Tender Branson's General Election Maps

[Roma Caput Mundi]

Shouldn't you consider Nebraska's 3 CD's as well?

[pbrower2a]

Shouldn't you consider Nebraska's 3 CD's as well?

I did; they just don't show.

Reapportionment has put both NE-01 and NE-02 in play, this time with NE-01 more likely to go for the President but still a likely R win. NE-03 (central and western Nebraska) is one of the most R-leaning districts in the US and would likely still go R in an Obama blowout reminiscent of Nixon 1972 or Reagan 1984.

[IDS Legislator Alfred F. Jones]

Are we going to give IN and IA to Romney?

[Tender Branson]

Here's the latest Obama vs. Romney map:



MO is a complete tie and IN was still not polled

Lighter shades indicate states that have not been polled recently, but which are certain to go for either candidate.

[Formerly Californian Tony]

Why did you abandon the Atlas map ?

[Tender Branson]

Why did you abandon the Atlas map ?

Just wanted to do something with the Paint ...

[Tender Branson]

Update:

[Ben Romney]

Here`s my weekly electoral map:

GOP Primary: National: Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum are the frontrunners now!

Romney:38.4% Santorum:27.2% Gingrich:13.2% Paul:12.0%

Romney :AK AZ CA CT FL HI ID IL MA MD ME MI NH NJ NV NY OH OR RI SD UT VA VT WA WY

Gingrich:GA KY MT NE NM SC WV

Santorum:AL CO IA IN LA MN MO MS NC ND OK PA TN TX WI

IA Caucus: Jan.3:
RS24.6% MR24.5% RP21.5% NG13.3% RP010.3% MB05.0% JH00.6%   25 Delegates
NH Primary: Jan.10:
MR39.3% RP22.9% JH16.9% NG09.4% RS09.4% RP00.7%    12 Delegates
SC Primary: Jan.21: NG40.4% MR27.9% RS17.0% RP13.0%    25 Delegates
FL Primary: Jan.31: MR46.4% NG31.9% RS13.3% RP07.0%    50 Delegates
NV Primary: Feb.04:   MR50.0% NG21.1% RP18.7% RS09.9%    28 Delegates
ME Primary: Feb.04-11: MR:39.2% RP:35.7% RS17.7% NG:06.3% 24 Delegates   
Co Caucus: Feb.07:   RS40.2% MR:34.9% NG:12.8% RP:11.8%    36 Delegates
MN Primary: Feb.07:   RS44.8% RP27.2% MR16.9% NG10.7% 40 Delegates   
MO Primary: Feb.07:   RS55.2% MR25.3% RP12.2%    00 Delegates
AZ Primary: Feb.28:   MR47.3% RS26.6% NG16.2% RP08.5%    29 Delegates
MI Primary: Feb.28:   MR41.1% RS37.9% RP11.6% NG06.5% 30 Delegates
WY Caucus: Feb.29:   MR39.0%   RS31.9% RP20.8% NG07.8%    29 Delegates   
WA Caucus: Mar.3:   MR37.6% RP24.8% RS23.8% NG10.3%    43Delegates
AK Caucus: Mar.6:   MR32.6% RS29% RP24.0% NG14.2%    27 Delegates
GA Primary: Mar.6:   NG47.2% MR25.9% RS19.6% RP:06.5%    76 Delegates
ID Caucus: Mar.6:   MR63.2% RP17.4% RS17.1% NG02.2%    32 Delegates
MA Primary: Mar.6:   MR:72.1% RP:12.1% RS09.6% NG:04.0%    41 Delegates
ND Caucus: Mar.6:   RS39.7% RP28.1% MR23.7% NG08.5%    28 Delegates
OH Primary: Mar.6:   MR38.4% RS37.4% NG14.8% RP09.4%    66 Delegates
OK Primary: Mar.6:   RS33.8% MR28.0% NG27.5% RP09.6%    43 Delegates
TN Primary: Mar.6:   RS37.2% MR28.0% NG24.0% RP09.1% 58 Delegates
VT Primary: Mar.6:   MR40.3% RP25.1% RS23.4% NG08.3%    17 Delegates
VA Primary: Mar.6:   MR59.5% RP40.5%    49 Delegates
KS Caucus: Mar.10:   RS:51.2 MR:20.9% NG:14.4 RP:12.6%    40 Delegates
NMI: Mar.10:    MR:87.3% RS:06.3% RP:03.3% NG:03.2%    09 Delegates
VI Caucus : Mar.10 :   MR:34.4% RP:29.2% RS:06.0% NG:04.7%    09 Delegates
Guam Caucus : Mar. 10: MR:100%    09 Delegates
AL Primary: Mar. 13:   RS:34.5% NG29.3% MR29.0% RP05.0%    50 Delegates
HI Caucus: Mar.13:   MR45.4% RS25.3% RP:18.3% NG11.0%    20 Delegates
MS Primary: Mar.13:    RS32.9% NG31.3% MR30.3% RP04.4%    40 Delegates
AS Caucus: Mar.13:   MR:100%    09 Delegates
PR Primary: Mar.18:
MR:82.9% RS:08.0% BR:02.2% NG:02.0% FK:01.7% RP:01.2%    23 Delegates
IL Primary: Mar.20:   MR:46.7% RS:35.0% RP:09.3% NG:07.9%    54Delegates

