Greece 2012

[TheParliamentarian]

Antenna TV estimates that New Democracy will win by more than 1 percentage point, Kathimerini reports.

[You kip if you want to...]

PASOK actually leading somewhere! Eastern Crete.

[Landslide Lyndon]

The final exit poll shows ND ahead by 1-1,5%.  

Projected seats:

ND         127
SYRIZA    72
PASOK    33
ANEL       20
XA           18
DIMAR     16
KKE         14

[Vasall des Midas]

The nonrepresented parties took quite the hit. LAOS at 1.5, a joint list of DX and Drasi and one more outfit at 1.4, Greens at 0.8, Antarsya at 0.3 (one other party that I know nothing about at 0.4).

[Speaker Dereich]

PASOK actually leading somewhere! Eastern Crete.

PASOK could announce its new policy was eating babies and it would still win Crete.

[TheParliamentarian]

Greek state TV estimates that on those exit numbers New Democracy and Pasok could form a coalition. The 300 seats would be distributed thus:
New Democracy 127 (including the bonus 50 for winning), Syriza 72, Pasok 32, Independent Greeks 21, Golden Dawn 19, Democratic Left 16, Communist Party of Greece 13.

[wormyguy]

And now ND(!) is first in Eastern Crete and PASOK is third.

[Vasall des Midas]

And now ND(!) is first in Eastern Crete and PASOK is third.

It's a close threeway tie.

[jaichind]

Greek state TV estimates that on those exit numbers New Democracy and Pasok could form a coalition. The 300 seats would be distributed thus:
New Democracy 127 (including the bonus 50 for winning), Syriza 72, Pasok 32, Independent Greeks 21, Golden Dawn 19, Democratic Left 16, Communist Party of Greece 13.

I am a bit sceptical based on how last time around ND and PASOK vote share fell a lot as the couting continued.  But if greek state TV takes into type of trend into account I would be glad to believe this as this is the only real result that could lead to some sort of stability.

[jaichind]

Looks like Greens and LAOS are losing vote share to the larger parties.  Even PASOK is ahead of its vote share in May.  That might change as time goes on but I am surprised.

[Vasall des Midas]

23% in. Doesn't look to be getting closer fast enough; I suppose ND will have won.

[jaichind]

Looks like Athens is slower.  That is SYRIZA's last hope.  They are releatively strong there, but so is ND. 

[ag]

ND is ahead in Athens A  (w/ almost 25% reporting nationwide).

[Roma Caput Mundi]

XA once again strong...bleah.

[jaichind]

ND is ahead in Athens A  (w/ almost 25% reporting nationwide).

I think you are talking about A' Athens.  For V' Athens (which I assume is Athens suburbs whereas A' Athens is central city) which has a much larger voting popluation and SYRIZA is ahead.  Both has about 16% of the vote in while the nation as a whole are 27% in.

[ag]

ND is ahead in Athens A .

I think you are talking about A' Athens.  

Most definitely. Since that's exactly what I said )

[TheParliamentarian]

Marella Oppenheim tweets: Here in Athen looks like New Democracy to win. Now the country braces itself for street demos and mayhem.

[jaichind]

ND is ahead in Athens A .

I think you are talking about A' Athens.  

Most definitely. Since that's exactly what I said )

Ooops.  You are right. 

[Speaker Dereich]

All the american news organizations seem pretty sure that ND will win. Or at least that's what it seems like on twitter.

[TheParliamentarian]

New Democracy could form a coalition with Pasok, but from this tweet from Radiobubble's Spyros Gkelis suggests might not happen.

PASOK officially states that won't participate in any government without SYRIZA in it #Greece2012 #rbnews

[The Mikado]

With 32.4% in:

ND 30.65%
SYRIZA 25.85%
PASOK 12.96%
ANEL 7.41%
SHOWER 6.93%
DIMAR 6.00%
KKE 4.42%
OTHER 5.79%

OTHER is way down from a month ago.

[Speaker Dereich]

New Democracy could form a coalition with Pasok, but from this tweet from Radiobubble's Spyros Gkelis suggests might not happen.

PASOK officially states that won't participate in any government without SYRIZA in it #Greece2012 #rbnews

Good old PASOK, pulling defeat from the jaws of victory.

[ObserverIE]

New Democracy could form a coalition with Pasok, but from this tweet from Radiobubble's Spyros Gkelis suggests might not happen.

PASOK officially states that won't participate in any government without SYRIZA in it #Greece2012 #rbnews

Good old PASOK, pulling defeat from the jaws of victory.

Define "victory".

Map-based visualisation of results here.

[jaichind]

New Democracy could form a coalition with Pasok, but from this tweet from Radiobubble's Spyros Gkelis suggests might not happen.

PASOK officially states that won't participate in any government without SYRIZA in it #Greece2012 #rbnews

If they do that then there will be a third election where PASOK will get less than 3% of the vote.  If a vote for PASOK is really a vote for SYRIZA then why not just vote for SYRIZA and skip the middleman.  If one does not like SYRIZA then just vote for ND.

[Beet]

New Democracy could form a coalition with Pasok, but from this tweet from Radiobubble's Spyros Gkelis suggests might not happen.

PASOK officially states that won't participate in any government without SYRIZA in it #Greece2012 #rbnews

If that is true, what was the point of even having an election? There will never be a national unity government. This is Weimar! They need a coalition of the sane parties.