Hirono is no surprise. Back in August, DSCC executive director Guy Cecil accused Case of not "being honest" with a poll his campaign released.
http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/12/dscc-briefing-r.php#more



Good, the last thing we needed was another right-wing Democrat from a solid blue state. We already have Carper and Lieberman.
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Senator Napoleon
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« Reply #9 on: December 20, 2011, 01:59:14 am »
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Lieberman is not a Democrat.
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The only thing that is certain is that he's a douche! What he will infract is uncetain.
Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #10 on: December 20, 2011, 02:23:04 am »
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Huh? She said Heinrich's her candidate a couple of weeks ago.

Also, what redcommander said. I have a feeling Balderas' weaker numbers might be name ID though.

He's much more liberal than Heinrich which even though New Mexico has gotten more Dem friendly recently, will probably turn off a lot of swing voters.

How Balderas is more liberal than Heinrich? If anything it's the latter one that made waves by announcing his support for gay marriage.
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Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
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