Daily Gallup GOP Tracking Poll Thread

[Mr. Morden]

Today will be the first 5-day tracking report which includes only interviews after Santorum's win on Tuesday. Probably Romney by 3-5%.

Yeah, which seems to be starkly at odds with PPP's national poll.

[Mr. Morden]

LOL santorum.

Romney 36% (+1)
Santorum 22% (-1)
Gingrich 17% (+1)
10% (-1)

Paul's now so embarrassed by his poor showing that he's removed his name from the poll.

[Mr. Morden]

That needed planning and money, and it needed a local organization to work.

Then I guess Santorum was super organized when he came back from being 20 points down in Iowa and beat Mittens.
Or when Newt did the same thing in South Carolina.

Well, considering that Santorum had been actively campaigning in Iowa for months and Romney hadn't, no.  Santorum was never 20 points behind Romney in Iowa, BTW.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012R/polls.php?fips=19

Quite a few polls from October and earlier in which Romney is 20 points ahead of Santorum.

And while Romney didn't campaign as much in Iowa as Santorum did, he did campaign there quite a bit in the month before the caucus, and massively outspent Santorum on TV ads, GOTV, etc.

[Mr. Morden]

That needed planning and money, and it needed a local organization to work.

Then I guess Santorum was super organized when he came back from being 20 points down in Iowa and beat Mittens.
Or when Newt did the same thing in South Carolina.

Well, considering that Santorum had been actively campaigning in Iowa for months and Romney hadn't, no.  Santorum was never 20 points behind Romney in Iowa, BTW.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012R/polls.php?fips=19

Quite a few polls from October and earlier in which Romney is 20 points ahead of Santorum.

And while Romney didn't campaign as much in Iowa as Santorum did, he did campaign there quite a bit in the month before the caucus, and massively outspent Santorum on TV ads, GOTV, etc.

None with a 20 point lead; much of the time, Romney was below 20 points.  And, in a caucus, it is the organization on the ground.

CNN/Time poll: Oct. 25: Romney 24%, Santorum 2%
University of Iowa poll: Oct. 19: Romney 27% Santorum 3%
Marist College poll: Oct. 5: Romney 26% Santorum 3%

I could go on.  There are plenty to choose from.

[Mr. Morden]

You want make the point that Santorum was 20 (actually 25) behind the leader, yes he was, but not Romney.  Romney was 15 points behind the leader as well (a different leader).

What are you talking about?  In the CNN/Time poll from Oct. 25, for example, Romney is leading the poll, at 24%, ahead of all other candidates.  Santorum is at 2%.  Therefore Santorum is more than 20 points behind Romney, who is leading the poll.

[Mr. Morden]

Now that Rick Santorum has dropped out, can we close this board now? There really is no point in keeping track of primary polls at this point. 

Sheesh, what's with people wanting to shut down boards all of a sudden?  If pollsters want to keep taking primary polls, and people want to keep posting them here, why not let them?  There's no reason to close the board.

Besides, the twilight of the 2008 primary polls board was a time of great introspection.

I want to run through wildflowers in soft-focus with Dick Bennett

Let's not stop people from posting stuff like that here.