PPP Poll Preview - Newt falling fast, possibly 3rd in Iowa. (user search)
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  PPP Poll Preview - Newt falling fast, possibly 3rd in Iowa. (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP Poll Preview - Newt falling fast, possibly 3rd in Iowa.  (Read 4675 times)
Averroës Nix
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Posts: 2,289
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« on: December 17, 2011, 03:47:55 PM »

It seems that the only fundamental, transformative change that Newt's going to realize will be in his polling averages.
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Averroës Nix
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Posts: 2,289
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« Reply #1 on: December 17, 2011, 03:49:32 PM »


I blame Politico's mega-thread.
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Averroës Nix
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,289
United States


« Reply #2 on: December 17, 2011, 08:00:37 PM »

Seriously, I really don't see why he's falling. It's kind of sudden. Expected, but I hadn't really see the signs of it happening.

Everyone remembered Newt Gingrich was in fact Newt Gingrich.

Unlike previous FoM, I don't think there's a single identifiable cause. Newt has been under attack on all flanks for two weeks now, and while nothing in particular has brought him down, many of the accusations are beginning to stick. If I had to guess what the most important factors behind Newt's decline are, I'd blame:

1. Newt's time as an influence peddler
2. Newt's comments on Romney's tenure at Bain capital
3. Boredom
4. Voters are starting to take a closer look at the race, including many who were shallowly supporting Gingrich based on name recognition or vague familiarity with his record.

I think that a lot of people are too quickly assuming that Gingrich will, like his predecessors, quickly and drastically bottom out. I don't necessarily expect that to happen before the caucuses. Barring a major incident, I think that Gingrich will steadily bleed support in no particular direction. If there really is a dedicated anyone-but-Romney portion of the electorate, it won't be until after the early contests that anyone is able to consolidate their support.
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Averroës Nix
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,289
United States


« Reply #3 on: December 18, 2011, 10:48:07 AM »

So are these polls coming out tomorrow or Monday?

I can't recall an instance in which PPP released a poll on a weekend. Therefore, its coming out either tomorrow or maybe even Tuesday.

Regardless, I'm willing to set up an ePride betting for those who want to guess the order of the top three finishers in this poll.

Presently, I think it will go Paul, Romney, Gingrich with Paul and Romney being separated by very little. Anyone who thinks otherwise can post their own prediction.

I'd put $10,000 on Romney leading.
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Averroës Nix
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,289
United States


« Reply #4 on: December 18, 2011, 07:36:04 PM »

if people listened to me back in 2009 of June you would know who the nominee for the republicans would be for 2012. I will say it again. MITT ROMNEY


Rest assured that your words of wisdom will not go unnoticed here again.
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Averroës Nix
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,289
United States


« Reply #5 on: December 18, 2011, 08:04:31 PM »

if people listened to me back in 2009 of June you would know who the nominee for the republicans would be for 2012. I will say it again. MITT ROMNEY


Newt don't know how to attack thats why he is losing everyone is in attack mode accept for newt. The only way newt can pull it off if Herman came out to endorse but that don't seem to be the case and it's getting close.          LOL.....

Are you the one who actually gambled $15,000 on Mitt Romney being the nominee?

Yeah, it's that guy.
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