Daily Gallup GOP Tracking Poll Thread (user search)
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  Daily Gallup GOP Tracking Poll Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Daily Gallup GOP Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 90139 times)
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Miamiu1027
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« on: March 09, 2012, 04:08:48 PM »

I love this post from the 08 JJ exchange

I'm not crazy about ARG or Zogby, but some of the other polls have been showing a tightening of the race.
  All the polls have show'd a basic 5-7 pt Obama lead. No tightening of what you speak.

Rasmussen's 'bots put it at 4 points last week.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=70545.0

His margin was larger, IIRC.  It looks like the race is tightening.  That doesn't mean a Clinton victory, but it does mean a closer race.

No. The last time Rasmussen had polled the race was exactly never.

The only pollster to have enough polls to constitute a trend is Strategic Vision, which gave:

Feb 2007: C+15
May 2007: C+13
July 2007: C+16
Sept 2007: C+22
Nov 2007: C+18
Dec 2007: C+7
Feb 2008: O+4

But, given how spread out the polls were, the earliest we can even really look at trends is starting from November.

As you know, I never look at one poll; I've been looking at the different polls out there, and it seems to be tightening.

...as if suggesting he has some sort of mystical proprietary method
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,562
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« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2012, 02:41:48 PM »

My common sense keeps telling me Mitt is going to just keep pulling it out, but I just can't picture him giving an acceptance speech at the convention.

the "I can't imagine Romney winning and I also can't imagine him not winning" was coined in January/early February.  don't remember who first said it.
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