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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
International Elections
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Sibboleth
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Greece 2012
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Topic: Greece 2012 (Read 45154 times)
Peter the Lefty
Peternerdman
YaBB God
Posts: 1201
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1050 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:17:32 pm »
Quote from: Beet on June 17, 2012, 02:07:35 pm
It would be nice if someone would actually step up to the plate in that country and not constantly try to shift the burden to someone else.
It is sad the way the Greek politicians' inability to step up is probably giving the Germans more reason to think that Greeks are just a bunch of lazy slackers.
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in 1968
-7.61 Economic
-7.48 Social
I Am Damo Suzuki
andi
YaBB God
Posts: 840
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1051 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:19:57 pm »
Quote from: Dereich on June 17, 2012, 02:11:48 pm
Quote from: jaichind on June 17, 2012, 01:58:13 pm
She noted that the ND-PASOK coalition could not work again
because it had been 'battered' by the people and that
the
country could not be governed by 41 percent of the electorate
with 59 percent opposed.
Thats interesting, because PASOK had no problem governing with 43% of the electorate in 2009
Not really a good comparison; PASOK and ND polled together almost 80% and 43% today.
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Beet
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 14771
Political Matrix
E: -2.52, S: -4.43
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1052 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:21:06 pm »
Quote from: yellow brick road on June 17, 2012, 02:19:57 pm
Quote from: Dereich on June 17, 2012, 02:11:48 pm
Quote from: jaichind on June 17, 2012, 01:58:13 pm
She noted that the ND-PASOK coalition could not work again
because it had been 'battered' by the people and that
the
country could not be governed by 41 percent of the electorate
with 59 percent opposed.
Thats interesting, because PASOK had no problem governing with 43% of the electorate in 2009
Not really a good comparison; PASOK and ND polled together almost 80% against 43% today.
Yeah but ND wasn't in government.
Logged
Quote from: krazen1211 on January 17, 2013, 06:26:56 pm
15 rounds for the elites but 7 for the people. Interesting.
Markit Credit Data
I Am Damo Suzuki
andi
YaBB God
Posts: 840
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1053 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:22:26 pm »
ND was in the Papademos government if I am not wrong.
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Peter the Lefty
Peternerdman
YaBB God
Posts: 1201
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1054 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:27:38 pm »
Quote from: yellow brick road on June 17, 2012, 02:22:26 pm
ND was in the Papademos government if I am not wrong.
But not the Papandreau one.
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in 1968
-7.61 Economic
-7.48 Social
Swedish Cheese
JOHN91043353
YaBB God
Posts: 3143
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -4.00
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1055 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:28:53 pm »
SYRIZA would gain nothing from being part of a coalition they're not leading. It's not going to happen.
In the end PASOK will probably feel forced to join ND, but they're aware that doing so will mean confirming SYRIZA as the major centre-left party in the country for decades to come, and if things go bad for the coalition might also mean death for the entire party. So naturally they're at least going to try to get as many as possible to dip their hands in the blood.
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Quote from: Comrade Sibboleth on June 11, 2012, 08:46:41 am
Quote from: Objectif 289 on June 11, 2012, 07:40:20 am
Tradition is the enemy of progress.
A belief in Progress is now absolutely a traditional value.
FREEDOM!!!
True Federalist
Ernest
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 21473
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1056 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:29:18 pm »
I know that it would be extremely shaky, but is there any chance of ND forming a government without PASOK? Perhaps an ND/DIMAR government if some more PASOK members defect to DIMAR?
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“Always it is easier to pay homage to prophets than to heed the direction of their vision.”
Clinton Lee Scott
Read
Fat Man on a Diet
, an alternate history in which the history of atomic weapons does not go as it did in our timeline.
TheParliamentarian
TheNationalist
Rookie
Posts: 31
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1057 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:31:10 pm »
Golden Dawn 6,95% 188.708 -0,0% change
opinion polls showed 3.9% before the blackout. what does it mean when the only party seemingly unaffected by the last 6 weeks are the neo-nazis?
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"As for politics, I’m an anarchist. I hate governments and rules and fetters. Can’t stand caged animals. People must be free." — Charlie Chaplin
crypto-fascist superhero
wormyguy
YaBB God
Posts: 7815
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: -7.65
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1058 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:31:22 pm »
13 out of 14 SYRIZA districts have a lower % reporting than nationally, good news for them.
Edit: Nevermind, seems some parts of the Greek elections website update faster than others.
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WV6Bq8xeQrU
jaichind
YaBB God
Posts: 817
Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1059 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:32:25 pm »
Quote from: Dereich on June 17, 2012, 02:11:48 pm
Thats interesting, because PASOK had no problem governing with 43% of the electorate in 2009
This was exactly what I was thinking a few minutes after I posted the PASOK position.