LA Primary: Mar.24:    RS49.0% MR:26.7% NG:15.9% RP:06.2%    20 Delegates
MD Primary: Apr.03:   no polls but Romney should win here    37 Delegates
DC Primary: Apr.03:   no polls    but Romney should win here    19 Delegates   
Wi Primary: Apr.03:   MR36.8% NG07.6% RP10.1% RS31.4%    42 Deelegates


Delegates:   
Mitt Romney:    564 + 32 +2 = 598
Ron Paul:    068 + 01 = 069
RickSantorum:    288 + 02 = 290
Newt Gingrich:    140    + 03 = 143


If the presidential election would be held today a Generic GOP candidate could get 323EV! President Obama could get 205EV! 10EV from MN are a toss-up! A candidate needs 270EV to get elected!

Mitt Romney    53.2%    45.0%   Barack Hussein Obama
Rick Santorum    51.4%    47.7%   Barack Hussein Obama
Newt Gingrich    45.3%    51.5%   Barack Hussein Obama
Ron Paul    47.6%    47.8%   Barack Hussein Obama

If its Mitt Romney against Obama it would be:
290 EV   218 EV   030 EV toss-up

If its Newt Gingrich against Obama it would be:
149 EV   389 EV   000 EV toss-up

If its Ron Paul against Obama it would be:
215 EV   221 EV   102 EV   toss-up

If its Rick Santorum against Obama it would be:
176 EV   216 EV   146 EV   toss-up

Senate:
2010:   GOP: 47    DEM: 51   IND: 02   
2012:   GOP: 52 DEM: 45 IND: 01 -1   Toss-up: 2
Takeover   GOP:    MO MT NE VA WI   
DEM:
Toss-up:   CT FL


Governor:
2010:   GOP: 29    DEM: 20   IND: 01   
2012:   GOP: 33 DEM: 16 IND: 01 Toss-up: 1
Takeover   GOP:    MT NC WA WV
DEM:
Toss-up:   IN


President: Approve/Disapprove

Strong approve Obama:
CA: (53.2/41.0)
DC (85.0/15.0)   
DE:(56.6/43.5)
HI (59.2/36.7)
MA (56.0/38.2)   
MD (54.4/41.6)
NY (65.1/29.3)
VT (54.3/37.3)

Lean approve Obama:   
CT:(52.8/43.3)
IL: (51.9/42.2)
MI (50.5/43.4)
RI (51.4/41.5)
NJ: (50.6/43.0)
WA (50.2/44.9)
WI: (49.9/44.

Weak approve Obama:


Strong disapprove :   
AL (59.9/39.0)
AK (59.8/38.
AZ (54.7/41.0)
AR (63.7/33.2)
ID (71.0/29.0)
IN (56.0/40.5)
KS (62.2/36.0)
KY (58.0/35.9)
LA (59.7/39.0)
MS (57.8/39.7)
MT (58.6/38.
NE (60.6/37.3)
ND (60.7/38.7)
OK (66.4/33.4)
SD (58.1/40.7)
TN (52.4/39.6)
TX (52.8/39.7)
UT (69.3/28.1)
WV (63.3/29.1)
WY (68.9/30.4)

Lean disapprove:
CO (50.0/43.
FL (50.6/46.0)
GA (49.6/42.
MO (52.1/42.
NH (50.0/43.2)
NM: (49.7/44.3)
NV (50.1/43.9)
OH (49.5/43.6)
OR:(52.7/44.6)
PA (49.6/45.2)
SC (49.1/43.6)

Weak disapprove :
IA: (47.7/45.7)
ME:(47.7/47.0)
NC (50.2/47.0)
VA: (47.0/48.3)

Toss-up:
MN:( 46.9/46.9)

[PASOK Leader Hashemite]

Stop posting.

[Ben Romney]

GOP Primary: National: Mitt Romney is the frontrunners now!

