Daily Gallup GOP Tracking Poll Thread (user search)
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  Daily Gallup GOP Tracking Poll Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Daily Gallup GOP Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 90220 times)
Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« on: December 08, 2011, 09:07:46 PM »

Gingrich's lead has gone from 15 to 9 in just a few days. Trend or noise?
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: January 08, 2012, 06:00:44 PM »

If Gingrich and Perry dropped out, I wonder what the numbers would be. I suspect that Santorum would get more but Romney would still get enough to keep the lead by a few points
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2012, 02:27:27 PM »

You know the old saying. As goes American Somoa, so goes the nation
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: March 15, 2012, 03:16:41 PM »

I didn't realize i was copying Axelrod. I dont follow him. Apparently losing to Hillary in Somoa in 2008 still stings.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: March 16, 2012, 06:35:06 PM »

I am wondering if there really is no more momentum and we are just in for a long slog. Michigan seems to be the last 'game changer' where Romney's win pushed him back to the top here and on the RCP average. Since then we have had Super Tuesday, Kansas/Islands Saturday, and Southern/Hawaii Tuesday and nothing is really changing.

And Gallup's latest shows Newt dropping out wouldn't make much of a dent in Romney's lead. For Santorum to really change the dynamics, he has to do something surprising again (like when he swept 3 states in one day). It is hard to see when he could do that. Maybe winning PR and IL would shake things up, but it looks like he and Romney are going to be trading states from now until June and the national dynamic isn't going to change much.

Hopefully I'm wrong as it is getting boring
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: March 19, 2012, 07:49:43 PM »

i suspect they are low information voters who havent kept up with what a complete failure Newt has been.

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