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Chinese from Taiwan Province. Now in Greater New York City. Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count. - Stalin
I Am Damo Suzuki
andi
YaBB God
Posts: 840
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1060 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:32:46 pm »
Quote from: Peternerdman on June 17, 2012, 02:27:38 pm
Quote from: yellow brick road on June 17, 2012, 02:22:26 pm
ND was in the Papademos government if I am not wrong.
But not the Papandreau one.
Yes but what do you mean saying this? The fact is that there's still a majority against the memorandum and this is the reason why ND and PASOK are below their former numbers.
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Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56585
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1061 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:33:52 pm »
Quote from: TheParliamentarian on June 17, 2012, 02:31:10 pm
Golden Dawn 6,95% 188.708 -0,0% change
opinion polls showed 3.9% before the blackout. what does it mean when the only party seemingly unaffected by the last 6 weeks are the neo-nazis?
Either that there's a shy nazi factor or that something in the last two weeks worked in their favor?
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
jaichind
YaBB God
Posts: 817
Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1062 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:34:54 pm »
Quote from: Peternerdman on June 17, 2012, 02:17:32 pm
Quote from: Beet on June 17, 2012, 02:07:35 pm
It would be nice if someone would actually step up to the plate in that country and not constantly try to shift the burden to someone else.
It is sad the way the Greek politicians' inability to step up is probably giving the Germans more reason to think that Greeks are just a bunch of lazy slackers.
Or that the Greeks are a bunch of very smart game theory players and they are doing a good cop (ND/PASOK) bad cop (SYRIZA) con job on the Germans and rest of EU.
Logged
Chinese from Taiwan Province. Now in Greater New York City. Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count. - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
Posts: 817
Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1063 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:37:06 pm »
Quote from: Tsiraki Midou on June 17, 2012, 02:33:52 pm
Quote from: TheParliamentarian on June 17, 2012, 02:31:10 pm
Golden Dawn 6,95% 188.708 -0,0% change
opinion polls showed 3.9% before the blackout. what does it mean when the only party seemingly unaffected by the last 6 weeks are the neo-nazis?
Either that there's a shy nazi factor or that something in the last two weeks worked in their favor?
I tend to guess that some of the communist votes went over the Golden Dawn. They have similar social bases. Whereas the communists are more of the same the Golden Dawn is at least proposing new radical solutions.
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Chinese from Taiwan Province. Now in Greater New York City. Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count. - Stalin
True Federalist
Ernest
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 21473
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1064 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:37:28 pm »
Quote from: TheParliamentarian on June 17, 2012, 02:31:10 pm
Golden Dawn 6,95% 188.708 -0,0% change
opinion polls showed 3.9% before the blackout. what does it mean when the only party seemingly unaffected by the last 6 weeks are the neo-nazis?
DIMAR has about the same share of the vote as last time as well, but both DIMAR and XA are losing seats because the shares of the microparties are down.
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“Always it is easier to pay homage to prophets than to heed the direction of their vision.”
Clinton Lee Scott
Read
Fat Man on a Diet
, an alternate history in which the history of atomic weapons does not go as it did in our timeline.
Peter the Lefty
Peternerdman
YaBB God
Posts: 1201
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1065 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:38:58 pm »
Quote from: yellow brick road on June 17, 2012, 02:32:46 pm
Quote from: Peternerdman on June 17, 2012, 02:27:38 pm
Quote from: yellow brick road on June 17, 2012, 02:22:26 pm
ND was in the Papademos government if I am not wrong.
But not the Papandreau one.
Yes but what do you mean saying this? The fact is that there's still a majority against the memorandum and this is the reason why ND and PASOK are below their former numbers.
What I'm saying, and what Jaichind is saying, is that PASOK claims that a government whose parties got 41% between them wouldn't have democratic legitimacy, yet in 2009, they had no problem forming a government whose only party got 43%. I didn't realize that there's a magic number between 41 and 43 that they think gives democratic legitimacy.
«
Last Edit: June 17, 2012, 02:42:27 pm by Peternerdman
»
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in 1968
-7.61 Economic
-7.48 Social
Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
htmldon
YaBB God
Posts: 8802
Political Matrix
E: 1.03, S: -2.26
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1066 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:42:58 pm »
So will there be a third election now?
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jaichind
YaBB God
Posts: 817
Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1067 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:44:24 pm »
June 17 (New York Times) -- Alexis Tsipras, Leader of Syriza
Party, Concedes in Greek Election
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Chinese from Taiwan Province. Now in Greater New York City. Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count. - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
Posts: 817
Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1068 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:45:33 pm »
Athens, Greece (AP) -- The pro-bailout New Democracy party
came in first Sunday in Greece's national election, and its
leader has proposed forming a pro-euro coalition government.