Romney:41.4% Paul:10.7% Gingrich:09.8%


Romney :AK AZ CA CT DC FL HI IN ID IL MA MD ME MI NH NC NJ NV NY OH OR PA RI SD TX UT VA VT WA WI WY

Gingrich:GA KY MT NE NM SC WV

Santorum:AL CO IA LA MN MO MS ND OK TN


IA Caucus: Jan.3:
RS24.6% MR24.5% RP21.5% NG13.3% RP010.3% MB05.0% JH00.6% 25 Delegates

NH Primary: Jan.10:
MR39.3% RP22.9% JH16.9% NG09.4% RS09.4% RP00.7% 12 Delegates

SC Primary: Jan.21:
NG40.4% MR27.9% RS17.0% RP13.0% 25 Delegates

FL Primary: Jan.31:
MR46.4% NG31.9% RS13.3% RP07.0% 50 Delegates

NV Primary: Feb.04:
MR50.0% NG21.1% RP18.7% RS09.9% 28 Delegates

ME Primary: Feb.04-11: MR:39.2% RP:35.7% RS17.7% NG:06.3% 24 Delegates

Co Caucus: Feb.07: RS40.2% MR:34.9% NG:12.8% RP:11.8% 36 Delegates
MN Primary: Feb.07: RS44.8% RP27.2% MR16.9% NG10.7% 40 Delegates
MO Primary: Feb.07: RS55.2% MR25.3% RP12.2% 00 Delegates
AZ Primary: Feb.28: MR47.3% RS26.6% NG16.2% RP08.5% 29 Delegates
MI Primary: Feb.28: MR41.1% RS37.9% RP11.6% NG06.5% 30 Delegates
WY Caucus: Feb.29: MR39.0% RS31.9% RP20.8% NG07.8% 29 Delegates
WA Caucus: Mar.3: MR37.6% RP24.8% RS23.8% NG10.3% 43Delegates
AK Caucus: Mar.6: MR32.6% RS29% RP24.0% NG14.2% 27 Delegates
GA Primary: Mar.6: NG47.2% MR25.9% RS19.6% RP:06.5% 76 Delegates
ID Caucus: Mar.6: MR63.2% RP17.4% RS17.1% NG02.2% 32 Delegates
MA Primary: Mar.6: MR:72.1% RP:12.1% RS09.6% NG:04.0% 41 Delegates
ND Caucus: Mar.6: RS39.7% RP28.1% MR23.7% NG08.5% 28 Delegates
OH Primary: Mar.6: MR38.4% RS37.4% NG14.8% RP09.4% 66 Delegates
OK Primary: Mar.6: RS33.8% MR28.0% NG27.5% RP09.6% 43 Delegates
TN Primary: Mar.6: RS37.2% MR28.0% NG24.0% RP09.1% 58 Delegates
VT Primary: Mar.6: MR40.3% RP25.1% RS23.4% NG08.3% 17 Delegates
VA Primary: Mar.6: MR59.5% RP40.5% 49 Delegates
KS Caucus: Mar.10: RS:51.2 MR:20.9% NG:14.4 RP:12.6% 40 Delegates
NMI: Mar.10: MR:87.3% RS:06.3% RP:03.3% NG:03.2% 09 Delegates
VI Caucus : Mar.10 : MR:34.4% RP:29.2% RS:06.0% NG:04.7% 09 Delegates
Guam Caucus : Mar. 10: MR:100% 09 Delegates
AL Primary: Mar. 13: RS:34.5% NG29.3% MR29.0% RP05.0% 50 Delegates
HI Caucus: Mar.13: MR45.4% RS25.3% RP:18.3% NG11.0% 20 Delegates
MS Primary: Mar.13: RS32.9% NG31.3% MR30.3% RP04.4% 40 Delegates
AS Caucus: Mar.13: MR:100% 09 Delegates

PR Primary: Mar.18: MR:82.9% RS:08.0% BR:02.2% NG:02.0% FK:01.7% RP:01.2% 23 Delegates

IL Primary: Mar.20: MR:46.7% RS:35.0% RP:09.3% NG:07.9% 54Delegates
MO Caucus: Apr.10: no polls but Santorum should win here
LA Primary: Mar.24: RS49.0% MR:26.7% NG:15.9% RP:06.2% 20 Delegates
MD Primary: Apr.03: MR49.1% RS28.9% NG10.9% RP09.5% 37 Delegates
DC Primary: Apr.03: MR70.2% RP12.0% NG10.7% JH07.0% 19 Delegates
Wi Primary: Apr.03: MR42.5% RS37.6% RP11.7% NG06.1% 42Deelegates

Prediction:
CT Primary: Apr.24: MR:36.7% NG:20.4% RP.07.8% 28 Delegates

DE Primary: Apr.24: no polls available yet 17 Delegates

NY Primary: Apr.24: MR47.7% NG09.2% RP10.5% 95 Delegates

PA Primary: Apr.24: MR37.3% NG06.7% RP08.3% 72 Delegates

RI Primary: Apr.24: MR39.0% NG13.0% RP05.0% 19 Delegates

Delegates:
Mitt Romney: 647 + 32 +2 = 681
Ron Paul: 068 + 01 = 069
RickSantorum: 291 + 02 = 293
Newt Gingrich: 140 + 03 = 143

If the presidential election would be held today a Generic GOP candidate could get 339 EV!President Obama could get 189 EV! 10EV from MN are a toss-up!
A candidate needs 270 EV to get elected!

