281-
257New Hampshire and Ohio could go either way.
Obama does well in the Midwest. Michigan stays with him due to the auto-bailout, Wisconsin and Minnesota due to unpopularity with Republicans. The West will once again turnout strongly for him due to Latino turn out, and Democrats performed strongly in Nevada and Colorado in 2010 despite expectations looking grim.
It's nice to see politico again posting a melodramatic map a year out that has no ground in reality (much like he did a few weeks out from 2008).
