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Author Topic: Daily Gallup GOP Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 37867 times)
tmthforu94
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« Reply #525 on: March 31, 2012, 01:32:39 pm »
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Romney - 42% (+3)
Santorum - 27% (-1)
Gingrich - 11% (+1)
Paul - 10% (-1)

I think there was a day that wasn't included, so the change from the last poll is for 2 days, not just one.
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Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #526 on: March 31, 2012, 01:42:58 pm »
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Do you guys think Mitt will break 50%, and if so, when?
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« Reply #527 on: March 31, 2012, 01:47:37 pm »
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Not unless Newt backers foist Mitt on the party just to Spite Santorum.
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jmc247
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« Reply #528 on: March 31, 2012, 07:06:05 pm »
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Do you guys think Mitt will break 50%, and if so, when?

Yes, within 10 days of winning on April 3rd. According to the NY Times today a whole bunch of the establishment that were waiting for the 'right time' will jump off the fense are planning to do so if Romney wins as expected on April 3rd. Alot of the media are tired of the horse race as well and are ready to crown a winner so they can get on with the general.

If he stays above 50% I do think will be up to if Newt gets out or not otherwise he goes above 50% and then I think he dips back into the mid to upper 40% range until after the April 24th races.
« Last Edit: March 31, 2012, 07:11:19 pm by jmc247 »Logged
J. J.
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« Reply #529 on: March 31, 2012, 07:46:21 pm »
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I've gotten two Santorum fundraising e-mails today.  I think he might be having cash flow problems.
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J. J.

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« Reply #530 on: March 31, 2012, 07:51:15 pm »
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I've gotten two Santorum fundraising e-mails today.  I think he might be having cash flow problems.

The big donors are almost certainly drying up. They don't invest on lost causes. The rank and file money is probably starting to dry up as well.
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« Reply #531 on: April 02, 2012, 01:53:15 pm »
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Romney - 43% (+1)
Santorum - 25% (-2)
Gingrich - 11% (nc)
Paul - 10% (nc)

Gallup for Mar 30-Apr 1, 2012

We may finally see a candidate go over 50% this week.
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fezzyfestoon
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« Reply #532 on: April 02, 2012, 10:03:41 pm »
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Romney's up 7% on Santorum+Gingrich, his highest yet. He reached a 5% lead in January for one day. The anti-Romneys have only been below 37% (they are now at 36%) once since before Gingrich's second surge.
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« Reply #533 on: April 03, 2012, 08:36:32 am »
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Romney's up 7% on Santorum+Gingrich, his highest yet. He reached a 5% lead in January for one day. The anti-Romneys have only been below 37% (they are now at 36%) once since before Gingrich's second surge.

Romney does have the first real stable momentum he has gotten in the race so far. Him decisively winning tonight and then as the NYTimes has said much of the rest of the party establishment who have been waiting plan to come out to endorse Romney if he wins WI this week will finally allow momentum to trump demographics in this race.

I believe my prediction of Romney going over 50% in the next ten days is still on track.
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« Reply #534 on: April 03, 2012, 09:29:53 am »
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He still has 2.5 million cash on hand. Wishful thinking?
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #535 on: April 04, 2012, 09:33:52 pm »
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Well...

Romney - 40% (-3)
Santorum - 25% (nc)
Paul - 12% (+2)
Gingrich - 11% (nc)
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« Reply #536 on: April 05, 2012, 08:17:04 am »
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Well...

Romney - 40% (-3)
Santorum - 25% (nc)
Paul - 12% (+2)
Gingrich - 11% (nc)

lol Mitt
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fezzyfestoon
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« Reply #537 on: April 05, 2012, 12:44:45 pm »
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What the...

Romney - 39% (-1)
Santorum - 26% (+1)
Paul - 12% (nc)
Gingrich - 10% (-1)
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #538 on: April 05, 2012, 01:43:05 pm »
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What the...

Romney - 39% (-1)
Santorum - 26% (+1)
Paul - 12% (nc)
Gingrich - 10% (-1)

With this race, it pays to just ignore the fact that there are facts and whatnot.
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J. J.
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« Reply #539 on: April 05, 2012, 01:50:30 pm »
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What the...

Romney - 39% (-1)
Santorum - 26% (+1)
Paul - 12% (nc)
Gingrich - 10% (-1)

Bad sample?
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J. J.

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« Reply #540 on: April 05, 2012, 01:52:46 pm »
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Nah, everything is going exactly according to Mitt Romney's plan. He's following a "slow and steady" strategy and is currently on course to finally reach 100% support with Republican voters some time in late 2015, setting him up strongly for the 2016 primaries.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #541 on: April 05, 2012, 02:19:07 pm »
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Every time we hear about the party rallying around Mitt, a little bit of sense smacks voters in the face...
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« Reply #542 on: April 05, 2012, 03:43:48 pm »
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Mitt over 50 they said.
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jmc247
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« Reply #543 on: April 06, 2012, 05:31:21 pm »
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Quote
Mitt over 50 they said.

I said I guessed within 10 days after the April 3rd elections that he would hit 50% and then drop down back into the 40s basically the 50 would be a suger rush from the victories.

Given Romney was at 43% at the time I said it a 7 point short term boost from three big victories that were about to happen wasn't some wild far out guess and we still don't know if Romney's sudden large polling drop here wasn't simply a really bad sample. We should know next week.
 
Today's sample

Romney 41% (+2)
Santorum 25% (-1)
Paul 12% (nc)
 
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argentarius
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« Reply #544 on: April 06, 2012, 05:36:04 pm »
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There's a very decent chance Romney could hit 50 by the thirteenth.
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« Reply #545 on: April 07, 2012, 04:33:56 am »
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I find it somewhat unlikely - though possible -  that Romney will get to 50 before this primary season is effectively over unless Gingrich and/or Paul drop out before that point (but that is in itself unlikely). Seems to be beyond his ceiling, frankly.
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« Reply #546 on: April 09, 2012, 07:08:59 pm »
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Romney: 42%
Santorum: 25%
Paul: 11%
Gingrich: 09%

http://www.gallup.com/poll/election.aspx
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #547 on: April 09, 2012, 11:51:36 pm »
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And they're still bothering with this poll why?
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America First
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« Reply #548 on: April 10, 2012, 03:13:33 am »
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And they're still bothering with this poll why?
Cause if you look beyond the lamestream media narrative, there could easily be a brokered convention and Romney isn't the surefire winner that they make him out to be.
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Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #549 on: April 10, 2012, 08:22:16 am »
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And they're still bothering with this poll why?
Cause if you look beyond the lamestream media narrative, there could easily be a brokered convention and Romney isn't the surefire winner that they make him out to be.
But he's almost certainly going to be.
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There is a lot of humor to be mined from this as the mind of LBJ in the body of an 18 month old baby girl is quite hilarious.

Alfred is the Atlasian equivalent of a malevolent deity.

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