Daily Gallup GOP Tracking Poll Thread
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #300 on: February 19, 2012, 07:39:47 PM »

Wow, amazing stuff. Santorum's blown the race wide open. S+8 nationally.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #301 on: February 20, 2012, 01:03:02 PM »

Santorum now leads by double digits.

Santorum 36%
Romney 26% (-2)
Gingrich 13%
Paul 11%
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Volrath50
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« Reply #302 on: February 20, 2012, 01:03:43 PM »

As I predicted yesterday, Mitt loses two points. Santorum's unchanged, though. Lets hope he hasn't peaked.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #303 on: February 20, 2012, 01:04:08 PM »

But, remember, Mitt can "dial it in" at this point. Clearly a strong frontrunner.
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King
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« Reply #304 on: February 20, 2012, 03:13:27 PM »

If Santorum has a decisive performance on Wednesday, it's over for Mitt.
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Badger
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« Reply #305 on: February 20, 2012, 08:41:23 PM »

As much as i'd like to buy it unconditionally, there's still a house of cards element to santorum's support. If he doesn't win MI he's on a definite downward arc entering super Tuesday....
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #306 on: February 20, 2012, 10:30:01 PM »

Honestly, Gingrich needs to go hard after Santorum in the debate on Wednesday, rather than focus on Romney, which he'll probably try to do. The only way Gingrich can still win is if he completely deteriorates Santorum enough to once again by the "Anti-Romney" choice. He's not going to be able to make this a two-way race between himself and Santorum, try as he might.
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TomC
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« Reply #307 on: February 20, 2012, 10:41:11 PM »

Honestly, Gingrich needs to go hard after Santorum in the debate on Wednesday, rather than focus on Romney, which he'll probably try to do. The only way Gingrich can still win is if he completely deteriorates Santorum enough to once again by the "Anti-Romney" choice. He's not going to be able to make this a two-way race between himself and Santorum, try as he might.

No, Romney is still the frontrunner and still has the clearest path t the nomination without a brokered convention. If Santorum gains steam in delegate collection, it's more likely we go to a brokered convention and Gingrich could get something out of it.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #308 on: February 21, 2012, 09:39:21 PM »

Honestly, Gingrich needs to go hard after Santorum in the debate on Wednesday, rather than focus on Romney, which he'll probably try to do. The only way Gingrich can still win is if he completely deteriorates Santorum enough to once again by the "Anti-Romney" choice. He's not going to be able to make this a two-way race between himself and Santorum, try as he might.

Gingrich can't win.  All he can do right now is affect which of Romney and Santorum win.  So it's no surprise that a Romney supporter is saying he needs to attack Santorum, just as I hope he'll attack Romney.  Personally, I think Newt's focus will be on attacking the media again. Wink
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #309 on: February 22, 2012, 01:21:25 PM »

Santorum 35% (-1)
Romney 27% (+1)
Gingrich 15% (+1)
Paul 10% (-1)

I have a bad feeling about this...
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Volrath50
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« Reply #310 on: February 22, 2012, 02:12:42 PM »

Santorum 35% (-1)
Romney 27% (+1)
Gingrich 15% (+1)
Paul 10% (-1)

I have a bad feeling about this...

Oh good god, are we seeing the beginning of a third Newt Surge?
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #311 on: February 22, 2012, 02:42:18 PM »

Newt gets a point and it's a Newt surge? Please.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #312 on: February 22, 2012, 03:25:15 PM »

Santorum 35% (-1)
Romney 27% (+1)
Gingrich 15% (+1)
Paul 10% (-1)

I have a bad feeling about this...

Oh good god, are we seeing the beginning of a third Newt Surge?

Actually this would be the fourth Newt surge, however, it would be the third Newt resurrection.
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TomC
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« Reply #313 on: February 22, 2012, 03:43:45 PM »

No, this is a Santorum "correction."
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Vroke
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« Reply #314 on: February 22, 2012, 03:52:35 PM »

Tonight is do or die for Santorum. If he can really stick it to Romney, then he'll take Michigan and Arizona next week, giving him huge momentum into Super Tuesday. If Romney can stand up and offer better answers than Santorum, then Romney will climb his way back to the top.

Unless Gingrich blows everyone out of the water tonight, I believe he's done for. He hasn't had any significant finish since South Carolina and Florida.
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Volrath50
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« Reply #315 on: February 22, 2012, 05:08:28 PM »

Newt gets a point and it's a Newt surge? Please.

Well, he's gained two points in two days. I was probably overreacting, but my first reaction these days to seeing Gingrich climbing is to think he's about to surge again...
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Vroke
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« Reply #316 on: February 22, 2012, 07:38:08 PM »

A Newt surge in the next few days helps Romney more than anyone else. Splitting the social conservative vote between Gingrich and Santorum helps Romney get back in the race for Arizona and Michigan. With those under his belt, he's going into Super Tuesday in a much better position.
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change08
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« Reply #317 on: February 22, 2012, 07:53:04 PM »

A Newt surge in the next few days helps Romney more than anyone else. Splitting the social conservative vote between Gingrich and Santorum helps Romney get back in the race for Arizona and Michigan. With those under his belt, he's going into Super Tuesday in a much better position.

These surges have been happening in the space of 2 days, 6 is plenty of time.
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Vroke
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« Reply #318 on: February 22, 2012, 08:19:23 PM »

A Newt surge in the next few days helps Romney more than anyone else. Splitting the social conservative vote between Gingrich and Santorum helps Romney get back in the race for Arizona and Michigan. With those under his belt, he's going into Super Tuesday in a much better position.

These surges have been happening in the space of 2 days, 6 is plenty of time.

Exactly. If Newt has a really good night tonight and really gains momentum again, then he could very well get back into the thick of it. Although, based on the debate so far, I think Newt might have a sore throat - it sounds like it's really scratchy.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #319 on: February 22, 2012, 10:25:08 PM »

Rick Santorum peaked about a week ago folks.  Sorry I wasn't around to tell you... Tongue
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mondale84
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« Reply #320 on: February 23, 2012, 01:51:13 PM »

Santorum 34 (-1)
Romney 27 (nc)
Gingrich 15 (nc)
Paul 10 (nc)

...I have a very bad feeling about this....
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #321 on: February 23, 2012, 01:54:10 PM »

Rick will likely come back to earth now given his debate performance last night. It seems to be a pattern with the anti-Romneys.
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change08
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« Reply #322 on: February 24, 2012, 01:46:41 PM »

Santorum 33 (-1)
Romney 27 (nc)
Gingrich 16 (+1)
Paul 11 (+1)

Newtmentum Mark III
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ajb
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« Reply #323 on: February 24, 2012, 01:51:03 PM »

Santorum 33 (-1)
Romney 27 (nc)
Gingrich 16 (+1)
Paul 11 (+1)

Newtmentum Mark III

Slight shift from Santorum to Gingrich, no change for Romney.
This doesn't look like it's ending anytime soon.
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J. J.
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« Reply #324 on: February 24, 2012, 03:50:18 PM »


Whack-a-Mole Mark III  Smiley
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