New Democracy leader Antonis Samaras says "the Greek people
today voted for Greece to remain on its European path and in
the eurozone."
He says voters chose "policies that will bring jobs,
growth, justice and security.
His party beat the anti-bailout Syriza party, which wanted
to cancel Greece's international bailouts. Syriza chief Alexis
Tsipras has conceded the election.
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Chinese from Taiwan Province. Now in Greater New York City. Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count. - Stalin
jaichind
YaBB God
Posts: 817
Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1069 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:46:30 pm »
June 17 (AFP) -- The leader of Greece's anti-austerity
radical leftist party Syriza on Sunday conceded defeat in a
general election and turned down his conservative rival's offer
to join a national unity government.
"I spoke to (New Democracy leader Antonis) Samaras to
congratulate him. He can form a government," said Alexis
Tsipras, whose party came second with 27.1 percent of the vote
according to the first official estimates.
"We will be here as the opposition, we represent a
majority of people opposed to the bailout deal," he said.
hec-cb/dt/jmm
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Chinese from Taiwan Province. Now in Greater New York City. Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count. - Stalin
TheParliamentarian
TheNationalist
Rookie
Posts: 31
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1070 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:46:46 pm »
Quote from: Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon on June 17, 2012, 02:42:58 pm
So will there be a third election now?
yes...
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"As for politics, I’m an anarchist. I hate governments and rules and fetters. Can’t stand caged animals. People must be free." — Charlie Chaplin
I Am Damo Suzuki
andi
YaBB God
Posts: 840
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1071 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:48:28 pm »
Quote from: Peternerdman on June 17, 2012, 02:38:58 pm
What I'm saying, and what Jaichind is saying, is that PASOK claims that a government whose parties got 41% between them wouldn't have democratic legitimacy, yet in 2009, they had no problem forming a government whose only party got 43%. I didn't realize that there's a magic number between 41 and 43 that they think gives democratic legitimacy.
Because the election that PASOK won was a "normal" one, before the memorandum. This time makes sense what PASOK spokeswoman is saying.
Syriza is ahead in Samos, a KKE stronghold.
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Beet
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 14771
Political Matrix
E: -2.52, S: -4.43
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1072 on:
June 17, 2012, 02:57:53 pm »
Quote from: yellow brick road on June 17, 2012, 02:48:28 pm
Quote from: Peternerdman on June 17, 2012, 02:38:58 pm
What I'm saying, and what Jaichind is saying, is that PASOK claims that a government whose parties got 41% between them wouldn't have democratic legitimacy, yet in 2009, they had no problem forming a government whose only party got 43%. I didn't realize that there's a magic number between 41 and 43 that they think gives democratic legitimacy.
Because the election that PASOK won was a "normal" one, before the memorandum. This time makes sense what PASOK spokeswoman is saying.
Syriza is ahead in Samos, a KKE stronghold.
An election is an election. It isn't invalid just because the issues in one are different from the issues in another.
Another election is not likely to produce any more satisfactory result than this one, as long as ND and SYRIZA are at loggerheads.
Besides, what PASOK is asking for is basically that all the non-KKE/Golden Dawn parties form an unpopular coalition, forcing anyone who is against the government to vote KKE or Golden Dawn. This is a recipie for Golden Dawn's emergence as a big national party, the worst possible scenario. It is absolustely craven for PASOK to puts is own party interest ahead to risk this. They are making Samaras into Bruning and themselves into the hapless German SPD.
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Quote from: krazen1211 on January 17, 2013, 06:26:56 pm
15 rounds for the elites but 7 for the people. Interesting.
Markit Credit Data
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56585
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1073 on:
June 17, 2012, 03:00:25 pm »
ND's lead in eastern Crete down to two votes.
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Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
I Am Damo Suzuki
andi
YaBB God
Posts: 840
Re: Greece 2012
«
Reply #1074 on:
June 17, 2012, 03:06:35 pm »
Quote from: Beet on June 17, 2012, 02:57:53 pm
An election is an election. It isn't invalid just because the issues in one are different from the issues in another.
Another election is not likely to produce any more satisfactory result than this one, as long as ND and SYRIZA are at loggerheads.
Besides, what PASOK is asking for is basically that all the non-KKE/Golden Dawn parties form an unpopular coalition, forcing anyone who is against the government to vote KKE or Golden Dawn. This is a recipie for Golden Dawn's emergence as a big national party, the worst possible scenario. It is absolustely craven for PASOK to puts is own party interest ahead to risk this. They are making Samaras into Bruning and themselves into the hapless German SPD.
I didn't say that the election is invalid. Your argumentation makes sense but a "national unity" government also does. Brüning's government hadn't parliamentary support; he was appointed by Hindenburg and made laws by decree.
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