Mitt Romney 51.0% 46.4% Barack Hussein Obama
Newt Gingrich 45.8% 50.3% Barack Hussein Obama
Ron Paul 47.6% 46.1% Barack Hussein Obama

If its Mitt Romney against Obama it would be: 204 EV 220 EV 114 EV toss-up

If its Newt Gingrich against Obama it would be: 149 EV 374 EV 015 EV toss-up

If its Ron Paul against Obama it would be: 215 EV 221 EV 102 EV toss-up


Senate:
2010: GOP: 47 DEM: 51 IND: 02
2012: GOP: 49 DEM: 46 IND: 02 Toss-up: 3
Takeover GOP: MO MT NE VA
DEM:
IND: ME
Toss-up: CT MA WI

Governor:
2010: GOP: 29 DEM: 20 IND: 01
2012: GOP: 32 DEM: 16 IND: 01 Toss-up: 2
Takeover GOP: MT NC WA WV
DEM:
Toss-up: IN WI


President: Approve/Disapprove



Strong approve Obama:

CA: (53.2/41.0)

DC (85.0/15.0)

DE:(56.6/43.5)

HI (59.2/36.7)

MA (56.0/38.6)

MD (54.4/41.6)

NY (59.2/36.4)

VT (54.3/37.3)



Lean approve Obama:

CT:(52.8/43.3)

IL: (51.9/42.2)

ME:(47.7/47.0)

RI (51.4/41.5)

NJ: (50.6/43.0)

WA (50.2/44.9)



Weak approve Obama:

WI: (50.2/43.5)



Strong disapprove :

AL (59.9/39.0)

AK (59.8/38.

AZ (54.7/41.0)

AR (63.7/33.2)

ID (71.0/29.0)

IN (56.0/39.7)

KS (62.2/36.0)

KY (58.0/35.9)

LA (59.7/39.0)

MS (57.8/39.7)

MT (58.6/38.

NE (55.5/37.7)

ND (60.7/38.7)

OK (66.4/33.4)

SD (58.1/40.7)

TN (52.4/39.6)

TX (52.8/39.7)

UT (69.3/28.1)

WV (63.3/29.1)

WY (68.9/30.4)



Lean disapprove:

GA (49.6/42.

MI (49.2/47.2)

MO (52.1/42.

NH (50.0/43.2)

NM: (49.7/44.3)

OH (49.3/45.3)

OR:(52.7/44.6)

PA (50.2/43.

SC (49.1/43.6)

VA: (48.7/44.7)



Weak disapprove :

CO (48.5/46.9)

FL (49.8/46.5)

IA: (47.7/45.7)

NC (49.6/45.5)

NV (48.0/46.9)



Toss-up:

MN:( 46.9/46.9)

[Formerly Californian Tony]

Stop posting.

[MilesC56]

Stop posting.

Or at least make your own thread.

[Pacific Councillor Big Wiggly Style]

Stop posting.

[Senator Snowstalker]

Stop posting.

[Oakvale]

Stop posting.

[IDS Legislator Alfred F. Jones]

Stop posting.

[RogueBeaver]

Stop posting.

[Oakvale]

I'd like to make it clear to anyone who's confused that the string of empty quoting is directed at Hillary2012, not Tender Branson, who is a Freedom Fighter of the highest strata.

[Jayhawker]

I'd like to make it clear to anyone who reads this that empty quoting is not very beneficial to the forum, and it's especially annoying when the same post is made 7 times in a row.

[Proud Lieberal from Northeast]

Stop posting. STFU, TROLL

And, yes, Tender is the best!

[Oakvale]

I'd like to make it clear to anyone who reads this that empty quoting is not very beneficial to the forum, and it's especially annoying when the same post is made 7 times in a row.

It's for a good cause!

[Governor Scott]

I'd like to make it clear to anyone who reads this that empty quoting is not very beneficial to the forum, and it's especially annoying when the same post is made 7 times in a row.

[Senator Snowstalker]

I'd like to make it clear to anyone who reads this that empty quoting is not very beneficial to the forum, and it's especially annoying when the same post is made 7 times in a row.

[IDS Legislator Alfred F. Jones]

I'd like to make it clear to anyone who reads this that empty quoting is not very beneficial to the forum, and it's especially annoying when the same post is made 7 times in a row.

[Oakvale]

Okay, yeah, let's stop now.